The new approach contrasts with previous ways scientists analyzed and came to conclusions about sea level rise because it is «the only proper one that aims to fully
account for uncertainty using statistical methods,» noted Parnell, principal investigator of the study conducted collaboratively with researchers at Tufts University, Rutgers University and Nanyang Technological University.
Not exact matches
Furthermore, all approaches that
use the climate's time evolution attempt to
account for uncertainty due to internal climate variability, either by bootstrapping (Andronova and Schlesinger, 2001), by
using a noise model in fingerprint studies whose results are
used (Frame et al., 2005) or directly (Forest et al., 2002, 2006).
Increased confidence in balanced mutual funds is a sign of investors» need
for growth while taking into
account the
uncertainties of the market, says Kevin Headland, senior investment strategist
for Manulife, who has done an annual survey on consumer confidence,
using 2001 respondents at least 25 years of age or older.
Secondly, there is how one
accounts for the well - known stratospheric influence on the record: S&C
use a method that
uses different scan angles to create the MSU2LT (or MSUtlt) record — but RSS note that this has even greater
uncertainty in the continuity across satellites.
«The approaches
used in detection and attribution research described above can not fully
account for all
uncertainties, and thus ultimately expert judgement is required to give a calibrated assessment of whether a specific cause is responsible
for a given climate change.
Finally, not only did K et al not
use a reasonable amplification factor
for land, but they also did not
account for the inherent
uncertainty in the estimate of amplification.
Nevertheless, climate models
use the available data to
account for their influence, and their projections include the associated
uncertainties.
Lyman and colleagues combined different ocean monitoring groups» data sets, taking into
account different sources of bias and
uncertainty — due to researchers
using different instruments, the lack of instrument coverage in the ocean, and different ways of analyzing data
used among research groups — and put forth a warming rate estimate
for the upper ocean that it is more useful in climate models.
Improvements in seasonal forecasting practice arising from recent research include accurate initialization of snow and frozen soil,
accounting for observational
uncertainty in forecast verification, and sea - ice thickness initialization
using statistical predictors available in real time.
Using statistical methods, scientists can summarize data, identify patterns, and
account for uncertainty in observations.
«The findings of this research will be
used by organizations such as the US Environmental Protection Agency, European Commission and California Air Resources Board to more fully
account for greenhouse gas emissions and their
uncertainties from biofuel produced from palm oil.
If you want to apply a different TOBS (morning), a TOBS (Afternoon), a TOBS (Noon), and a TOBS (late evening), I have no theoretical objection ---- Provided the mean standard error of the adjustment is applied and another error source is added to
account for the probabilistic
uncertainty that the wrong adjustment is
used.
Prepare a «traceable
account» of how the [
uncertainty] estimates were constructed that describes the writing team's reasons
for adopting a particular probability distribution, including important lines of evidence
used, standards of evidence applied, approaches to combining / reconciling multiple lines of evidence, explicit explanations of methods
for aggregation, and critical
uncertainties.
The words «
uncertainty» or «debate» are not
used in the statement, leaving no wiggle room
for them to pretend that this statement
accounts for the range of perspectives in the AGU (or even within the writing committee), or the
uncertainties.
That is, they multiplied
uncertainty by a factor of 1.36, thus substantially expanding the
uncertainty range to
account for any additional
uncertainty relating to the methods
used.
«
Accounting for multiple sources of
uncertainty, a composite of several OHCA curves
using different XBT bias corrections still yields a statistically significant linear warming trend
for 1993 — 2008 of 0.64 W m - 2 (calculated
for the Earth's entire surface area), with a 90 - per - cent confidence interval of 0.53 — 0.75 W m - 2.»
«The approaches
used in detection and attribution research described above can not fully
account for all
uncertainties, and thus ultimately expert judgment is required to give a calibrated assessment of whether a specific cause is responsible
for a given climate change.
Another adjustment is to
use Monte Carlo simulation techniques to
account for uncertainty in the choice of principal components.
The phrase «
Accounting for multiple sources of
uncertainty, a composite of several OHCA curves
using different XBT bias corrections» raises a red flag to me.
Begin with a relatively small pilot project,
using a basic prorated premium (i.e., current annual premiums divided by average annual mileage
for each rate class), with an extra 10 - 20 % margin to
account for uncertainty.