Sentences with phrase «account for uncertainty about»

[1] To account for uncertainty about life expectancy, we can add a five - year buffer to the average retirement horizon, resulting in a 25 - year expected withdrawal period.

Not exact matches

Home birth is uncommon in the United Kingdom and uncertainty exists about its safety.1 2 Almost all mortality figures available nationally1 provide merely a single global figure for planned and unplanned home births, though the constituent rates differ greatly.3 The only recent figures for planned home birth in England and Wales relating to 19794 and 19935 provide an inaccurately low estimate of risk because it was not possible to account for those mothers who originally booked to have a home delivery but ended up delivering in hospital.

The new approach contrasts with previous ways scientists analyzed and came to conclusions about sea level rise because it is «the only proper one that aims to fully account for uncertainty using statistical methods,» noted Parnell, principal investigator of the study conducted collaboratively with researchers at Tufts University, Rutgers University and Nanyang Technological University.

Those data, to be collected this year and next, could improve climate models, which account poorly for these atmospheric interactions and contain «horrific» uncertainties about the levels and behaviour of water vapour at stratospheric altitudes, Austin says.

And once we account for this uncertainty, the break - even points become less about raw numbers (do I have to stay 19 or 22 years?)

For instance, uncertainty about the 1994 - 1998 Rwandan refugees» future in exile is compounded by the recent resolution of the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) to launch military attacks on refugees based in the DRC.35 No account has been taken concerning the fact that they are survivors of the 1996 - 2000 massive forced repatriation and that they have been more vulnerable to extremely stressful and traumatic events that took place since the invasion of Rwanda on October 01, 1990.36 Although they are indeed susceptible to posttraumatic stress disorder, depression, high level of fear and anxiety (psychosomatic) and / or malnutrition caused by the persecution and destruction of the war, no one who wants to empathise with them.

Based on the above conclusions, they consider that the future integrity of the property is highly at risk, taking into account the possible prospect of offshore oil exploitation, the uncertainty about the impact of invasive species, the already existing threats for which progress on the corrective measures is unclear and the globally increasing effects of climate change to coral reef systems, including the Belize Barrier Reef system.

Every specialist in the area will understand this, and every scientist who looks at abstract AND figures will as well (common practice), and the remaining text is very explicit about methods and the accounted for uncertainties.

During recent years (1993 — 2003), for which the observing system is much better, thermal expansion and melting of land ice each account for about half of the observed sea level rise, although there is some uncertainty in the estimates.

Unfortunately, that perspective fails to account for the mechanism by which motivated reasoning influences how the public interpret what climate scientists do and don't say and how motivated reasoning influences what the public think about the prevalence of shared view among climate scientists w / r / t the related uncertainties.

With respect to the reported benefit - cost rations, this paper argues that they are a bit low because, first, they do not reflect the substantial concerns about equity and uncertainty; and second, because a substantial part of the benefits (after the year 2100) is not accounted for.

[20] This problem becomes particularly severe for forecasts of the weather about 10 days in advance, [21] particularly if model uncertainty is not accounted for in the forecast.

Although the NAO is the dominant pattern of atmospheric circulation variability, accounting for about half of the total winter SLP variance on both interannual and multi-decadal time scales, other large - scale structures of internal circulation variability will also undoubtedly contribute to uncertainty in future climate trends.

The first is uncertainty about the assigned magnitudes — for example, if solar influence must be scaled up to account for forcing not apparent in the total irradiance data, the solar role would increase.

If the lack of continuation of the previous warming can't be accounted for, if there is no predictive capability within what we already know about climate, it makes no sense to be so conclusive about AGW, and therefore our policy decisions should reflect that uncertainty.

But Mann argues that the paper adds to growing concerns about the «uncertainty» in climate change science being more bad than good for humanity: «We should be taking into account worst - case scenarios when we attempt to gauge the risks posed by climate change.»

f anybody is still in any doubt that it is UNSCIENTIFIC to make claims about hottest years, without taking into account error bars, I would advise what the World Meteorological Organisation had to say on the issue in their report on global temperatures for 2006: «All temperature values have uncertainties, which arise mainly from gaps in data coverage.

If anybody is still in any doubt that it is UNSCIENTIFIC to make claims about hottest years, without taking into account error bars, I would advise what the World Meteorological Organisation had to say on the issue in their report on global temperatures for 2006: «All temperature values have uncertainties, which arise mainly from gaps in data coverage.

Uncertainty is estimated by the variance of the residuals about the fit, and accounts for serial correlation in the residuals as quantified by the lag - 1 autocorrelation.

«The challenge with this is that it creates uncertainties and judgement calls about how best to account for and correct changes in instruments (like the changing composition of the shipping fleet) or the change from one instrument to another (e.g., ships to buoy - based measurements),» Hausfather said in an email.

«The system's key insight is that it actively models and accounts for the uncertainty of not being 100 percent confident about where the drone is located in space.