Not exact matches
After weeding out bad businesses the next needle (s) to pass is the parallel decision on if this good
stock is also cheep judging from the
absolute level
of a number
of valuation multiples and if the investor in the process
of analyzing the qualities and inexpensiveness
of the
stock has been free from biases.
In the process
of scanning the investment landscape to find value amidst the all time highs for the indices, I've noticed that a number
of big cap tech
stocks are priced at low
valuations relative to their earnings and free cash flow, measured on an
absolute basis and relative to their own historical
valuations.
Relative
valuation of stocks is a good alternative to the
absolute valuation.
When implementing this strategy, you simply need to look for
stocks with a low
absolute share price, regardless
of it's
valuation (meaning a
stock selling at $ 20.00 is better than a
stock selling at $ 50.00, all else being equal —
valuation still matters).
Sure, we could while away the hours debating & agonising over that... but in
absolute terms, all
stocks (regardless
of valuation) present some inescapable level
of unquantifiable potential downside risk.
Stock valuations are never
absolute — it is always a question
of the other assets you are measuring the
stocks against, and how you desirable those other assets will be in the future, and how sustainable the profitability
of stocks will be over time.
A bunch
of fundamentally solid funds have been hammered by their
absolute value orientation; that is, their refusal to buy
stocks when they believe that the
stock's
valuations and the underlying corporation's prospects simply do not offer a sufficient margin
of safety for the risks they're taking, much less compelling opportunities.
I think it's hard too when considering a single
stock since it's absolute; e.g. if comparing Stock A which is considered overvalued with Stock B which is considered undervalued; in the same timeframe as your example, Stock B could have increased more than the 16 % of Stock A. For me, that would be the point of the valuation, to force the question «is another better valued stock available?&r
stock since it's
absolute; e.g. if comparing
Stock A which is considered overvalued with Stock B which is considered undervalued; in the same timeframe as your example, Stock B could have increased more than the 16 % of Stock A. For me, that would be the point of the valuation, to force the question «is another better valued stock available?&r
Stock A which is considered overvalued with
Stock B which is considered undervalued; in the same timeframe as your example, Stock B could have increased more than the 16 % of Stock A. For me, that would be the point of the valuation, to force the question «is another better valued stock available?&r
Stock B which is considered undervalued; in the same timeframe as your example,
Stock B could have increased more than the 16 % of Stock A. For me, that would be the point of the valuation, to force the question «is another better valued stock available?&r
Stock B could have increased more than the 16 %
of Stock A. For me, that would be the point of the valuation, to force the question «is another better valued stock available?&r
Stock A. For me, that would be the point
of the
valuation, to force the question «is another better valued
stock available?&r
stock available?»
Returning to asset managers, %
of AUM is the key
absolute valuation metric, and I believe Price / Sales (based on operating profit margins) is the best
stock specific
valuation ratio.
-- Regardless
of my thoughts on
valuation, it was perhaps inevitable the
absolute & relative performance
of the TGISVP Portfolios would be dominated each year by resource
stocks.
The alternative,
of course, is to sit down & re-survey the listed German property sector, in the hopes
of finding another KWG... i.e. a still relatively undiscovered
stock / company that offers an attractive relative /
absolute valuation and / or prospective NAV growth!?
But frankly speaking, this is an over-simplified way
of seeing whether the
stock market is over-valued or not, and I'm not even done with talking about
absolute valuation nor begun to talk about relative
valuation.
In this 15 January 2008 article The Dash To Trash And The Grab For Growth James Montier wrote just shortly after the
absolute peak in the 2008 bull market he suggests that if you can not move to cash because
of career risk then invest in large dividend paying companies as what is going to happen to growth
stocks at already high
valuations is not going to be pretty.