Sentences with phrase «about the climate modeling in»

That was my original impression about the climate modeling in general.

So he managed to refute Naomi Oreskes 1995 paper then about climate models in his TED talk?

Not exact matches

Blank, who recently spent two weeks in Chile lecturing about innovation, says Start - Up Chile could offer a breakthrough model for other small countries hoping to create a start - up climate.

I confess that I have become somewhat blasé about the range of exciting — I think revolutionary is probably more accurate — technologies that we are rolling out today: our work in genomics and its translation into varieties that are reaching poor farmers today; our innovative integration of long — term and multilocation trials with crop models and modern IT and communications technology to reach farmers in ways we never even imagined five years ago; our vision to create a C4 rice and see to it that Golden Rice reaches poor and hungry children; maintaining productivity gains in the face of dynamic pests and pathogens; understanding the nature of the rice grain and what makes for good quality; our many efforts to change the way rice is grown to meet the challenges of changing rural economies, changing societies, and a changing climate; and, our extraordinary array of partnerships that has placed us at the forefront of the CGIAR change process through the Global Rice Science Partnership.

«Even our upper estimate, 0.01 bar, is an insignificant amount in comparison to the atmosphere required to maintain a sufficiently strong greenhouse effect, about 1 bar or more according to climate models.»

Similar conclusions were reached about impacts of climate change on wheat in the UK, where climate change models are predicting warmer, wetter winters for the country.

When they corrected the error, Wentz and Schabel derived a warming trend of about 0.07 °C per decade, more in line with surface thermometers and climate models.

By improving the understanding of how much radiation CO2 absorbs, uncertainties in modelling climate change will be reduced and more accurate predictions can be made about how much Earth is likely to warm over the next few decades.

Over the past 34 years, rainfall in Uganda has decreased by about 12 percent even though many of the global climate models predict an increase in rainfall for the area, according to an international team of researchers.

About 80 percent of the 23 climate models used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change predict some degree of drought in the Amazon if greenhouse gas emissions keep climbing, hclimate models used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change predict some degree of drought in the Amazon if greenhouse gas emissions keep climbing, hClimate Change predict some degree of drought in the Amazon if greenhouse gas emissions keep climbing, he said.

The researchers then used a mathematical model that combined the conflict data with temperature and rainfall projections through 2050 to come up with predictions about the likelihood of climate - related violence in the future.

Climate models suggest that widespread glaciations couldn't take place at that time unless CO2 levels dropped to about eight times what they are at present, says Tim Lenton, an earth scientist at the University of Exeter in the United Kingdom.

But early on Jenkins realized that the global climate models are too coarse to tell much about what's going to happen in the Sahelian zone.

James Hansen, director of NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies in New York City and a vociferous advocate for lowering global greenhouse gas emissions, was chosen for his work modeling Earth's climate, predicting global warming, and warning the world about the consequences.

About a dozen research groups recently launched a new effort called PlioMIP2, or Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project, Phase 2, to model the climate of a time somewhat similar to today in the mid-Pliocene, about 3.205 million yearsAbout a dozen research groups recently launched a new effort called PlioMIP2, or Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project, Phase 2, to model the climate of a time somewhat similar to today in the mid-Pliocene, about 3.205 million yearsModel Intercomparison Project, Phase 2, to model the climate of a time somewhat similar to today in the mid-Pliocene, about 3.205 million yearsmodel the climate of a time somewhat similar to today in the mid-Pliocene, about 3.205 million yearsabout 3.205 million years ago.

Uncertainty about rain, little uncertainty about sea level rise Climate change could also affect precipitation in California, though the two models USGS used in its research produced different results.

Gentine and his team are now exploring ways to model how biosphere - atmosphere interactions may change with a shifting climate, as well as learning more about the drivers of photosynthesis, in order to better understand atmospheric variability.

They used two different climate models, each with a different sensitivity to carbon dioxide, to project California's future under two scenarios: an optimistic one, in which we only double the level of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere — since the 19th century we've already increased it by about a third — and a pessimistic scenario, in which we more than triple CO2.

The scientists generated the enormous dataset by running NCAR's Weather Research and Forecasting model at an extremely high resolution of about 4 kilometers (about 2.5 miles), across the entire contiguous U.S. Typical climate models only resolve to about 100 kilometers (about 62 miles)-- not nearly the detail available in the new dataset.

If only modest action is taken to reign in greenhouse gas emissions, the model predicts that pikas will disappear from about 75 percent of sites by 2070 (51 to 88 percent, depending on the global climate model used).

The newly recovered descriptions could provide valuable perspective about past conditions and possibly help scientists hone computer models that predict changes in the region's climate.

«The change in flux described by our model happens over extremely long time periods, and it would be a mistake to think that these processes that are bringing about any of the atmospheric changes are occurring due to anthropomorphic climate change,» he said.

In the journal Nature Climate Change it is demonstrated, that modeled DMS emissions decrease by about 18 (± 3) % in 2100 compared to preindustrial times as a result of the combined effects of ocean acidification and climate changIn the journal Nature Climate Change it is demonstrated, that modeled DMS emissions decrease by about 18 (± 3) % in 2100 compared to preindustrial times as a result of the combined effects of ocean acidification and climate Climate Change it is demonstrated, that modeled DMS emissions decrease by about 18 (± 3) % in 2100 compared to preindustrial times as a result of the combined effects of ocean acidification and climate changin 2100 compared to preindustrial times as a result of the combined effects of ocean acidification and climate climate change.

«A challenge for the coming years is to use these kinds of climate models to be able to make predictions about populations and ecosystems in the future.

That uncertainty is represented in the latest crop of global climate models, which assume a climate sensitivity of anywhere from about 3 to 8 degrees F.

Isaac Held, a National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration climate scientist, said he agreed with the researchers about the «the importance of getting the ice - liquid ratio in mixed - phase clouds right,» but he doesn't agree that global climate models generally underestimate climate sensitivity.

«Our goal is to learn enough about these convoluted processes to represent them (for the first time) in the models that scientists use to predict how our climate will evolve over the 21st century and beyond.»

It was amazing to see how our results, when combined with work of many other research groups and compared to the newest generation of climate models, revealed a consistent story about how rainfall patterns were altered in the past.»

«Many studies have looked at average snowfall over a season in climate models, but there's less known about these very heavy snowfalls,» says study author Paul O'Gorman, an associate professor in MIT's Department of Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences.

«If you haven't had proximity to these glaciers, if you haven't thought about where water comes from, it would be easy to understate or underestimate the implications of glacial ice loss in a state that has predominantly a semi-desert climate and certainly by contemporary climate models is going to be pretty significantly impacted by climate change,» said Jacki Klancher, a professor of environmental science at Central Wyoming College.

Who's to Blame To avoid price gouging, consumer advocate Newton and scientist Mills urge insurance companies to be transparent about the models they use for setting premiums — specifically how they factor in catastrophes believed to have been brought on by climate change.

«As climate models are being developed, we are beginning to get more accurate information about the impacts of climate change to severe weather incidents in areas like Finland,» says meteorologist Pauli Jokinen from Finnish Meteorological Institute.

As can be seen your graph, our climate models make a wide range of predictions (perhaps 0.5 - 5 degC, a 10-fold uncertainty) about how much «committed warming» will occur in the future under any stabilization scenario, so we don't seem to have a decent understanding of these processes.

Scientists use data from the SGP to learn about cloud, aerosol, and atmospheric processes, which in turn leads to improvements in models of the Earth's climate.

Because elements of this system are poorly understood and poorly represented in global climate models, collecting real - time, complementary data from a variety of areas will go a long way toward improving scientists ability to use these models for making accurate predictions about Earths climate.

On the face of it the range of the IPCC models is centrally within the A&H 90 % range, but visual inspection of Figure 1 suggests that A&H find that there is about a 45 % probability that climate sensitivity is below the lower end of the range quoted by Meehl in August 2004 (Of course the IPCC draft report, which I have not seen, may include models with lower sensitivity than 2.6 ºC).

That may be true if you are talking about climate models, but in determining the impact of higher temperatures on ecosystems and agriculture, knowledge about the MWP and other past temperature extremes is likely very interesting.

Of the many inane arguments that are made against taking action on climate change, perhaps the most fatuous is that the projections climate models offer about the future are too uncertain to justify taking steps that might inconvenience us in the present.

According to one study that looked at eight fuel aridity metrics in the Western U.S. and modeled climate change's effects on them, human - caused climate change accounted for about 55 percent of the observed increases in fuel aridity between 1979 and 2015 (Figure 6), and added an estimated 4.2 million hectares of forest fire area between 1984 and 2015.7 Based on all eight metrics, the Western U.S. experienced an average of 9 additional days per year of high fire potential due to climate change between 2000 and 2015, a 50 percent increase from the baseline of 17 days per year when looking back to 1979.

The study noted that the same climate models the UN IPCC uses can only «explain only about half of the heating that occurred during a well - documented period of rapid global warming in Earth's ancient past.»

«The study found that climate models explain only about half of the heating that occurred during a well - documented period of rapid global warming in Earth's ancient past.

How about telling everybody how these how climate models work in more detail?

Hi, I don't mean to turn this into yet another sceptic thread, but I've read in another site that there apparently are doubts about current models assuming that climate sensitivity is constant.

But that makes me suspect the sociology article can't be about scientists directly involved in doing climate modeling — the modelers have to be explicit about the exact meaning of each concept taken into account, to be able to do their math.

The model in question didn't give a particularly good simulation of the present - day climate, but one could say the same about every model if one was picky enough...

Another high - profile UN IPCC lead author, Dr. Kevin Trenberth, echoed Renwick's sentiments in 2007 about climate models by referring to them as «story lines.»

«The IPCC acknowledges in its 4th Assessment Report that ENSO conditions can not be predicted more than about 12 months ahead, so the output of climate models that could not predict ENSO conditions were being compared to temperatures during a period that was dominated by those influences.

The results could lead to better predictive models to inform future decisions about energy production and use, and a better understanding of changes in the climate.

A couple of commentators (Pat Michaels, Roy Spencer) recently raised an issue about the standard scenarios used to compare climate models, in this case related to a study on the potential increase in hurricane activity.

There is still uncertainty about many aspects of the dynamics of climate change, and this will only be addressed by investment in climate models and the top - of - the - range supercomputers needed to run them.