Re # 115: Yes, you have mis - interpreted my prior statements
about model parameters as being only inaccurate.
Not exact matches
By tweaking orbital
parameters and running their
model repeatedly, the team could make some statistical predictions
about the car's future path.
«It's useful in
modeling concepts in neuroscience to have a system that will yield a diverse range of behaviors for small changes of a control
parameter, as this may help offer some insights
about how the same neural tissue displays different responses,» Alonso said, whose research was funded by a fellowship from the Leon Levy Foundation.
The research team developed a
model with well - defined
parameters, and included information
about social structure.
Using their new
model, the researchers found that certain
parameters about the way a tumor grows could successfully and accurately predict its response to anti-angiogenic treatment that targets VEGF activity.
«We analyzed dozens of variants of this gene and quantitatively measured expression in
about 1,000 embryos, creating a quantitative data set that could be used to train mathematical
models, utilizing
parameter optimization,» Arnosti said.
About the
models reproducing past temperature trends: It is known that multivariable processes can fit trends with different sets of
parameters.
-- Namco Bandai understands that fans want more Tales game in English — Time and money get in the way — Namco Bandai has taken steps to alleviate the issues above, and hopefully we can now look forward to seeing more Tales games worldwide — It's been difficult to fit the game on the 3DS card due to size restrictions — Voice data in particular was challenging to put on the card and feels they solved the problem while keeping the quality high — «Every part of the game, with the exception of the animated cut - scenes, has been redone in 3D» — Yoshizumi believes this makes the game seem more real / immersive than before — Character
models rebuilt to improve performance — Rest of the game has been ported over seamlessly — Some changes made to «in - game
parameters» to compensate for control differences — No other additions, no new weapons / artes — No communication features (StreetPass, SpotPass)-- Namco Bandai have talked
about a sequel, but haven't yet come up with something that would be good enough for a full game — Yoshizumi says he appreciates the comments he receives on Twitter from worldwide fans, and he hopes that more Tales games can make it over in the future — Load times have been improved on significantly — Steadier frame rate (may have been referring to the world map specifically)-- Skits will remain unvoiced
View
models of electronic books with backlight function can be in the table of
parameters, and learn more
about the
models E-ink screens you can in the article «Screen Types of e-books».
Any
model - building scientist should know
about overfitting and understand the relationship of the number of
parameters to the useability of a
model.
Now if you have 130y of data with a range of + / -0.5 K and hit it with an «aggressive» 21y low - pass filter, ie your cut - off is
about 1/6 of the length of the total dataset (one third the Nyquist frequency), and you fit it with 14
parameter model you can hardly fail to get a good fit.
Depends on what the 5
parameters are: in WebHub's
model, the residual
about the ln (CO2) trend is accounted for by relations to other physical measurements.
In other words, the analysis neglects structural uncertainty
about the adequacy of the assumed linear
model, and the
parameter uncertainty the analysis does take into account is strongly reduced by
models that are «bad» by this
model - data mismatch metric.
Any
model that has multiple
parameters is likely to be ill - conditioned if deductions
about the
parameters are made from a limited number of outputs.
I think you, Judith, need to demonstrate that the inability of
models to cope with such
parameters as clouds, their inability to
model those aspects of climate that we are very hazy
about, their inability to
model those aspects of climate that we don't even suspect have an effect, is not a major - indeed a fatal - problem when looking at the results.
And one of the best known teams of climate
parameter investigators, Chris Forest, Peter Stone and Andrei Sokolov, who use the sophisticated MIT 2D climate
model with a GCM - like atmospheric module, wrote
about AOGCMs:
Getting
model parameters wrong is equally reasonable to claim — if you have explored the parametric variation yourself and have something constructive to say
about the result of that exploration.
(And I hate that phrase, but I have no more appropriate reaction) In what appears to be typical behavior of climate scientists, all he could do is vaguely tell me how I'm wrong
about the level of hard science that proves a1 through z1000
parameters that went into these
models.
There are some computer
models out there
about financial stuff, and other things like that, that are probably fairly accurate because all of the
parameters are known.
In short, what I have seen so far
about how
models are validated and
parameters determined is not very convincing.
This connection is not an emergent property of the
model's physics, since we don't really know enough
about the H2O cycle to
model it — instead this feedback connection is one of the many «
Parameters» in the
model that are adjusted to attempt to match the prior data.
There are a wide range of hypotheses
about the dominant controls and key
parameter values governing land carbon storage, and a parallel range of ways in which these hypotheses are implemented in the codes of land
models.
I don't give a toss
about what
model results say
about CS unless I know what the input
parameters are and have an idea what the code is doing so chasing down the input forcing datasets has been a revelation.
In most cases, these range from
about 2 to 4.5 C per doubled CO2 within the context of our current climate — with a most likely value between 2 and 3 C. On the other hand, chapter 9 describes attempts ranging far back into paleoclimatology to relate forcings to temperature change, sometimes directly (with all the attendant uncertainties), and more often by adjusting
model parameters to determine the climate sensitivity ranges that allow the
models to best simulate data from the past — e.g., the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM).
Do we need meshed
models with
about 80 adjustable
parameters and thousands of nodes to forecast that?
It is pretty clear that the
model for the process governing Sun spot occurrence is the correct one, even if the parameterization is somewhat statistically uncertain (and even if some
parameters may be randomly or deterministically varying slowly and / or narrowly in time, as well as the precise frequency distribution of noise energy, though we really only care
about that within a narrow band around the resonances).
As we have extensively documented in, Roy Spencer has a propensity for performing curve fitting exercises with a simple climate
model by allowing its
parameters to vary without physical constraints, and then making grandiose claims
about his results.
With enough
parameters to play with you can fit an elephant into a mini coup, but this does not mean that the
model says anything relevant
about reality.
We can also produce a risk assessment that takes into account our uncertainty
about what the
model will do in any part of
parameter space.
I have tried a simple anova linear
model using the lm procedure in R taking the logs of the tree ring widths and using three factors: tree, age and year (a total of
about 2874
parameters) and the program bailed out with the complaint» Reached total allocation of 957Mb: see help (memory.size)».
The new
model is able to take these
parameters into account by including data
about the present state of the ocean and atmosphere, something that's been difficult to do in the past because of a scarcity of data for the ocean.
It would also require some sophisticated
modeling with attendant uncertainties
about the
parameters.
-- Poor aerosol
modeling and understanding (equating all aerosols to a net W / m2 forcing
parameter, and somehow it's all
about sulphate and soot.
«The assessment is supported additionally by a complementary analysis in which the
parameters of an Earth System
Model of Intermediate Complexity (EMIC) were constrained using observations of near - surface temperature and ocean heat content, as well as prior information on the magnitudes of forcings, and which concluded that GHGs have caused 0.6 °C to 1.1 °C (5 to 95 % uncertainty) warming since the mid-20th century (Huber and Knutti, 2011); an analysis by Wigley and Santer (2013), who used an energy balance model and RF and climate sensitivity estimates from AR4, and they concluded that there was about a 93 % chance that GHGs caused a warming greater than observed over the 1950 — 2005 period; and earlier detection and attribution studies assessed in the AR4 (Hegerl et al., 2007b).&r
Model of Intermediate Complexity (EMIC) were constrained using observations of near - surface temperature and ocean heat content, as well as prior information on the magnitudes of forcings, and which concluded that GHGs have caused 0.6 °C to 1.1 °C (5 to 95 % uncertainty) warming since the mid-20th century (Huber and Knutti, 2011); an analysis by Wigley and Santer (2013), who used an energy balance
model and RF and climate sensitivity estimates from AR4, and they concluded that there was about a 93 % chance that GHGs caused a warming greater than observed over the 1950 — 2005 period; and earlier detection and attribution studies assessed in the AR4 (Hegerl et al., 2007b).&r
model and RF and climate sensitivity estimates from AR4, and they concluded that there was
about a 93 % chance that GHGs caused a warming greater than observed over the 1950 — 2005 period; and earlier detection and attribution studies assessed in the AR4 (Hegerl et al., 2007b).»
With all due respect, consensus of laymen
about an unverified, unvalidated computer
model with assumed boundary conditions and
parameters, which ignore the sun and clouds and that are currently falsified warrents NO study of the nature you are doing here, and you can not come to some statistical value of uncertainty analizing these phenomena, I don't care how many pages of stats you cite.
Because of the sensitivity of the shelter level temperature to
parameters and forcing, especially to uncertain turbulence parameterization in the SNBL, there should be caution
about the use of minimum temperatures as a diagnostic global warming metric in either observations or
models.»
On the issue of to what extent attribution «evidence» derived from GCMs / AOGCMs (the validity of which is dependent on their climate sensitivities being realistic) can be relied on, three academics who have published extensively on climate sensitivity, Chris Forest, Peter Stone and Andrei Sokolov, wrote
about GCMs in «Constraining Climate
Model Parameters from Observed 20th century Changes» (Tellus A, 2008) as follows:
In the one - dimensional radiative - convective
models, wherein the concept was first initiated, λis a nearly invariant
parameter (typically,
about 0.5 ° K W − 1 m2; Ramanathanet al., 1985) for a variety of radiativeforcings, thus introducing the notion of a possible universality of the relationship between forcing and response.»
And even if what eeveryone cared
about in practice was some simple high - level summary like the function of a protein (e.g., something like the O2 affinity of hemoglobin), nobody would present a new
model with hundreds of
parameters and focus only on its fit to a few -
parameter curve of bound O2 vs. partial pressure of O2.
But this
model is also a unifying tool for the rest of your job search, from enabling you to set smart
parameters for your job search to framing how you talk
about yourself in an interview.