The AGW hypothesis is driven by the assumption that atmospheric CO2 levels produce the rapid
accelerating warming trends that are so feared.
A team of researchers lead by Florida State University have found new evidence that permafrost thawing is releasing large quantities of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere via plants, which could
accelerate warming trends.
Northern latitude tundra and boreal forests are experiencing
an accelerated warming trend that is greater than in other parts of the world.
These patterns provide the peaks and valleys that we see, yet we can still detect the underlying
accelerating warming trend.
Tsonis and Swanson's analysis finds that imposed forcings have exerted a monotonic and
accelerating warming trend throughout the 20th Century.
Basil Newmerzhycky: I won't bore you with the «2014 will be warmest year of all» hype, but it is almost certain, and with a greater likelihood of
an accelerated warming trend well into the next decade at twice the rate of the previous one, similar to the 0.2 deg C.
Isn't it amazing how well a temperature record such as GISS can be modeled by a montonically
accelerating warming trend dotted with the SOI fluctuations and precisely placed volcanic disturbances?
The broader Hemispheric and regional picture shows that warm events occurring during the two most recent winters were much more extreme than the cold outbreaks and are consistent with a long ‐ term and
accelerating warming trend.
NASA), and an increase of forest fires (releasing Co2 from the carbon sink) is expected to
accelerate the warming trend.
Not exact matches
The loss may be
accelerating: since 2006,
warm summers have caused levels to rise by 0.75 millimetres per year, though van den Broeke says we can't be sure whether this
trend will continue (Science, DOI: 10.1126 / science.1178176).
«It's fair to say that over the next couple of decades, we would expect to see the
trend reverse, and internal variability
accelerating the
warming.»
Most climatologists expect that on average the atmospheres water vapor content will increase in response to surface
warming caused by the long - lived greenhouse gases, further
accelerating the overall
warming trend.
Such scaremongering is especially painful to me because even though I do not think that government - approved GMO foods pose meaningful health risks to consumers, and even though I believe strategic genetic engineering can be an important tool to ease human suffering on our
warming and resource - constrained planet, I share the concerns of many environmentalists about the homogenization and consolidation of the global food system —
trends that are
accelerated by the spread of industrially produced GMOs.
The epicenter of agricultural production has moved north and west over the past half - century, and that
trend will likely continue at an
accelerated pace due to global
warming, a new study finds.
Much of this change has occurred over the last several decades indicating that the
warming trend accelerated over the 1925 — 2016 period.
The North Atlantic, for example, has experienced periods of
accelerated warming and cooling, superimposed on a long - term
warming trend.
has experienced periods of
accelerated warming and cooling, superimposed on a long - term
warming trend.
... and there is a second impossibility compounding the first one: during the last few decades of
accelerating global
warming, the Sun has been very precisely monitored from space, and its brightness hasn't shown any discernable
trend.
However, at least with NASA GISS, it would appear that there is no statistical basis as of yet to claim that the
trend in
warming has reversed itself, slowed or
accelerated from what it was beginning in 1975.
Especially since based on the model calculations you'd expect anyway
trends around 0.2 degrees per decade, because models predict not a constant but a gradually
accelerating warming.
The second point might suggest that
warming since 1997 has actually
accelerated, the third point suggests that
trends are quite stable, and the last point is actually quite astonishing, though fortuitous.
A statistical model (based on the work of Judith Lean at the Naval Research Laboratory) that accounts for solar variability, El Niño, volcanic activity, and greenhouse
warming indicates that the underlying
trend of global
warming has
accelerated over the past 15 years.
But as cogently interpreted by the physicist and climate expert Dr. Joseph Romm of the liberal Center for American Progress, «Latif has NOT predicted a cooling
trend — or a «decades - long deep freeze» — but rather a short - time span where human - caused
warming might be partly offset by ocean cycles, staying at current record levels, but then followed by «
accelerated»
warming where you catch up to the long - term human - caused
trend.
All of these larger natural pathways for emitting low - C13 carbon into the atmosphere have been considerably
accelerated by this same
warming trend.
Exceeding the 400 parts per million level of worldwide atmospheric carbon dioxide later this decade continues a troubling
trend which brings the world closer to the potential to reach a global
warming tipping point in which global
warming accelerates rapidly as the potent greenhouse gas methane is liberated from the frozen state that it has been in for millions of years.
As reported by Chris Mooney at Mother Jones at the time (now a journalist at the Washington Post), the draft report warned unequivocally that unchecked greenhouse gas emissions would cause the global
warming trend to «
accelerate significantly,» bringing more heat waves and weather extremes, severe storms, rising seas, devastating floods, prolonged droughts, and more.
Meehl and Teng recently showed that when this is done, thereby turning a model projection into a hindcast, the models reproduced the observed
trends —
accelerated warming in the 1970s and reduced rate of surface
warming during the last 15 years — quite well.
If the
trend had been different - if
warming had
accelerated, say - you can bet it would have been reported everywhere.
I agree with lolwot that the
warming trend has
accelerated, it's just the direction I take issue with...
A flurry of recent research strongly suggests that recent observations like these are indeed linked to California's long - term
warming trend — and that snowpack losses are expected to
accelerate further over the next few decades.
However, despite this, the team reckon to have perhaps isolated a «global
warming» signal in the
accelerated run off of the Greenland Ice Mass — but only just, because the runoff at the edges is balanced by increasing central mass — again, they focus upon recent
trends — a net loss of about 22 cubic kilometres in total ice mass per year which they regard as statistically not significant — to find the «signal», and a contradiction to their ealier context of air temperature cycles.
The chart's fitted
trends (2nd order polynomial) reveal the earlier period with a closing
warming rate that is
accelerating away from the modern fitted
trend.
Looking at a much longer time span, we see that the long term [natural] global
warming trend is not
accelerating.
«Variability in the ocean will not affect long - term climate
trends but may mean we have a period of
accelerated warming to look forward to,» he said.
And you have to open up your mind to all sorts of claims, such as the one that starting in January of this year, global
warming has
accelerated to the point where the
warming rate is now 0.4 C per year... which is roughly what I just read us the
trend in the UAH data since that time.
As the chart depicts over 12 different time periods (all ending July 2014), reality is that while CO2 levels keep increasing over time, the long - term temperature
warming trend (the red curve) is not rapidly
accelerating towards a tipping point of climate catastrophe.
The IPCC's climate science has long claimed that human CO2 emissions are producing an
accelerated global
warming, with a «runaway»
warming trend, which is then being amplified in the north and south polar extremes.
Clearly, observed temperature
trends are predicting a future temp that resembles the IPCC projection if CO2 was held constant - the actual
trends are multiple times below the «runaway» and «
accelerating» global
warming that Obama and the IPCC still push.
Over the past few hundred years, there has been a steady increase in the numbers of sunspots, a
trend that has
accelerated in the past century, just at the time when the Earth has been getting
warmer.
«Modern science», meaning Man made global
warming is attacked because it calls a global cooling
trend an
accelerated warming (IPCC AR4).
By weighted averages, if every year the global temperature is in the range and with the distribution of the global temperatures of the last ten years, then the cumulative 30 - year running mean by 2024 will continue to
accelerate upward in
trend, as cooler years drop out of the mean replaced by
warmer years.
Nick, it's not just that the
warming trend has declined, it is also that it has not
accelerated.
According to AGW theory and IPCC claims,
warming should be steadily
accelerating... Actually this is formally falsified by observations showing quite a constant back - ground
trend of +0.05 °C per decade, on top of which cooling and
warming periods are alternating.
Recent
accelerated warming of the Arctic results from a positive reinforcement of the linear
warming trend (due to an increasing concentration of greenhouse gases and other possible forcings) by the
warming phase of the multidecadal climate variability (due to fluctuations of the Atlantic Ocean circulation).»
Despite a ≈ 40 % increase in human CO2 emissions, the long term
warming trend has not
accelerated.
«Variability in the ocean will not affect long - term climate
trends, but may mean we have a period of
accelerated warming to look forward to.»
The loss of sea ice also has the potential to
accelerate global
warming trends and to change climate patterns.
While anthropogenic
warming should
accelerate the thawing of offshore permafrost via
warming of Arctic Ocean shelf waters, this impact should be considered additive to a broader thawing
trend that has been underway for thousands of years.
If Trenberth's missing heat existed, hiding away the vast evils of global
warming for some future date, then the sea level rise should be greatly
accelerating - and no, a single data point isn't going to cut it to prove such a
trend.
On the basis of those two numbers alone, which show a
trend increase between those two half - centuries of 0.046 °C / decade, I would have said that the
warming is
accelerating.