See here for a discussion of the literature
about model validation (see the end section here for links to the literature).
Try reasing the chapter from the IPCC WG1 report that deals with climate models and their evaluation, then go an ask questions
about model validation at RealClimate, you are likely to get a better reception.
I do numerical modelling of physical phenomena for a living, so I know something
about model validation procedures.
Not exact matches
Position Description: The University of Vigo offers a Research Position in Vigo (Spain) to work with the Laboratory of Remote Sensing and GIS on the H2020 research project CoastObs in
validation of Sentinel 3 data in order to provide information
about the relationship between environmental conditions in HABs blooms and develop of local CASE 2 chl - a
models.
If that isn't a sign of things to come, then maybe the Japanese automaker's plan to reveal a new concept
model at the Tokyo Motor Show, one that will prominently showcase the company's goal of marrying «car intelligence» and «electrification,» is the kind of
validation that Nissan's looking for to show that it's serious
about becoming a big player in the race to bring autonomous driving into public roads.
• Lack of formal
model verification &
validation, which is the norm for engineering and regulatory science • Circularity in arguments validating climate
models against observations, owing to tuning & prescribed boundary conditions • Concerns
about fundamental lack of predictability in a complex nonlinear system characterized by spatio - temporal chaos with changing boundary conditions • Concerns
about the epistemology of
models of open, complex systems
The arguments
about model validity are remarkably unconvincing and couldn't stand in any other field and can't be really verified because there has been no rigorous
validation of the
models.
Under a logical approach to
validation, each prediction that is made by a predictive
model is viewed as making a claim
about the outcome of a statistical event and this claim is viewed as a logical proposition.
And... 2) People outside the climate
modeling community need to stop creating strawman arguments
about lack of
validation of climate
models.
Someone asked
about economic
models and their
validation.
(2) You again quote T. Howard et al suggesting this
modeling exercise, with limited
validation of the
models, demonstrates something
about the performance of future ocean / climate dynamics.
There is a ton of literature on this and even a NASA website
about turbulence
model validation.
Eric Ollivet, your first paragraph talks
about validation testing of a
model, and then your second paragraph starts off by talking
about why said test shouldn't be considered an experiment.
I've asked
about climate
models wrt ISO standards or independent verification and
validation or software version management, etc..
One of the central tests in
model validation is that the climatology produced by the
models does match observations — for example, in the linked information, they talked
about realistic El Nino cycles, monsoons and so forth.
A decade earlier even the Russians arguing
about climate science on the run - up to the SALT talks, being good materialists, had to concede the diffference between
validation and verification — between iterating
model runs and finding out more
about what goes into them.
Model precipitation «forecasts» over the Central Sahel were correlated with observations for
about three days, but reinitializing with observed data on day 5 resulted in a dramatic improvement in the precipitation
validation over the remaining 9 days.
Minneapolis, MN
About Blog MCAD specializes in sales, support and training of engineering productivity tools including 3D Solid
Modeling, Design
Validation, Product Data Management, Product Documentation and 3D Printing and Rapid Prototyping.