etc), and what
about methane levels, certainly it is also dramatically rising.
Not exact matches
Ice core records show atmospheric
methane levels plunged from
about 700 parts per billion to just 500 ppb at the time of their extinction.
And even short - lived greenhouses gases —
methane lasts
about a decade — will still cause sea
levels to rise for centuries.
On four occasions I measured spikes of
methane that were
about 10 times higher than background
levels.
While little is known
about how this
methane might affect health, its presence at elevated
levels is an explosion hazard, says Jackson.
Then in 2003, William Ruddiman, a palaeoclimatologist at the University of Virginia, suggested the advent of agriculture 8000 years ago ramped up
levels of the greenhouse gas
methane in the atmosphere, warming the world by
about 0.8 °C.
As carbon dioxide
levels fell due to weathering, at some point,
levels of carbon dioxide and
methane became
about equal, he conjectures.
Hydrogen, being an extremely light element, makes up only
about 5 % of the weight of a rocket fuel mixture, and can thus be imported from Earth; heavy insulation and some gelling of the mixture with
methane (as the hydrogen will not be fed directly into an engine) will reduce in - space boil - off to negligible
levels.
My research indicates that the Siberian peat moss, Arctic tundra, and methal hydrates (frozen
methane at the bottom of the ocean) all have an excellent chance of melting and releasing their stored co2.Recent
methane concentration figures also hit the news last week, and
methane has increased after a long time being steady.The forests of north america are drying out and are very susceptible to massive insect infestations and wildfires, and the massive die offs - 25 % of total forests, have begun.And, the most recent stories on the Amazon forecast that with the change in rainfall patterns one third of the Amazon will dry and turn to grassland, thereby creating a domino cascade effect for the rest of the Amazon.With co2
levels risng faster now that the oceans have reached carrying capacity, the oceans having become also more acidic, and the looming threat of a North Atlanic current shutdown (note the recent terrible news on salinity upwelling
levels off Greenland,) and the change in cold water upwellings, leading to far less biomass for the fish to feed upon, all lead to the conclusion we may not have to worry
about NASA completing its inventory of near earth objects greater than 140 meters across by 2026 (Recent Benjamin Dean astronomy lecture here in San Francisco).
As global
methane levels have increased, the impact has been felt twice as much in the Arctic,
about a half a degree Celsius more of Arctic warming,
As global
methane levels have increased, the impact has been felt twice as much in the Arctic,
about a half a degree Celsius more of Arctic warming, according to climate models.
In that core, however, some segments within
about 100 meters, or 300 feet, of the bottom registered
levels of
methane as much as 10 times higher than would be expected from trends over the past 110,000 years.
On the Semiletov thing, I seem to have gotten that impression from this piece from CP a ways back: «Since 1994, Igor Semiletov of the Far - Eastern branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences «has led
about 10 expeditions in the Laptev Sea but during the 1990s he did not detect any elevated
levels of
methane.»
Sorry to veer off topic slightly but this is a request that the good folk of realclimate consider offering their perspective on the news
about increasing
methane levels.
What I think you mean is that if we get CO2
levels high enough to cause a serious problem, we can't just stop emitting and hope the concentration will drop in time to make a difference, whereas with
methane, it decays fast enough that we need to worry more
about the decay products than
about methane itself.
This is
about as far as one could get from high
levels (relative to most atmospheric concentrations) of
methane over large areas high in the atmosphere in the Arctic where there is very little (direct) human activity.
Finally, while economics may be critical to your definition of «catastrophic» anthropogenic global warming, economics says nothing
about the science underlying the projections of sea
level rise, the physics of Arctic amplification, changes to albedo that lead to greater warming that may lead to significant releases of
methane clathrate deposits, regional projections of reduce (or enhanced) precipitation, and so on.
According to the report, atmospheric
methane had reached
about 1845 parts per billion (ppb) in 2015, 2.5 times greater than in the pre-industrial era, while nitrous oxide was at 328ppb, 1.2 times above historic
levels.
You don't need to go into the details
about carbon emissions or chemical processes or quantities of global ice loss or sea
level elevations or ocean acidification or the potential feedback loop of tundra
methane releases, although there is plenty of available information on all of them.
Concerns
about methane emissions persist, but notwithstanding that challenge, two greater problems loom: First, shifting significantly away from coal to natural gas doesn't get the planet anywhere close to the carbon - reduction
levels scientists say we must reach.
For earlier times, we adopt Greenland temperature estimated as follows (33): For the period 128,700 B.P. to 340,000 B.P., this temperature was derived from a proxy based on Antarctic ice core
methane data using the relation T = − 51.5 + 0.0802 [CH4 (ppb)-RSB- from a linear regression of Greenland temperature estimates on Antarctic
methane for the period 150 B.P. to 122,400 B.P.. For the remaining period of 122,400 B.P. to 128,700 B.P., data from a variety of climate archives indicate that Greenland warming lags that of Antarctica, with rapid warming commencing around 128.5 ky B.P. in the northern North Atlantic and reaching full interglacial
levels by
about 127 ky B.P. (51).
Atmospheric
methane reached a new high of
about 1,853 parts per billion (ppb) in 2016 and is now 257 percent of the pre-industrial
level.
But again and again I just see the same shit come out of you people «air temps, air temps, air temps» is all you know how to fucking look at, and the actually CO2 and
methane levels, you don't have a clue how much society produces compared to natural causes, right now people make
about 50x as much as nature puts out.
They are not backing away from anything because they never said things
about high sea -
levels or polar
methane releases being a significant factor before 2100, even the Gulf Stream shutdown.
My understanding is that the atmosphere warmed by
about 6 degrees C from our current
level, and that triggered increasing releases of
methane from clathrates in a positive feedback fashion over thousands of years (or was it millions of years??).
But given what we know now
about methane release and global temp spikes and sea
level rise and so on, we are poised to soon see the eruption of violent weather events on a scale heretofore unimaginable.