Sentences with phrase «account for uncertainty which»

However, since the IPCC provides us with the 95 % confidence range of the total net anthropogenic forcing in Figure 1, we can account for the uncertainties which concern Lindzen, and evaluate how much warming we «should have seen» by now.

Not exact matches

Musk clarified that Tesla, which just reported one of its best quarters ever, hasn't yet decided whether it should raise capital or not to account for uncertainty, to «have a larger buffer» and to «de-risk the business.»
To account for risk and uncertainty, which doesn't exist for you, but does exist for anyone that's not traveling through time, suppose that we cut our
«Representing each parameter as a probability distribution allows us to account for experimental uncertainty, and it also allows us to suss out which parameters are covarying.»
A comparison of natural - gas - burning versus diesel - burning buses gave the emissions edge to diesel, which accounted for 12 percent fewer emissions, within the range of uncertainty.
Those data, to be collected this year and next, could improve climate models, which account poorly for these atmospheric interactions and contain «horrific» uncertainties about the levels and behaviour of water vapour at stratospheric altitudes, Austin says.
Next, there's the inherent political uncertainty surrounding defense spending which accounts for nearly 60 % of GD's sales.
Based on the above conclusions, they consider that the future integrity of the property is highly at risk, taking into account the possible prospect of offshore oil exploitation, the uncertainty about the impact of invasive species, the already existing threats for which progress on the corrective measures is unclear and the globally increasing effects of climate change to coral reef systems, including the Belize Barrier Reef system.
When differences in scaling between previous studies are accounted for, the various current and previous estimates of NH mean surface temperature are largely consistent within uncertainties, despite the differences in methodology and mix of proxy data back to approximately A.D. 1000... Conclusions are less definitive for the SH and globe, which we attribute to larger uncertainties arising from the sparser available proxy data in the SH.
The assessment based on these results typically takes into account the number of studies, the extent to which there is consensus among studies on the significance of detection results, the extent to which there is consensus on the consistency between the observed change and the change expected from forcing, the degree of consistency with other types of evidence, the extent to which known uncertainties are accounted for in and between studies, and whether there might be other physically plausible explanations for the given climate change.
Likewise, we may vary the initial conditions which are the input for a given model, accounting for the uncertainties we have with respect to those initial conditions.
But the bias uncertainty is smaller than the errors which are not persistent in time (e.g. due to incomplete spatial coverage), so I don't think accounting for this would make much difference, as Victor suggests.
There are many uncertainties involved and additional factors which some later theory might account for undoubtedly.
During recent years (1993 — 2003), for which the observing system is much better, thermal expansion and melting of land ice each account for about half of the observed sea level rise, although there is some uncertainty in the estimates.
Unfortunately, that perspective fails to account for the mechanism by which motivated reasoning influences how the public interpret what climate scientists do and don't say and how motivated reasoning influences what the public think about the prevalence of shared view among climate scientists w / r / t the related uncertainties.
In addition to assessing changes in ESL frequencies, the authors also highlighted the importance of the uncertainties inherent to the extreme value analysis, which have often been ignored in impact studies, and demonstrated how they can be accounted for alongside the uncertainties in SLR projections.
The high confidence level ascribed by the IPCC provides bootstrapped plausibility to the uncertain temperature observations, uncertain forcing, and uncertain model sensitivity, each of which has been demonstrated in the previous sections to have large uncertainties that were not accounted for in the conclusion.
From this statement, I infer that their objective analysis produced a very high level of confidence based upon multiple lines of evidence (which is referred to as a consilience of evidence), which they then downweighted to account for remaining uncertainties.
Given current uncertainties, our global - scale estimate of reservoir GHG flux does not account for ice cover, but see the supplemental materials for an estimate of the extent to which ice cover could reduce annual - scale emissions (assuming no turnover emissions).
However, the uncertainty in the result does not arise from the deviations from linearity alone - it must also account for uncertainty in the adjustments which have been made.
The red lines are 95 % confidence uncertainty bounds which account for autocorrelation with ARMA (1,1) noise.
f anybody is still in any doubt that it is UNSCIENTIFIC to make claims about hottest years, without taking into account error bars, I would advise what the World Meteorological Organisation had to say on the issue in their report on global temperatures for 2006: «All temperature values have uncertainties, which arise mainly from gaps in data coverage.
If anybody is still in any doubt that it is UNSCIENTIFIC to make claims about hottest years, without taking into account error bars, I would advise what the World Meteorological Organisation had to say on the issue in their report on global temperatures for 2006: «All temperature values have uncertainties, which arise mainly from gaps in data coverage.
«The current nominal ranking of 2009, which does not account for uncertainties in the annual averages,... Read more
«The current nominal ranking of 2009, which does not account for uncertainties in the annual averages, places it as the fifth - warmest year,» says a statement from the UN agency.
Assuming a CR - cloud connection exists, there are various factors which could potentially account for a lack of detection of this relationship over both long and short timescales studies, including: uncertainties, artefacts and measurement limitations of the datasets; high noise levels in the data relative to the (likely low) amplitude of any solar - induced changes; the inability of studies to effectively isolate solar parameters; or the inability to isolate solar - induced changes from natural climate oscillations and periodicities.
Ocean temperature must be measured regularly around the world from the ocean surface to the ocean floor to reduce uncertainty in ocean heat uptake, which accounts for over 90 % of global warming.
For instance, he emphasizes that when computing uncertainty in a trend estimate you have to take into account something called autocorrelation, which means the noise isn't the simple type called «white noise.»
With Bayes, we can ask which explanation most accurately or very nearly truly accounts for observations, given uncertainty, with prior based on simplicity of assumptions, parsimony of exceptions and universality of application.
Here Ravetz might have confused the sensitivity for CO2 doubling per se which is well established at ~ 1C, with the more usual measure of climate sensitivity taking into account all feedbacks, which is necessarily a more uncertain enterprise, but usually considered to be around 3C, albeit with much broader uncertainty.
The uncertainty here stems in large part from the wording of Article 50 (2) TEU, which provides that the EU shall negotiate and conclude an agreement with a withdrawing state «setting out the arrangements for its withdrawal, taking account of the framework for its future relationship with the Union.»
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