Not exact matches
Instead of shocking your body with an
abrupt change in foods, the Better Choices Diet
focuses on evolving your diet one food at a time.
It turned out things were far more nuanced (as he later said, «The Earth system may be less responsive
in the warm times than it was
in the cold times»), but
in a field that had long mainly foreseen smooth curves for planetary
change with rising greenhouse gas levels, the result was a vital
focus on the risks of
abrupt climate
change.
The first report knew, and commented on, the possibilities of gradual climate
change pushing ecosystems or economies over thresholds and triggering
abrupt responses, but the new report
focuses on such tipping points
in our societies and environment.
Favourite plays include hyper -
focus on one, extremely speculative study (T&S 09); misrepresenting the potential for
abrupt cooling
in the C21st, dismissing the dominance of the centennial forced trend, misrepresenting deglacial
abrupt climate
change; grossly over-stating the accuracy and utility of pre-CERES TOA reconstructions (especially the synthetic, non-observational ISCCP - FD reconstruction); hyper -
focus on interannual OHC variability; confusion of cause and effect with long - term trends
in OHC (CO2 forcing denial) and general inability to see that natural variability from now on will be riding up a forced trend which will increasingly dominate climate behaviour.
He sums it up this way: «The climate science establishment is so
focused on the fight to reduce CO2 emissions that it has ignored the bigger picture: that the Earth System is hurtling towards a new climate regime for the planet, led by
abrupt changes in the Arctic as it becomes seasonally free of sea ice.
Given the perceived «importance of extreme events as
foci for public and governmental opinion», «the most valuable thing to do is to tell the story about
abrupt change as vividly as possible»,
in order to «help the cause».
This report uses examples provided
in the literature to illustrate the potential connections between extreme climate events and
abrupt climate
change, and highlights the need for a
focused research effort to explore these climate events with high societal consequences but low probability.
Hull's research
focuses on the relationship between open ocean life and the environment during mass extinctions,
abrupt climatic events, and
changes in background climate state.