From reading the first few paragraphs of this, I was inclined to conclude that
an accelerating sea level rise from the previous century could be gradual enough to allow for a natural adaptation to occur.
The combination of global warming and
accelerating sea level rise from Greenland could be the trigger for catastrophic collapse in the WAIS (see, for instance, here).
Not exact matches
The gathering will draw approximately 400 representatives
from other Arctic nations and interested foreign observers, and will give Obama a platform to highlight how changes in the Arctic will affect the rest of the world by
accelerating warming, contributing to
sea -
level rise and changing precipitation patterns at lower altitudes.
But since climate scientists already expect a wide range of negative consequences
from rising temperatures, including higher
sea level, more weather extremes and increasing risks to human health, anything that
accelerates warming is a concern.
As glaciers and overland ice sheets shed ice and the warming oceans expand,
sea level rise is
accelerating; NASA says the rate of
sea level rise has jumped
from 1 millimeter per year 100 years ago to 3 millimeters per year today.
Our modelled values are consistent with current rates of Antarctic ice loss and
sea -
level rise, and imply that
accelerated mass loss
from marine - based portions of Antarctic ice sheets may ensue when an increase in global mean air temperature of only 1.4 - 2.0 deg.
This seems like particularly important new research:
From CNN «Satellite observations show
sea levels rising, and climate change is
accelerating it».
«This uncertainty is illustrated by Pollard et al. (2015), who found that addition of hydro - fracturing and cliff failure into their ice sheet model increased simulated
sea level rise from 2 m to 17 m, in response to only 2 °C ocean warming and
accelerated the time for substantial change
from several centuries to several decades.»
It is a sweeping and valuable cross-disciplinary description of ways in which climate and ocean dynamics, pushed by the planet's human - amplified greenhouse effect, could
accelerate sea level rise far beyond the range seen as plausible in the last report
from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and the most recent review of what leading experts on
sea level think, this 2014 paper: «Expert assessment of
sea -
level rise by AD 2100 and AD 2300.»
This is not significant at the 95 % confidence
level, and it is a factor of 2 — 4 less than that alleged
from accelerated sea level rise along the U.S. Coast north of Cape Hatteras.
In New Orleans, geophysical vulnerability is characterized by its below -
sea level, bowl - shaped location, its
accelerating subsidence,
rising sea level, storm surges, and possible increased frequency of larger hurricanes
from climate change.
Alarmed at the pace of change to our Earth caused by human - induced climate change, including
accelerating melting and loss of ice
from Greenland, the Himalayas and Antarctica, acidification of the world's oceans due to
rising CO2 concentrations, increasingly intense tropical cyclones, more damaging and intense drought and floods, including glacial lakes outburst loods, in many regions and higher
levels of
sea -
level rise than estimated just a few years ago, risks changing the face of the planet and threatening coastal cities, low lying areas, mountainous regions and vulnerable countries the world over,
A paper by Houston & Dean studies 57 tide gauge records
from the U.S. (including Hawaii and oceanic territories) and concludes that
sea level rise has not
accelerated.
Judith Curry conclusions «[C1] It looks to me that the evidence for
accelerating anthropogenic
sea level rise is pretty weak -LSB-...][C2] The practical issues associated with
sea level rise are fundamentally local, and local
sea level rise can be substantially different
from GMSL
rise.
As the rate of ice loss has
accelerated, its contribution to global
sea level rise has increased
from a little more than half of the total increase
from 1993 - 2008 to 75 - 80 percent of the total increase between 2003 - 2007.
Pat Michaels sums it up: Such results throw a bit of cold water on alarmist ideas that
rising temperatures will lead to ever -
accelerating ice loss
from Greenland and
accelerating sea level rise.
Sea level rise is
accelerating, though not as dramatically as this tsunami
from the 2015 disaster movie «San Andreas.»
Recent estimates suggest that globally, human groundwater extraction currently exceeds rates of water capture
from dam building, so that groundwater depletion is now
accelerating sea level rise.)
[18] The report determines that manmade greenhouse gas emissions will
accelerate sea -
level rise, increase the intensity and frequency of extreme weather, and warm the planet at an unsustainable rate, adversely affecting everything
from human and ecosystem health to transportation, forestry, and agriculture.
A run of bad news
from the climate scientists might convince a government that the breakup of the Greenland ice sheet was
accelerating, and that Earth's low - lying areas were facing an imminent
rise of 3 feet or more in
sea level.
Global
sea -
level rise is
accelerating:
from 1993 to 2003 the rate was 70 percent higher than the average rate for the twentieth century.
«Carbon choices determine US cities committed to futures below
sea level» «Economic impacts of climate change in Europe:
sea -
level rise» «Future flood losses in major coastal cities» «Forecasting the effects of
accelerated sea -
level rise on tidal marsh ecosystem services» «Coral islands defy
sea -
level rise over the past century: Records
from a central Pacific atoll»
J. T. Fasullo, R. S. Nerem & B. Hamlington Scientific Reports 6, Article number: 31245 (2016) doi: 10.1038 / srep31245 Download Citation Climate and Earth system modellingProjection and prediction Received: 13 April 2016 Accepted: 15 July 2016 Published online: 10 August 2016 Erratum: 10 November 2016 Updated online 10 November 2016 Abstract Global mean
sea level rise estimated
from satellite altimetry provides a strong constraint on climate variability and change and is expected to
accelerate as the rates of both ocean warming and cryospheric mass loss increase over time.
The vulnerable nations declared that they are, «Alarmed at the pace of change to our Earth caused by human - induced climate change, including
accelerating melting and loss of ice
from Greenland, the Himalayas and Antarctica, acidification of the world's oceans due to
rising CO2 concentrations, increasingly intense tropical cyclones, more damaging and intense drought and floods, including Glacial Lakes Outburst Floods, in many regions and higher
levels of
sea -
level rise than estimated just a few years ago, risks changing the face of the planet and threatening coastal cities, low lying areas, mountainous regions and vulnerable countries the world over...»
Abstract: «Global mean
sea level rise estimated
from satellite altimetry provides a strong constraint on climate variability and change and is expected to
accelerate as the rates of both ocean warming and cryospheric mass loss increase over time.
We want to ask you instead to begin fully embracing a just energy policy for all Virginians that reduces total climate pollution while investing in clean - energy jobs and real investments to protect our people and the military
from accelerating sea -
level rise and other impacts of global warming.
During the rest of the early Holocene, the rate of
sea level rise varied
from a low of about 6.0 — 9.9 mm / yr to as high as 30 — 60 mm / yr during brief periods of
accelerated sea level rise.
A study by researchers
from the University of Colorado - Boulder showed that global
sea level is on the
rise at an
accelerating rate.
In other words, linear projections of
sea level rise are likely to be widely off the mark by the end of the 21st Century as the net flow
from cryosphere to ocean is looking to be nonlinearly
accelerating.
Net mass flow is moving
from mainly cryosphere (Greenland and Antarctica) to the ocean, with the resultant
sea level rise from each region affecting global
sea level is amazingly different ways, but a consistent story beginning to take shape that tells us to expect this shift in mass
from cryosphere to ocean to
accelerate as the 21st Century progresses.
According to a study published Monday, global
sea level rise is
accelerating as a result of ocean water warming and sooner - than - expected ice loss
from the west Antarctica and Greenland ice sheets, and could reach 26 inches by 2100.
Arctic warming alters weather patterns far
from the region and also
accelerates sea level rise globally with the melting of the massive Greenland ice sheet.
Consider the different perception that results
from «
sea level is
rising no more rapidly than it did in 1940» instead of «
sea level rise has
accelerated in recent decades,» or
from «heat waves are no more common now than they were in 1900» versus «heat waves have become more frequent since 1960.»
(Reuters)--
Sea level rise in the past two decades has
accelerated faster than previously thought in a sign of climate change threatening coasts
from Florida to Bangladesh, a study said on Wednesday.
Warmer air and ocean temperatures have caused the glacier to detach
from a stabilizing sill and retreat rapidly along a downward - sloping, marine - based bed... After 8 years of decay of its ice shelf, Zachariæ Isstrøm, a major glacier of northeast Greenland that holds a 0.5 - meter
sea -
level rise equivalent, entered a phase of
accelerated retreat in fall 2012.
rising sea levels and
accelerated glacier melt
from global warming could lead to about 17 per cent of Bangladesh's land area — home to about 35m people — being permanently submerged in the coming decades
«Second, in contrast to the previously reported slowing in the rate during the past two decades1, our corrected GMSL data set indicates an acceleration in
sea -
level rise (independent of the VLM used), which is of opposite sign to previous estimates and comparable to the
accelerated loss of ice
from Greenland and to recent projections, and larger than the twentieth - century acceleration.
• Suppose that during the decade to come,
sea -
level rise - rates
accelerate modestly,
from 3.2 mm / year to 4.2 mm / year.
Arctic ice didn't disappear, polar bears didn't die,
sea level rise didn't
accelerate, and there are no climate refugees
from Tuvalu or Kiribati.
For example, Overpeck et al. (2006), and Hansen (2007) suggest possibilities which could eventually lead to a nonlinear response
from ice sheets —
accelerating the current observed
sea level rise.
Science Deliverable III
From Deliverables I - II, predictions of (1)
accelerating oceanic heating, (2)
accelerating ice - mass loss, (3)
accelerating incidence of extraordinary heat and drought, (4)
accelerating sea -
level rise - rate.
The complaint alleged that Oakland was already experiencing impacts
from accelerated sea level rise due to climate change.
The reason I say it is:
Accelerating sea level rise — «Church and White (2006) found a
sea -
level rise from January 1870 to December 2004 of 195 mm, a 20th century rate of
sea -
level rise of 1.7 ± 0.3 mm per yr and a significant acceleration of
sea -
level rise of 0.013 ± 0.006 mm per year.»
seemingly ruling out unexpected large additions to
sea level rise from accelerated melting of Greenland glaciers?
Ice mass loss of the marine - terminating glaciers has rapidly
accelerated from close to balance in the 2000s to a sustained rate of — 56 ± 8 gigatons per year, constituting a major fraction of Antarctica's contribution to
rising sea level.