Not exact matches
In our industrial world, rapidly
increasing atmospheric CO2 has surpassed 400 ppm, levels not achieved since the Pliocene era
about 3 million years ago, while
global temperature has
increased nearly 1 °C since the 1870s.
To be more specific, the models project that over the next 20 years, for a range of plausible emissions, the
global temperature will
increase at an average rate of
about 0.2 degree C per decade, close to the observed rate over the past 30 years.
At least two studies have been published since 2010 that suggest reducing soot and methane would cut human - caused
global temperature increases by half of a degree Celsius, or
about 1 degree Fahrenheit, by 2050.
The discoveries of these proteins and genes have the potential to address a wide range of critical agricultural problems in the future, including the limited availability of water for crops, the need to
increase water use efficiency in lawns as well as crops and concerns among farmers
about the impact heat stress will have in their crops as
global temperatures and CO2 levels continue to rise.
That's what researchers found when they looked back 56 million years, during a time when
global temperatures increased about 6 ° for a period of 20,000 years.
In New York City, the average
temperature has
increased about four degrees Fahrenheit since 1880, and could get 10 degrees hotter by 2100, according to a study commissioned by the federally funded U.S.
Global Change Research Program.
The study shows that by century's end, absent serious reductions in
global emissions, the most extreme, once - in -25-years heat waves would
increase from wet - bulb
temperatures of
about 31 C to 34.2 C. «It brings us close to the threshold» of survivability, he says, and «anything in the 30s is very severe.»
Results of a new study by researchers at the Northeast Climate Science Center (NECSC) at the University of Massachusetts Amherst suggest that
temperatures across the northeastern United States will
increase much faster than the
global average, so that the 2 - degrees Celsius warming target adopted in the recent Paris Agreement on climate change will be reached
about 20 years earlier for this part of the U.S. compared to the world as a whole.
The researchers plugged this information into a computer model to find out the effect on the climate of
increasing tree cover and diminishing grassland and found that it led to a
global temperature increase of
about 0.1 °C (Geophysical Research Letters, DOI: 10.1029 / 2010gl043985).
However, cutting emissions so that
global temperatures increase by no more than 2 degrees Celsius (3.2 degrees Fahrenheit) could reduce those impacts by half, with
about a quarter of the state's natural vegetation affected.
The What We Know report further states that «according to the IPCC, given the current pathway for carbon emissions the high end of the «likely» range for the expected
increase in
global temperature is
about 8 ˚ F by the end of the century.
That
increase is comparable to the
increase in
global temperature during the 20th century of
about 0.6 °C.
The public, press and policy makers have been repeatedly told that three claims have widespread scientific support:
Global temperature has risen
about a degree since the late 19th century; levels of CO2 in the atmosphere have
increased by
about 30 % over the same period; and CO2 should contribute to future warming.
Expressed as a
global average, surface
temperatures have
increased by
about 0.74 °C over the past hundred years (between 1906 and 2005; see Figure 1).
As a consequence, their results are strongly influenced by the low
increase in observed warming during the past decade (
about 0.05 °C / decade in the 1998 — 2012 period compared to
about 0.12 °C / decade from 1951 to 2012, see IPCC 2013), and therewith possibly also by the incomplete coverage of
global temperature observations (Cowtan and Way 2013).
but what
about el ninos... the
global temperature increases, but it's an entirely internal phenomenon.
But if people continue to pump greenhouse gases into the air at current rates,
global temperatures could
increase by as much as 7.8 °C (
about 14 °F) by 2100, the new report points out.
The public, press and policy makers have been repeatedly told that three claims have widespread scientific support:
Global temperature has risen
about a degree since the late 19th century; levels of CO2 [carbon dioxide] in the atmosphere have
increased by
about 30 percent over the same period; and CO2 should contribute to future warming.
Yet to say that «Most of the observed
increase in
global average
temperatures since the mid-20th century is very likely due to the observed
increase in anthropogenic GHG concentrations», science must «very likely» know everything important
about the subject.
Global average surface
temperatures increased on average by
about 0.6 degrees Celsius over the period 1956 - 2006.
The surface
temperature increase that partially gave rise to concerns
about global warming coincided with a move to tethered electronic measuring devices (um, I think that means thermometers) that forced the movement of many stations closer to buildings and developed areas, causing warming that may not have been corrected for.
But because of the necessary caveats that must be applied due to the state of the science I am starting to feel unable to say much
about climate change apart from: «The
increase in CO2 will very probably cause an overall
increase in
Global Average
Temperature.
Yes, and we now have
about 120 years of pretty good data against which to evaluate the models, and they show unequivocally that GHGs are driving
global temperature increases.
It is predicated on observations and established science — that CO2 is a greenhouse gas, that humans are
increasing CO2 in the atmosphere and that doubling CO2 will raise
global temperatures by
about 3 degrees.
The addition says many climate models typically look at short term, rapid factors when calculating the Earth's climate sensitivity, which is defined as the average
global temperature increase brought
about by a doubling of CO2 in the atmosphere.
but what
about el ninos... the
global temperature increases, but it's an entirely internal phenomenon.
The Nature study is talking
about changes associated with ocean circulation even while CO2, and the
global imbalance, and
global temperature, is
increasing.
The more recent
global climate models project
temperature increases under a business - as - usual model on the order of 5 C, plus or minus
about a degree, by the end of the century.
[Response: For a short period, the planet is still playing «catch up» with the existing forcings, and so we are quite confident in predicting an
increase in
global temperature of
about 0.2 to 0.3 deg C / decade out for 20 years or so, even without a model.
Scenario A predicted a
temperature increase of 0.95 C to 2005 while
global temperatures increased by
about 0.55 C and GHG concentrations are not accelerating.
The effect of the 2007 cooling on the average
global temperature over time was to negate the hardly unusual
increase of a little more than one degree centigrade since
about the 1890's.
He emphasizes ythat the chief concern
about global warming is not the
increase in
temperatures but the resultant disruption in normal climate, that in turn leads to damaging events.
Seems to me the debate
about AGHG
global warming and
increasing TC frequency / intensity / duration boils down to the fact that as sea surface
temperatures, as well as deeper water
temperatures rise, the wallop of any TC over warmer seas without mitigating circumstances like wind sheer and dry air off land masses entrained in the cyclone will likely be much more devastating.
Today scientists have very high confidence
about human - caused
global average surface
temperature increase — a key climate indicator.
These emissions have raised
global temperatures by
about 0.8 degrees Celsius (1.4 degrees Fahrenheit) since the Industrial Revolutions leading to melting glaciers, sea level rise, vanishing Arctic sea ice, species migrations, and
increases in extreme weather such as droughts and floods.
Raw climate model results for a business - as - usual scenario indicate that we can expect
global temperatures to
increase anywhere in the range of 5.8 and 10.6 degrees Fahrenheit (3.2 to 5.9 degrees Celsius) over preindustrial levels by the end of the century — a difference of
about a factor of two between the most - and least - severe projections.
Climate alarm depends on several gloomy assumptions —
about how fast emissions will
increase, how fast atmospheric concentrations will rise, how much
global temperatures will rise, how warming will affect ice sheet dynamics and sea - level rise, how warming will affect weather patterns, how the latter will affect agriculture and other economic activities, and how all climate change impacts will affect public health and welfare.
Figure 1: If climate skeptics are right
about climate sensitivity (green), then
global average
temperature increases will be more moderate this century, shown here for RCP6 (left) and RCP8.5 (right).
4) Over this period (the past two centuries), the
global mean
temperature has
increased slightly and erratically by
about 1.8 degrees Fahrenheit or one degree Celsius; but only since the 1960's have man's greenhouse emissions been sufficient to play a role.
Early 20th century warming was around.4 oC in three decades The
global average
temperature experienced an
increase of +0.57 C between 1910 and 1944: http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadcrut3/diagnostics/
global/nh+sh/annual Early 20th century was also
about half anthropogenic I'm very curious
about where you get this estimate from.
There is also a natural variability of the climate system (
about a zero reference point) that produces El Nino and La Nina effects arising from changes in ocean circulation patterns that can make the
global temperature increase or decrease, over and above the
global warming due to CO2.
«
Global annually averaged surface air
temperature has
increased by
about 1.8 °F (1.0 °C) over the last 115 years (1901 — 2016).
While finishing up her dissertation at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), Parkinson and climate scientist William Kellogg decided to take the theory
about carbon dioxide emissions
increasing global temperatures and apply it to a sea ice model that Parkinson had built.
Had climate skeptics been editorializing
about global climate in 1974 they would have taken every opportunity to point out to Plass that
global temperature had not
increased during the 18 years since Plass's 1956 paper.
If climate skeptics are right
about climate sensitivity (green), then
global average
temperature increases will be more moderate this century, shown here for RCP6 (left) and RCP8.5 (right).
Obviously there is, but as I tried to say before, there are probably a million different ways you could go
about calculating a «
global temperature» and some climate scientists (with possible financial encouragement from ExxonMobil or others intent on creating uncertainly as a stalling tactic) have apparently found a few of those million ways that don't happen to show much
increase in
temperature.
This represents an
about 53 % administrative
temperature increase over this period, meaning that more than half of the reported (by GISS)
global temperature increase from January 1910 to January 2000 is due to administrative changes of the original data since May 2008.
To have a 50 - 50 chance of staying beneath the maximum
global temperature increase of 2 degrees Celsius (
about 4 degrees Fahrenheit) announced as a target at the 2009 Copenhagen climate summit,
global annual emissions by 2030 should stay beneath 30 billion metric tons.
The melting of the Arctic ice will bring
about changes that go way beyond the disastrous weather events we are seeing (and are clear to anyone looking down here in the South Pacific) but will lead to immediate
increases in
global temperatures which will make the large - scale growing of grain crops impossible.
In my earlier posting, I tried to make the distinction that
global climate change (all that is changing in the climate system) can be separated into: (1) the
global warming component that is driven primarily by the
increase in greenhouse gases, and (2) the natural (externally unforced) variability of the climate system consisting of
temperature fluctuations
about an equilibrium reference point, which therefore do not contribute to the long - term trend.