I have talked mainly
about monetary policy in the context of inflation, with growth in activity and employment attracting less attention.
Jim Flaherty will have many opportunities to stay silent
about monetary policy in the future.
Not exact matches
At Princeton, Al - Naji's interest
in bitcoin led him to take courses
in monetary history, where he spent office hours arguing with his professor
about monetary policy, and the potential for decentralized currencies.
Gordon is curious
about an untested
policy called «price - level targeting,» which would refocus
monetary policy on achieving an absolute increase
in prices over time, rather than the current emphasis on the rate of change.
Specifically, there are concerns
about what might happen should the tide turn
in the bond markets when 30 years of falling interest rates reverses at a time when the Federal Reserve is preparing to tighten
monetary policy by forcing rates higher.
President Mario Draghi gave little indication
about the next steps for
monetary policy in the euro zone during a speech on Wednesday ahead of a key meeting between central bankers.
Poloz delivered a lecture at the Canadian Economics Association's annual conference
in Ottawa on June 4 that raised important questions
about the relationship between
monetary and fiscal
policy.
«If it's described as an attack on the economy, it suggests that there's not a discussion
about what might need to change
in terms of
monetary and fiscal
policy,» he said.
Yellen won't take questions after she speaks at the Boston Fed this morning, but traders will be looking for any clues
in her speech
about her thinking on
monetary policy.
Growing doubts
about when the European Central Bank will normalize its
monetary policy has hurt the euro against the dollar
in recent weeks.
In his job as an activist at the Center for Popular Democracy, Barkan led a successful effort to get Fed officials thinking more about low - income Americans as they conduct monetary policy, often arguing against interest rate hikes in the face of high underemployment and weak wage growt
In his job as an activist at the Center for Popular Democracy, Barkan led a successful effort to get Fed officials thinking more
about low - income Americans as they conduct
monetary policy, often arguing against interest rate hikes
in the face of high underemployment and weak wage growt
in the face of high underemployment and weak wage growth.
The Fed must be «extraordinarily patient»
about reducing
monetary policy accommodation, he said, so the job market can return to the strength it had
in 2006, before the financial crisis hit.
He has a theory
about why the markets swooned: «Necessary changes
in the stance of
monetary policy removed the complacent assumption that «all bad news is good news» (because it brought renewed stimulus) that many felt underpinned markets.»
After weakening at the start of 2018, a rise
in U.S. Treasury yields have helped the dollar stage a recovery
in the past fortnight at the same time as doubts grow
about when the European Central Bank (ECB) will tighten
monetary policy.
UBS Chairman Axel Weber speaks
about sentiment
in markets and
monetary policy from major central banks.
«The preferred solution,
in the opinion of many of these countries, is for the United States to internalize the effects of its
monetary policies — more specifically, not to exit or at least to do so at a time that is more convenient for others,» Deputy Bank of Canada Governor John Murray recently said
in prepared remarks for a speech
about the likely effects of the end of QE.
The Fed has long been turning away from QE and putting greater emphasis on forward guidance;
in other words, trying to affect consumer and businesses behaviour by making promises
about the future course of
monetary policy.
The two - year note yield, which is the most sensitive to changes
in Fed
monetary policy, climbed higher to
about 1.33 percent.
The solution then is inflation,
in our arguments over the last week Nick and I disagreed
about the various transmission mechanisms from
monetary policy to the real economy (we also argued over the basic causes of the trap, the last sentance was my version).
So it seems to me the risk of the economy hitting the recession when
monetary policy is not
in a position to respond are much greater than they have been previously and therefore, we need to be very cautious
about doing anything that would increase those risks.
Given these positive surprises, and because
monetary policy must be forward - looking to achieve our inflation target, Governing Council's discussions focused on three main issues: first, the extent to which recent strength is signalling stronger economic momentum
in Canada and globally; second, how heightened levels of uncertainty, particularly
about US tax and trade
policies, should be incorporated
in our outlook; and third, how much excess capacity the economy currently has, and the growth rate of potential output going forward.
To measure the natural rate, I use a structural model described
in Cúrdia et al. (2015) and incorporate the effects of forward guidance —
monetary policy announcements
about what path the interest rate is likely to follow.
What have changed are expectations
about the
monetary policy stance that would be appropriate
in order to achieve those outcomes.
Overview The money market is the first step
in the transmission of
monetary policy and a key source of information on expectations
about monetary policy.
Many investors have been surprised at the complacency
in the markets given geopolitical risks (North Korea, for example), domestic political risks (tax reform, trade war, etc.) and central banks
in the U.S., Europe and China either removing, or talking
about removing,
monetary -
policy accommodation.
That means clarity
about the objectives of
monetary policy, how the Fed plans to meet those objectives
in light of the economic and financial market environment, and how it formulates its responses to unforeseen circumstances that lead to revisions to its economic forecast.
The relationship between
monetary policy and financial stability may depend on the specific economic conditions
in which we find ourselves.6 Moreover, the processes resulting
in financial cycles, with periods of unsustainable debt buildup, occasional crises and periods of deleveraging, are not well captured by standard models.7 We have more work to do before we can be fully confident
about our conclusions.
In the time I have, I will discuss how our thinking on the interactions between
monetary policy and financial stability has been evolving, tell you
about some interesting recent research by our staff and touch on some questions that have yet to be resolved.
But,
in thinking
about how to prevent financial crises, it's also natural to look at
monetary policy.
My views
about monetary policy are outlined
in the latest issue of Research & Insight.
By conducting
policy in a transparent way and communicating what is important
in determining the central bank's reaction function, I think policymakers can strike the best balance between a
monetary policy that fully incorporates the complexity of the world as it is, while, at the same time, retaining considerable clarity
about how the FOMC is likely to respond to changing circumstances.
At a press conference Thursday afternoon, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke fielded a number of questions from reporters
about the open - ended nature of
monetary easing, saying, «We're not going to be premature
in removing
policy accommodation... We're going to give it some time to make the sure the recovery is well established.»
The paper takes a close look at a critical aspect of how the Federal Reserve makes decisions
about monetary policy: the rules and benchmarks that guide them
in meeting their dual mandate of full employment and stable prices.
This set of
monetary policies affects financial asset prices
in a different way compared to changes
in short - term interest rates, and we should be humble
about what we claim
about understanding the importance of this distinction.
Just as the events of the 1970s and emergence of stagflation throughout the industrial world, led to new
policy paradigms, I believe that recent events will force us to develop new approaches to thinking
about economic fluctuations and inflation which will,
in turn, drive major changes
in thinking
about fiscal and
monetary policy.
Analysts say markets are worried that Summers, who has said little
about monetary policy but has sounded a skeptical note
in the past
about the impact of some of the Fed's efforts, might hit the brakes faster.
When it comes to thinking
about what could be done, it's important to remember that
monetary policy isn't the only game
in town.
If we do need to move
in the direction of giving asset price and debt developments more weight
in the conduct of
monetary policy than hitherto, we need to educate our respective communities
about these issues.
Consider these risks before investing: The value of securities
in the fund's portfolio may fall or fail to rise over extended periods of time for a variety of reasons, including general financial market conditions, changing market perceptions, changes
in government intervention
in the financial markets, and factors related to a specific issuer, industry, or sector and,
in the case of bonds, perceptions
about the risk of default and expectations
about changes
in monetary policy or interest rates.
«What is striking at the moment is the lack of a broader consensus between
policy makers
about what
monetary policy can achieve and what it should do
in the current situation,» said Jan Bopp, asset allocation strategist at Bank J Safra Sarasin.
Mishkin noted «I am less optimistic
about the prospects for core PCE inflation to move much below 2 %
in the absence of a determined effort by
monetary policy,» adding that «a substantial further decline
in inflation would require a shift
in expectations, and such a shift could be difficult and time - consuming to bring
about.»
Concerns
about global trade tensions between China and the U.S. and the fear that the stellar earnings could be as good as it gets for stocks are all combining to undermine the sort of confidence that was
in abundance during last year's run of repeated records for equity benchmarks, as the U.S. economy enters it ninth year of expansion and as the Federal Reserve moves to normalize
monetary policy from crisis - era levels.
There are a few other lessons we've learned
about unconventional
monetary policies in the past few years.
If growth can not be boosted by
monetary policy, and fiscal
policy is «
in the hands of a plutocracy more concerned
about immediate profits as opposed to long - term vitality, then no Genie or Flavor Flav with a magic clock can make a difference.»
In talking about monetary policy's contribution to the management of the economic challenges, the speech notes the recent increases in mortgage rates of the commercial banks, outside of the cycle of changes in the cash rat
In talking
about monetary policy's contribution to the management of the economic challenges, the speech notes the recent increases
in mortgage rates of the commercial banks, outside of the cycle of changes in the cash rat
in mortgage rates of the commercial banks, outside of the cycle of changes
in the cash rat
in the cash rate.
What is great
about nonprofit insurances is that it takes the guaranteed assistance to a level of commitment that helps those who are within these different
policies and plans to have a better idea of just how they should be able to handle the
monetary benefits that is guaranteed so that
in the long run finances are left stable.
Also, with talks
about Serbia being included
in the European Union, the dinar's exchange rate with other major currencies will likely be affected by
monetary policies from the European Central Bank.
In addition to expectations about monetary policy, liquidity concerns of banks related to Y2K may have influenced the pattern of short - term interest rates in recent month
In addition to expectations
about monetary policy, liquidity concerns of banks related to Y2K may have influenced the pattern of short - term interest rates
in recent month
in recent months.
It is possible that a large part of the decline
in implied volatilities of interest rates can be attributed to reduced uncertainty
about the future path of
monetary policy at that turning point.
Thus far
in 2005, the dollar has risen back to around 1.30 against the euro,
in part reflecting the fact that the US federal funds rate has now risen above the
monetary policy rate
in the euro area, as well as comments from European officials expressing concerns
about the extent of the appreciation of the euro.