3) Yes, some statements were made that say that a «pause» of more than 15 years might be reason to worry
about model accuracy.
Not exact matches
Early tests of the
model showed that it was able to estimate pain levels with
about 80 % degree of
accuracy, which means that the system is learning.
Sadilek can also feed in any existing information
about the person's whereabouts to help improve the
model's
accuracy.
The artist spent
about three months studying a living pregnant
model and going through anatomical books, photographs and drawings, in order to achieve
accuracy.
The impression one gets from the literature is unfortunately quite wrong
about the
accuracy of these
models.
What I'm most curious
about is the
model's
accuracy given EXACT data.
Wouldn't it be better if we put our efforts on accurate shorter term temperature projections, say what will happen in 6 months no more than a few years from now, check the
models and brag
about their
accuracy or correct their failures, if the
models are continuously correct all contrarian arguments die.
Interestingly, the Europeans rely on our satellite data as an input for their
models, so if we lose satellite data for a while, as the GAO is worried
about (see: / / www.gao.gov/products/GAO-15-47) it would reduce their
accuracy as well as ours.
Therefore I am a little skeptic
about climate
models, where a lot of physics and feedbacks are not even known to any
accuracy...
There is, however, a point to be made
about exercising caution when evaluating the forward - looking output of a computer
model, particularly when those
models are used to advocate policy changes on the assumption that the computer
model accurately simulates the earth's climate, and more particularly when there is no demonstrable track record of the predictive
accuracy of the
model.
If you want me to discuss with you your judgement
about the
accuracy of the regional
models, then you sure need to be more accurate regarding that criteria.
Anyone can see from reading the comment from Mark B and your response that the two of you were talking
about the level of
accuracy of a +4 C «forecast» using your little
model, which you included in your poster as chart # 7.
[2] These uncertainties limit forecast
model accuracy to
about six days into the future.
While the climate science community may be interested in only the latest and greatest
models, the rest of the world cares
about your track record for
accuracy.
My point
about the technicality is that I understand your take on the attribution of
accuracy of the
models.
For example, the eruption of Mt. Pinatubo allowed modellers to test the
accuracy of
models by feeding in the data
about the eruption.
The difference between a huge impact for NYC and what actually happened was a difference of
about 25 km in the storm track, which is not a level of
accuracy that you can expect from a weather forecast
model.
In Part 2, we'll examine what Michaels» presentation to Congress should have looked like, had it been accurate, and what this tells us
about the
accuracy of Hansen's climate
model and real - world climate sensitivity.
The fact that the scientists go to all this fuss and bother tells you scientist's care very much
about the
accuracy of their
models.
Consistent with the previous analyses at Skeptical Science, RFC12 finds that the climate
models used in the IPCC 2001 Third Assessment Report (TAR) and 2007 Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) predicted the ensuing global surface warming to a high degree of
accuracy, while their central sea level rise predictions were too low by
about 60 %.
«Physically valid» means CIs that convey predictive
accuracy, rather than just precision
about a
modeled mean.
As the argument degenerates on my side due to my increasing frustration at the ludicrous resistance I'm receiving from the RC person, they will refine their argument, move goalposts, argue over the precision and
accuracy of my forecast, yabba on
about how all orbital
models of the inner solar system are wrong due to GIGO (which is rather ironic), and so forth.
It took AutoML
about 24 hours (18 minutes, in a less accurate Basic mode) to finish training the data, and the
model was able to predict which shop the ramen came from with a 95 percent
accuracy.
Parenting style added 2 — 6 % and support for PA
about 1 % to
model accuracy.