Sentences with phrase «account for uncertainty with»

This helps to account for uncertainty with respect to initial conditions and determine the robustness of the results.

Not exact matches

With its warnings of depleted bank reserves, weak governance, and political uncertainty, the IMF's account reads more like the analysis of a war - ravaged economic basket - case than the prospects for a developed economy in one of the richest economic zones in the world.

These risks and uncertainties include competition and other economic conditions including fragmentation of the media landscape and competition from other media alternatives; changes in advertising demand, circulation levels and audience shares; the Company's ability to develop and grow its online businesses; the Company's reliance on revenue from printing and distributing third - party publications; changes in newsprint prices; macroeconomic trends and conditions; the Company's ability to adapt to technological changes; the Company's ability to realize benefits or synergies from acquisitions or divestitures or to operate its businesses effectively following acquisitions or divestitures; the Company's success in implementing expense mitigation efforts; the Company's reliance on third - party vendors for various services; adverse results from litigation, governmental investigations or tax - related proceedings or audits; the Company's ability to attract and retain employees; the Company's ability to satisfy pension and other postretirement employee benefit obligations; changes in accounting standards; the effect of labor strikes, lockouts and labor negotiations; regulatory and judicial rulings; the Company's indebtedness and ability to comply with debt covenants applicable to its debt facilities; the Company's ability to satisfy future capital and liquidity requirements; the Company's ability to access the credit and capital markets at the times and in the amounts needed and on acceptable terms; and other events beyond the Company's control that may result in unexpected adverse operating results.

In consultation with a divorce financial planner, who can assist you in gaining financial control from possible economic uncertainty, account for budgetary projections and calculate what realistic financial resources you will have to pay for your retirement.

The new approach contrasts with previous ways scientists analyzed and came to conclusions about sea level rise because it is «the only proper one that aims to fully account for uncertainty using statistical methods,» noted Parnell, principal investigator of the study conducted collaboratively with researchers at Tufts University, Rutgers University and Nanyang Technological University.

It can be difficult to integrate different types of data with a weighting that properly accounts for degrees of uncertainty.

Brian Cox and Jeff Forshaw will satisfy both audiences with their broad - brush account of the physical world that still finds room for uncertainty, controversy — even a little light maths.

«(A) the technical capacity to monitor, measure, report, and verify forest carbon fluxes for all significant sources of greenhouse gas emissions from deforestation with an acceptable level of uncertainty, as determined taking into account relevant internationally accepted methodologies, such as those established by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change;

Ideally, one would want to do a study across all these constraints with models that were capable of running all the important experiments — the LGM, historical period, 1 % increasing CO2 (to get the TCR), and 2xCO2 (for the model ECS)-- and build a multiply constrained estimate taking into account internal variability, forcing uncertainties, and model scope.

For instance, uncertainty about the 1994 - 1998 Rwandan refugees» future in exile is compounded by the recent resolution of the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) to launch military attacks on refugees based in the DRC.35 No account has been taken concerning the fact that they are survivors of the 1996 - 2000 massive forced repatriation and that they have been more vulnerable to extremely stressful and traumatic events that took place since the invasion of Rwanda on October 01, 1990.36 Although they are indeed susceptible to posttraumatic stress disorder, depression, high level of fear and anxiety (psychosomatic) and / or malnutrition caused by the persecution and destruction of the war, no one who wants to empathise with them.

Your reference to the Paleo is understood, however as with models there must be some inherent uncertainty in the different methodologies (particularly the transient constraints as recent data should also be accounted for in them).

The assessment based on these results typically takes into account the number of studies, the extent to which there is consensus among studies on the significance of detection results, the extent to which there is consensus on the consistency between the observed change and the change expected from forcing, the degree of consistency with other types of evidence, the extent to which known uncertainties are accounted for in and between studies, and whether there might be other physically plausible explanations for the given climate change.

Ideally, one would want to do a study across all these constraints with models that were capable of running all the important experiments — the LGM, historical period, 1 % increasing CO2 (to get the TCR), and 2xCO2 (for the model ECS)-- and build a multiply constrained estimate taking into account internal variability, forcing uncertainties, and model scope.

Likewise, we may vary the initial conditions which are the input for a given model, accounting for the uncertainties we have with respect to those initial conditions.

Any meaningful validation of a model with data must account for this stated uncertainty.

Accounting for Both Random Errors and Systematic Errors in Uncertainty Propagation Analysis of Computer Models Involving Experimental Measurements with Monte Carlo Methods.

As this figure shows, even without accounting for the actual GHG emissions since 1990, the warming projections are consistent with the observations, within the margin of uncertainty.

With respect to the reported benefit - cost rations, this paper argues that they are a bit low because, first, they do not reflect the substantial concerns about equity and uncertainty; and second, because a substantial part of the benefits (after the year 2100) is not accounted for.

A new study by Prof Jason Lowe and Dr Dan Bernie at the UK's Met Office Hadley Centre takes these CMIP5 models and tries to account for additional uncertainties in the carbon budget associated with feedbacks, such as carbon released by thawing of permafrost or methane production from wetlands, as a result of climate change.

If the first 3 - 5 years of a project account for more than half its undiscounted cash flows, it won't be very sensitive to long - term uncertainties, nor would a company made up of the aggregation of many projects with this characteristic.

-- The Administrator, in consultation with the Administrator of USAID, shall promulgate regulations establishing standards to ensure that supplemental emissions reductions achieved through supported activities are additional, measurable, verifiable, permanent, and monitored, and account for leakage and uncertainty.

«(A) the technical capacity to monitor, measure, report, and verify forest carbon fluxes for all significant sources of greenhouse gas emissions from deforestation with an acceptable level of uncertainty, as determined taking into account relevant internationally accepted methodologies, such as those established by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change;

Many physical modelers, and especially climate modelers, seems to think that as long as their models are «science - based» then there is no need to account for uncertainty in their outputs, notwithstanding that the model parameters are tuned with data, and that aspects of these models are likely to be ill posed (highly sensitive to small perturbations in the values assigned to parameters).

This study addresses the challenge by undertaking a formal detection and attribution analysis of SCE changes based on several observational datasets with different structural characteristics, in order to account for the substantial observational uncertainty.

However, since the IPCC provides us with the 95 % confidence range of the total net anthropogenic forcing in Figure 1, we can account for the uncertainties which concern Lindzen, and evaluate how much warming we «should have seen» by now.

The fact that we have two opposite conclusions, both with «very likely» confidence levels, is a classic situation of competing uncertainties, with the likelihood that both groups are not sufficiently accounting for the uncertainties.

The red lines are 95 % confidence uncertainty bounds which account for autocorrelation with ARMA (1,1) noise.

«We account for chronologic and proxy calibration uncertainties with a Monte Carlo — based randomization scheme (6).»

Under CfRN's proposal, if Annex I parties would like to report under Option A, they would have to account for leakage, cap the LULUCF accounting and be conservatives with numbers therefore to reduce uncertainty.

«Accounting for multiple sources of uncertainty, a composite of several OHCA curves using different XBT bias corrections still yields a statistically significant linear warming trend for 1993 — 2008 of 0.64 W m - 2 (calculated for the Earth's entire surface area), with a 90 - per - cent confidence interval of 0.53 — 0.75 W m - 2.»

«The challenge with this is that it creates uncertainties and judgement calls about how best to account for and correct changes in instruments (like the changing composition of the shipping fleet) or the change from one instrument to another (e.g., ships to buoy - based measurements),» Hausfather said in an email.

With Bayes, we can ask which explanation most accurately or very nearly truly accounts for observations, given uncertainty, with prior based on simplicity of assumptions, parsimony of exceptions and universality of applicatWith Bayes, we can ask which explanation most accurately or very nearly truly accounts for observations, given uncertainty, with prior based on simplicity of assumptions, parsimony of exceptions and universality of applicatwith prior based on simplicity of assumptions, parsimony of exceptions and universality of application.

Here Ravetz might have confused the sensitivity for CO2 doubling per se which is well established at ~ 1C, with the more usual measure of climate sensitivity taking into account all feedbacks, which is necessarily a more uncertain enterprise, but usually considered to be around 3C, albeit with much broader uncertainty.

The uncertainty here stems in large part from the wording of Article 50 (2) TEU, which provides that the EU shall negotiate and conclude an agreement with a withdrawing state «setting out the arrangements for its withdrawal, taking account of the framework for its future relationship with the Union.»

More generally, with respect to be both acquisitions and divestitures, by accounting for M&A activity ahead of time in a long - term outsourcing agreement, the acquisition or sale of an affiliate can play out through the outsourcing agreement in a predicable manner, thereby limiting financial and contractual uncertainty.

Begin with a relatively small pilot project, using a basic prorated premium (i.e., current annual premiums divided by average annual mileage for each rate class), with an extra 10 - 20 % margin to account for uncertainty.

Even with economic uncertainty, the technology sector remains a steady source of job growth; the New York Times reports that e-commerce jobs alone account for a major boom in employment as innovative, technology - disruptive companies develop, sell, and implement new e-commerce technology solutions.

This approach allows for the most likely class membership to be obtained from the posterior probabilities along with classification uncertainty; the most likely class membership variables can then be analyzed to include covariates while accounting for the measurement error in classification [45].

The same trend should hold true in 2013 as increased market uncertainty will mean high - quality properties with low vacancy rates will account for the bulk of assets traded.