Not exact matches
Total anthropogenic
emissions of one trillion tonnes of carbon (3.67 trillion tonnes of CO2),
about half of which has already been emitted since industrialization began, results in a most likely
peak carbon - dioxide induced warming of 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial temperatures, with a 5 — 95 % confidence interval of 1.3 — 3.9 degrees Celsius.
And if you buy the IPCC's reports (figuratively speaking) the world is only
about eight years away from the «deadline» the IPCC has identified for allowing
emissions to
peak and begin their descent if the world is to stand a 50 - 50 chance of holding global warming to
about 3.6 degrees Fahrenheit by century's end.
To keep carbon
emissions under the one - trillion - ton threshold, global CO2
emissions from fossil fuels must
peak around 2016 and reach zero by
about 2050.
Has anyone actually done any «real» laboratory experiments with CO2 mixtures, using a real 288 Kelvin thermal radiation source that is putting out a 10.1 micron
peak wavelength
emission spectrum at
about 390 W / m ^ 2.
You either have to be talking
about sucking a lot of CO2 out of the atmosphere once
emissions have
peaked, or you have to talk
about reducing, slightly, the amount of sunlight that's coming into the system.
This projected construction represents an unprecedented opportunity for the global building sector to
peak emissions by the year 2016, and completely phase out CO2
emissions by
about 2050.
Emissions reductions larger than about 80 %, relative to whatever peak global emissions rate may be reached, are required to approximately stabilize carbon dioxide concentrations for a century or so at any chosen target level (see Figure 3
Emissions reductions larger than
about 80 %, relative to whatever
peak global
emissions rate may be reached, are required to approximately stabilize carbon dioxide concentrations for a century or so at any chosen target level (see Figure 3
emissions rate may be reached, are required to approximately stabilize carbon dioxide concentrations for a century or so at any chosen target level (see Figure 3).»
When asked what he thought
about the Danish proposal to require developing countries to determine a
peak year for collective
emissions (Article 9), Mr. Su responded that he was unaware of the text and that discussions of
peak emission years for developing countries was premature.
A question was asked
about if and when China would consider
peaking its carbon emissions (see previou spost «Peaking Duck: Beijing's growing appetite for climate action «-RRB- Mr. Su basically reiterated how unfair he felt it was to talk about developing country peak emissions at this point and that developed countries should shoot for achieving their pick as soon as po
peaking its carbon
emissions (see previou spost «
Peaking Duck: Beijing's growing appetite for climate action «-RRB- Mr. Su basically reiterated how unfair he felt it was to talk about developing country peak emissions at this point and that developed countries should shoot for achieving their pick as soon as po
Peaking Duck: Beijing's growing appetite for climate action «-RRB- Mr. Su basically reiterated how unfair he felt it was to talk
about developing country
peak emissions at this point and that developed countries should shoot for achieving their pick as soon as possible.
If global greenhouse gas
emissions peaked in 2010 the annual
emissions reduction rate necessary to stabilize atmospheric carbon at 450 ppm, the Stern Review suggests, would be 7 percent, with
emissions dropping by
about 70 percent below 2005 levels by 2050.
In your scenarios there's a 50 year lag from the
emission peak to the concentration
peak for the Producer - Limited scenario and
about 75 years for the Super-Kyoto scenario.
Operating cost for electric cars is $ 0.50 to $ 0.75 per mile versus $ 0.10 for gasoline powered cars once battery replacement costs are included By 2020, Chinese PER CAPITA
emissions will be higher than America's Does not believe that the 0.6 degree temperature rise to date is the West's «fault,» but does believe that China is the future problem Whatever U.S. does
about emissions reduction and what people do as individuals is totally trivial in face of the fact that China is adding huge amounts of coal fired generating capacity The most meaningful
emissions reduction strategy today would be to convert China from coal to natural gas The claim that there are more frequent or more intense hurricanes and tornadoes as a result of AGW is not scientifically supported We can reduce
emissions, but it is important that we do the RIGHT things (and NOT the WRONG ones) Not worried
about «
peak oil;» coal can be converted to liquid fuel
For pathways that give a most likely warming up to
about 4 °C, cumulative
emissions from pre-industrial times to year 2200 correlate strongly with most likely resultant
peak warming regardless of the shape of
emissions floors used, providing a more natural long - term policy horizon than 2050 or 2100.
Consumption of HFCs are projected to
peak in the late 2020s, but
emissions don't
peak until
about 2035.
Observations of earth
emission spectra seen outside the atmosphere from satellites should co0ntain components that are emitted from surface that are 333 K or even higher; and this is important since the Wien displacement Law, would shift these
emission peaks even further away from the CO2 15 micron nand as the spectral
peak moves from its nominal 10.1 microns at 288 K down to
about 8.7 microns at 333 K.
Why do they present plans that contain wildly optimistic assumptions
about the
peak in global
emissions and yet a high probability of overshooting the 2 degrees C target?
They are looking like they will
peak direct CO2
emissions like this article is
about but they will miss by miles on non-CO2 GHG
emissions.
Let's make some optimistic assumptions
about the
peaking year and the rate of subsequent
emissions decline and see what the implications are.
Even with optimistic assumption
about the
peak year for global
emissions and rates of
emissions reductions thereafter, the best estimate is for warming to reach 4 °C in the 2070s or 2080s, well within the life - spans of children born today.
Like any attempt to determine what a ghg national target should be, the above chart makes a few assumptions, including but not limited to,
about what equity requires not only of the United States but of individual states, when global
emissions will
peak, and what the carbon
emissions budget should be to avoid dangerous climate change.
The actual amount of
emissions reductions that are needed between now and 2020 is somewhat of a moving target depending on the level of uncertainty that society is willing to accept that a dangerous warming limit will be exceeded, the most recent increases in ghg
emissions rates, and assumptions
about when global ghg
emissions peak before beginning rapid reduction rates.
Still, it suggested that «over the next decades, renewable forms of energy can gradually become competitive,» and it projected that «CO2
emissions could
peak at
about 10 gigatonnes of carbon (GtC) a year before the middle of the next century and decline.»
Additionally, now that we finally have a copy of the G - 77 ′ s official critique of the Danish text (see below), we were able to find some more definitive information
about the controversy over
emissions «
peaking.»
The following is one depiction of a carbon budget prepared by the Global Commons Institute with three different reductions pathways that make different assumptions
about when global ghg
emissions peak.
Exxon Mobil expects global carbon dioxide
emissions to
peak by 2040 at
about 10 percent above 2016 levels.
An «intermediate scenario» that projects carbon
emissions peaking around mid-century and
about 4 feet of sea level rise globally, with ice melting at a moderate rate that increases over time.
The details of this pathway are that: 1) global
emissions peak soon (
about 2020) and decline by 2050 to 50 percent below 1990 levels; and 2) Northern
emissions simultaneously decline to 80 percent below 1990 levels.
Second, robotic probes have measured Venus» atmosphere to be
about 97 % CO2, and we can see from the image above (click for a larger version) that the absorption spectrum for CO2 (at Earth temperature and pressure — Venusian temperature and pressure increases the width of the absorption bands, making CO2 a stronger absorber in Venus» atmosphere than in Earth's) strongly overlaps the
peak emission spectrum of Venus» surface.
Translating this commitment into quantitative implications for cumulative carbon involves a lot of guesswork as to how China will go
about fulfilling its commitment, because the agreement does not spell out the value at which
emissions will
peak.
Emission reductions larger than
about 80 % relative to whatever
peak global
emissions rate may be reached are required to approximately stabilize carbon dioxide concentrations for a century or so at any chosen target level.»
China said it would increase the share of non-fossil fuels (wind and solar) as part of its primary energy consumption to
about 20 % by 2030, and
peak emissions by around the same point, though it would «work hard» to do so earlier.
A GHG
emissions peak by
about 2020 (RCP 2.6) will be necessary to keep global warming under the two degrees Celsius (above preindustrial levels) threshold.
We're at
about 30 billion tons of carbon dioxide
emissions a year — and notwithstanding the global economic slowdown, probably poised to rise 2 % per year (the exact future growth rate is quite hard to project because it depends so much on what China does and how quickly
peak oil kicks in).
It loses language from an earlier draft that called for cutting global
emissions in half by 2050, and says nothing
about a
peak year by which greenhouse gases should begin to decline.
And earlier this week, another study concluded that — much like today's decisions will determine the fate of West Antarctica — decisions made today
about whether or not to curb
emissions will have clear repercussions in future sea level rise: For each five - year delay in «
peaking» global carbon
emissions, median estimates for sea level rise in 2300 go up by 20 centimeters.
As I pointed out here, CAGR for CO2
emissions from coal, oil, natural gas, flaring, and cement production averaged 3.08 % for the period 2000 - 2010,
peaking to 6 % in 2003 over 2002 (though there was no hysteria that time) and again in 2010 over 2009 (much unwarranted hysteria
about a single year, even by professionals but perhaps overblown by the media as usual who may have been selective
about who they quoted!).
Emissions peak in 2014 and reach an annual
peak reduction rate of
about 6.1 % per year (6.0 % for fossil CO2 only).
This is a preliminary question
about the overall business plan of Shell that, looking at your own global
emissions scenarios, talks
about a
peaking in 2030.
The price at
about $ 250 per kilowatt year is competitive with a natural gas
peaker and has zero carbon
emissions.
I pull this number out of my mind meaning that the N2 - O2 spectrum corresponds to a blackbody with 100um
peak, which would correspond to a body at
about 40K with total
emission of 45mW / m2.
The imperative for carbon reduction is urgent — In order to limit the global mean temperature increase over historical norms to
about 2 degrees Celsius (the temperature at which there is a high probability of catastrophic impacts), global
emissions need to be reduced approximately 40 - 70 % below 2010 levels by 2050, with CO2
emissions peaking soon (IPCC, 2014).
I mean, assuming there will be no global geo - engineering scheme that removes CO2 from the atmosphere on a massive scale, if I were to take the IPCC's middle - of - the - road ECS estimate of 3º Celsius per doubling of atmospheric CO2eq and combine it with a rather weak climate mitigation
emissions scenario (e.g., RCP 6.5, which
peaks around 850 CO2eq ppm)... we are talking
about 120º Fahrenheit days being a common occurrence in the summers of Houston far into the future, right?