Click on the buttons below to discuss or ask me any question
about these bubbles on Twitter or Facebook and I will personally respond:
Not exact matches
Achieving that unworldly valuation in such a short time has Butterfield fielding lots of questions lately
about tech
bubbles and whether these sudden fortunes are built
on solid foundations or merely the giddiness of a moment.
I've written
about this plenty, perhaps too much, but it's hard for people to get a handle
on what's going
on when we're not really in a
bubble anymore, but not in a crash either.
VCs like Bill Gurley and Chamath Palihapitiya have been warning of a tech
bubble burst and urging startups to think
about profit early
on.
However, when it comes to speculating
on value of cryptocurrency, they worry
about this becoming a
bubble and a source of problem for educated investors.
Click
on each of the
bubbles, below, to learn more
about them.
One way to escape the
bubble and see what's really going
on in an organization is to develop relationships with line employees, including manufacturing workers and salespeople who know a great deal
about the company's interactions with the outside world.
Posts
about cryptocurrency have exploded
on Reddit, according to data analyzed by MarketWatch, prompting yet more speculation that the assets are a
bubble about to pop, or entering the mainstream — depending
on which side of the fence you stand.
With the Nasdaq finally surpassing its dotcom peak
on Friday, worries
about a return to the tech
bubble are back in focus.
On a recent Ventured podcast, I spoke with KPCB general partner Randy Komisar
about whether or not there's a tech
bubble and the consequences of raising too much capital.
The
bubbling interest comes as regulators grow increasingly worried
about debt levels and the capacity of ordinary households to pay back big loans
on expensive houses.
Meanwhile, the former governor of the Bank of Canada raised a red flag
about the «carbon
bubble,» Canada's premiers agreed to develop a Canadian energy strategy that would address climate change, and Elon Musk broke ground
on his Gigafactory that will slash the costs of electric vehicle batteries and, by extension, the cars themselves.
[16:00] Pain + reflection = progress [16:30] Creating a meritocracy to draw the best out of everybody [18:30] How to raise your probability of being right [18:50] Why we are conditioned to need to be right [19:30] The neuroscience factor [19:50] The habitual and environmental factor [20:20] How to get to the other side [21:20] Great collective decision - making [21:50] The 5 things you need to be successful [21:55] Create audacious goals [22:15] Why you need problems [22:25] Diagnose the problems to determine the root causes [22:50] Determine the design for what you will do
about the root causes [23:00] Decide to work with people who are strong where you are weak [23:15] Push through to results [23:20] The loop of success [24:15] Ray's new instinctual approach to failure [24:40] Tony's ritual after every event [25:30] The review that changed Ray's outlook
on leadership [27:30] Creating new policies based
on fairness and truth [28:00] What people are missing
about Ray's culture [29:30] Creating meaningful work and meaningful relationships [30:15] The importance of radical honesty [30:50] Thoughtful disagreement [32:10] Why it was the relationships that changed Ray's life [33:10] Ray's biggest weakness and how he overcame it [34:30] The jungle metaphor [36:00] The dot collector — deciding what to listen to [40:15] The wanting of meritocratic decision - making [41:40] How to see
bubbles and busts [42:40] Productivity [43:00] Where we are in the cycle [43:40] What the Fed will do [44:05] We are late in the long - term debt cycle [44:30] Long - term debt is going to be squeezing us [45:00] We have 2 economies [45:30] This year is very similar to 1937 [46:10] The top tenth of the top 1 % of wealth = bottom 90 % combined [46:25] How this creates populism [47:00] The economy for the bottom 60 % isn't growing [48:20] If you look at averages, the country is in a bind [49:10] What are the overarching principles that bind us together?
Above all, Facebook's reversion to reliance
on individual users to drive content does nothing to address longstanding concerns
about echo chambers and «filter
bubbles»
on the site.
It was in Kindleberger's book that I also first learned
about the impact of the Franco - Prussian War of 1870 - 71 and the subsequent reparations payments
on global financial markets (which I discuss extensively in a February blog entry) and in unleashing the final stage of a global liquidity
bubble that ended with the various panics of 1873.
Advice: CNBC was criticized for its coverage of the dot com
bubble during the late 90's because it took more of a cheerleader role than as an objective news source.Now, the network is required to report whether analysts it has
on its shows do banking business with the stocks they're talking
about.
After the
bubble burst,
about half of them owed more
on their homes than they were worth.
About the author: JS Kim is the Managing Director and Founder of SmartKnowledgeU, a fiercely independent research, consulting and education firm that focuses
on gold and silver asset investment strategies as a means of countering the damaging effects of rapidly devaluing fiat currencies worldwide and price - distorted stock market and asset
bubbles created by Central Bankers.
Steve: Morgan Housel, we had
on the podcast, wrote this really good post
about bubbles and how they form, and the momentum behind them.
You can hear a lot of opinions
about the
bubble and so
on.
While I believe markets are efficient when it comes to stocks, bonds, currencies and commodities and reflect all known information at the time, in the case of bitcoin, and a few other instances like the ONLY stock I've bought in over a year (now up big), when I start to see the mainstream media reporting
on something, google search volume through the roof (chart below) and lastly, when your mom asks
about it — it may be signaling mainstream acceptance and further expansion of a major
bubble.
And what's important there is, first, that the
bubble is identified by a set of experts — a set of policy makers who are focused
on this issues — and, secondly, once the recommendations are made it's a broader political decision, not just the central banking making the decision; it's a broader decision made by policy makers and legislators
about what to do
about the problem.
Instead of embracing realistic expectations and a time - tested approach, you may be tempted to react to predictions
about bubbles ahead or another financial crisis
on the horizon.
Richard: Great insight as always, and last time we talked
about the commercial real estate
bubble and we thought today we'd do a special focus
on the millennial generation and how financial repression through repressed interest rates and quantitative easing has resulted in asset
bubbles that ultimately have affected the millennial generation in terms of their values, how they look at the economy and life and the way they're conducting themselves in the economy: what they're facing in terms of the housing market and the job situation.
Last time we talked
about the commercial real estate
bubble and we thought today we'd do a special focus
on the millennial generation and how financial repression through repressed interest rates and quantitative easing has resulted in asset
bubbles that ultimately have affected the millennial generation in terms of their values, how they look at the economy and life and the way they're conducting themselves in the economy: what they're facing in terms of the housing market and the job situation.
Bubbles form when emotions override logic, and based
on the attitudes around these stocks (and the vitriol I received in the comments when I wrote
about them) emotions are the driving force behind their lofty valuations.
It's one thing for an anonymous Twitter avatar to talk frankly
about housing
bubbles, and quite another for the governor of the Bank of Canada to base his public remarks
on worst - case scenarios.
The first chapter talks more
about the historic returns
on the market and compares it with periods where investors expected much more during market
bubbles.
Some tokens are not based
on any fundamental value, thus, may facilitate
bubbles and Ponzi schemes.Furthermore, Stellar and LHoFT emphasized the issue of «investor education» — some investors are not informed well enough
about an ICO project before investing in it.
A small but growing number of countries now have legal requirements for institutional investors to report
on how their investment policies and performance are affected by environmental factors, including South Africa and, prospectively, the EU.36 Concern
about the risks of a «carbon
bubble» — that highly valued fossil fuel assets and investments could be devalued or «stranded» under future, more stringent climate policies — prompted G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors in April 2015 to ask the Financial Stability Board in Basel to convene an inquiry into how the financial sector can take account of climate - related issues.37
It is a refining fire, a hot flame that keeps our faith alive and moving and
bubbling about, where certainty would only freeze it
on the spot.»
But I think that to go
on to create life without intervening (ie place the right chemicals within lipid
bubbles to create cells) may require a ton of random chance, and could take a lab the size of the ocean, and
about a half a billion years to work.
By taking
on complex characters who don't easily fit any predetermined
bubble, Plaza is helping the rest of us feel better
about our own lack of labels.
Stir to combine and heat
on medium / low heat until the sauce starts to
bubble slightly and is fully warmed (
about 10 minutes).
Cook the pancakes until
bubbles form
on the top (
about 2 minutes), then turn and cook for
about 2 more minutes.
Bang the tray firmly
on the work surface to help any air
bubbles rise to the top and then place in the freezer for
about 30 minutes or, if you are travelling, in an alternative, very cool place until the chocolate has firmly set.
When melted, pour tablespoons of batter, cooking until
bubbles appear
on the surface,
about 2 minutes.
If making pancakes, cook until
bubbles appear
on the top,
about 3 minutes.
Puree until mixture is smooth and
bubbles form
on top,
about 15 seconds.
Scoop batter into the pan (
about 1/4 cup) and cook until
bubbles appear
on the surface of the pancakes.
Bake in preheated oven for
about 10 minutes, until the pita is crisp
on the edges and the cheese is
bubbling.
Set all the ramekins
on a sheet pan and cook in a 350 degree oven for 30 minutes, removing the foil at
about 20 minutes or when the lasagnas start to
bubble.
Place pie
on a baking sheet and bake until crust is golden and filling is
bubbling,
about 50 minutes.
The candy is easiest in that you can just clip it
on the side of the pot and don't have to worry
about holding your hand over the
bubbling sugar, but I do find the instant - reads to be more accurate.
I had it
on medium heat
on my stove, it started lightly
bubbling as you said it should, I constantly stirred for
about 5 minutes, and it began to get really thick and instead of gooey, it was crystalizing... I immediately took it off the stove and mixed in the other ingredients and threw it in the oven.
Bake in preheated oven
on pizza stone for
about 10 minutes, until the crust is puffed and golden brown and the cheese is
bubbling.
Bake in 350 F degree oven for
about 40 minutes, or until heated through and cheese is
bubbling on top.Serves 7 (2 each)
Cook until edges are set and
bubbles on surface are just beginning to break (
about 2 - 3 minutes).
Cook until tops are covered with
bubbles and edges look dry and cooked,
about 2 to 3 minutes; turn and cook 1 to 2 minutes
on other side.
Cook until the bottoms are golden brown and
bubbles are forming
on top,
about 3 minutes.