However, since the IPCC provides us with the 95 % confidence range of the total net anthropogenic forcing in Figure 1, we can
account for the uncertainties which concern Lindzen, and evaluate how much warming we «should have seen» by now.
Not exact matches
Musk clarified that Tesla,
which just reported one of its best quarters ever, hasn't yet decided whether it should raise capital or not to
account for uncertainty, to «have a larger buffer» and to «de-risk the business.»
To
account for risk and
uncertainty,
which doesn't exist
for you, but does exist
for anyone that's not traveling through time, suppose that we cut our
«Representing each parameter as a probability distribution allows us to
account for experimental
uncertainty, and it also allows us to suss out
which parameters are covarying.»
A comparison of natural - gas - burning versus diesel - burning buses gave the emissions edge to diesel,
which accounted for 12 percent fewer emissions, within the range of
uncertainty.
Those data, to be collected this year and next, could improve climate models,
which account poorly
for these atmospheric interactions and contain «horrific»
uncertainties about the levels and behaviour of water vapour at stratospheric altitudes, Austin says.
Next, there's the inherent political
uncertainty surrounding defense spending
which accounts for nearly 60 % of GD's sales.
Based on the above conclusions, they consider that the future integrity of the property is highly at risk, taking into
account the possible prospect of offshore oil exploitation, the
uncertainty about the impact of invasive species, the already existing threats
for which progress on the corrective measures is unclear and the globally increasing effects of climate change to coral reef systems, including the Belize Barrier Reef system.
When differences in scaling between previous studies are
accounted for, the various current and previous estimates of NH mean surface temperature are largely consistent within
uncertainties, despite the differences in methodology and mix of proxy data back to approximately A.D. 1000... Conclusions are less definitive
for the SH and globe,
which we attribute to larger
uncertainties arising from the sparser available proxy data in the SH.
The assessment based on these results typically takes into
account the number of studies, the extent to
which there is consensus among studies on the significance of detection results, the extent to
which there is consensus on the consistency between the observed change and the change expected from forcing, the degree of consistency with other types of evidence, the extent to
which known
uncertainties are
accounted for in and between studies, and whether there might be other physically plausible explanations
for the given climate change.
Likewise, we may vary the initial conditions
which are the input
for a given model,
accounting for the
uncertainties we have with respect to those initial conditions.
But the bias
uncertainty is smaller than the errors
which are not persistent in time (e.g. due to incomplete spatial coverage), so I don't think
accounting for this would make much difference, as Victor suggests.
There are many
uncertainties involved and additional factors
which some later theory might
account for undoubtedly.
During recent years (1993 — 2003),
for which the observing system is much better, thermal expansion and melting of land ice each
account for about half of the observed sea level rise, although there is some
uncertainty in the estimates.
Unfortunately, that perspective fails to
account for the mechanism by
which motivated reasoning influences how the public interpret what climate scientists do and don't say and how motivated reasoning influences what the public think about the prevalence of shared view among climate scientists w / r / t the related
uncertainties.
In addition to assessing changes in ESL frequencies, the authors also highlighted the importance of the
uncertainties inherent to the extreme value analysis,
which have often been ignored in impact studies, and demonstrated how they can be
accounted for alongside the
uncertainties in SLR projections.
The high confidence level ascribed by the IPCC provides bootstrapped plausibility to the uncertain temperature observations, uncertain forcing, and uncertain model sensitivity, each of
which has been demonstrated in the previous sections to have large
uncertainties that were not
accounted for in the conclusion.
From this statement, I infer that their objective analysis produced a very high level of confidence based upon multiple lines of evidence (
which is referred to as a consilience of evidence),
which they then downweighted to
account for remaining
uncertainties.
Given current
uncertainties, our global - scale estimate of reservoir GHG flux does not
account for ice cover, but see the supplemental materials
for an estimate of the extent to
which ice cover could reduce annual - scale emissions (assuming no turnover emissions).
However, the
uncertainty in the result does not arise from the deviations from linearity alone - it must also
account for uncertainty in the adjustments
which have been made.
The red lines are 95 % confidence
uncertainty bounds
which account for autocorrelation with ARMA (1,1) noise.
f anybody is still in any doubt that it is UNSCIENTIFIC to make claims about hottest years, without taking into
account error bars, I would advise what the World Meteorological Organisation had to say on the issue in their report on global temperatures
for 2006: «All temperature values have
uncertainties,
which arise mainly from gaps in data coverage.
If anybody is still in any doubt that it is UNSCIENTIFIC to make claims about hottest years, without taking into
account error bars, I would advise what the World Meteorological Organisation had to say on the issue in their report on global temperatures
for 2006: «All temperature values have
uncertainties,
which arise mainly from gaps in data coverage.
«The current nominal ranking of 2009,
which does not
account for uncertainties in the annual averages,... Read more
«The current nominal ranking of 2009,
which does not
account for uncertainties in the annual averages, places it as the fifth - warmest year,» says a statement from the UN agency.
Assuming a CR - cloud connection exists, there are various factors
which could potentially
account for a lack of detection of this relationship over both long and short timescales studies, including:
uncertainties, artefacts and measurement limitations of the datasets; high noise levels in the data relative to the (likely low) amplitude of any solar - induced changes; the inability of studies to effectively isolate solar parameters; or the inability to isolate solar - induced changes from natural climate oscillations and periodicities.
Ocean temperature must be measured regularly around the world from the ocean surface to the ocean floor to reduce
uncertainty in ocean heat uptake,
which accounts for over 90 % of global warming.
For instance, he emphasizes that when computing
uncertainty in a trend estimate you have to take into
account something called autocorrelation,
which means the noise isn't the simple type called «white noise.»
With Bayes, we can ask
which explanation most accurately or very nearly truly
accounts for observations, given
uncertainty, with prior based on simplicity of assumptions, parsimony of exceptions and universality of application.
Here Ravetz might have confused the sensitivity
for CO2 doubling per se
which is well established at ~ 1C, with the more usual measure of climate sensitivity taking into
account all feedbacks,
which is necessarily a more uncertain enterprise, but usually considered to be around 3C, albeit with much broader
uncertainty.
The
uncertainty here stems in large part from the wording of Article 50 (2) TEU,
which provides that the EU shall negotiate and conclude an agreement with a withdrawing state «setting out the arrangements
for its withdrawal, taking
account of the framework
for its future relationship with the Union.»