In some cases these charts were simply ice extents, in others some information
about sea ice concentration was also available.
Not exact matches
It also eliminates much of the uncertainty surrounding potentially ill effects; whereas various mathematical models may disagree
about when and at what
concentrations Arctic Ocean
sea ice disappears, they all agree that at roughly 3 degrees C of warming, the far north will be
ice - free.
Climate alarm depends on several gloomy assumptions —
about how fast emissions will increase, how fast atmospheric
concentrations will rise, how much global temperatures will rise, how warming will affect
ice sheet dynamics and
sea - level rise, how warming will affect weather patterns, how the latter will affect agriculture and other economic activities, and how all climate change impacts will affect public health and welfare.
Southern Ocean:
Sea Ice Concentration and
Sea Surface Temperature Recently there has been a discussion
about the link between SST and SIC in the Southern Ocean around Antarctica.
Even natural variability can impact medium term
sea ice declines (or increases) but it is the long term constant external forcing from the rapidly increasing GH gas
concentrations that will ultimately bring
about the very likely
ice free summer Arctic later this century.
Based on proxy records from
ice, terrestrial and marine archives, the LIG is characterized by an atmospheric CO2
concentration of
about 290 ppm, i.e., similar to the pre-industrial (PI) value13, mean air temperatures in Northeast Siberia that were
about 9 °C higher than today14, air temperatures above the Greenland NEEM
ice core site of
about 8 ± 4 °C above the mean of the past millennium15, North Atlantic
sea - surface temperatures of
about 2 °C higher than the modern (PI) temperatures12, 16, and a global
sea level 5 — 9 m above the present
sea level17.
In the central Arctic Ocean, simulated LIG - 130 and LIG - 125
sea ice concentrations decreased to
about 65 — 75 % at sites PS51 / 038 -3 and PS2757 - 8 (Figs. 8b, c) and to
about 50 — 60 % at site PS2200 - 2 (Fig. 8a).
In order to test and approve climate models for simulation and prediction of Arctic climate and
sea ice cover8, 20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28, however, precise (semi-quantitative) proxy records
about past
sea ice concentrations are needed.
At the Barents
Sea continental margin (i.e., at site PS2138 - 2) strongly influenced by Atlantic Water inflow, minimum summer sea ice concentrations of about 25 % were simulated for the 125 ka time slice (Fig. 8
Sea continental margin (i.e., at site PS2138 - 2) strongly influenced by Atlantic Water inflow, minimum summer
sea ice concentrations of about 25 % were simulated for the 125 ka time slice (Fig. 8
sea ice concentrations of
about 25 % were simulated for the 125 ka time slice (Fig. 8d).
Just a short list: — you go on and on
about SMB causing a net reduction of
sea level in Antarctica (and sometimes Greenland), completely ignoring that SMB is not the total
ice mass balance — you routinely mentioned that human emissions aren't increasing the CO2
concentration because those emissions didn't increase for several years in a row, but
concentration did.
The Mercer (1978) ``... a threat of disaster» paper introduced above was fraught with presumptions, guesswork, and spectacularly wrong predictions
about the connections between fossil fuel consumption by humans and future carbon dioxide (CO2) parts per million (ppm)
concentrations, the melting of polar
ice sheets, and an impeding
sea level rise disaster.
For both hemispheres combined, then, the addition of
about 65 ppm of atmospheric CO2
concentration since 1979 has apparently had no overall effect on global - scale
sea ice trends.
Presenting such alternative figures confuses and undermines the public understanding of the actual science, which is an understanding
about the driving mechanisms of
sea level rise: thermal expansion of ocean water, melting of mountain glaciers and complex dynamics of large
ice sheets — in correspondence again with projected temperature rise, that is in turn a product of projected rises of greenhouse gas
concentrations using calculated estimates of climate sensitivity, together creating a net disturbance in Earth's energy balance, the very root cause of anthropogenic climate change.