Sentences with phrase «accounts for the uncertainty of»

«Even accounting for the uncertainties of the age of CO2, the deep sea warmed substantially before the CO2 began to rise,» Stott says.
«The system's key insight is that it actively models and accounts for the uncertainty of not being 100 percent confident about where the drone is located in space.
This sounds like a prudent practice to account for the uncertainty of the future state of the market, however, such an assumption may not reflect the true path of cap rates over the investment holding period.
Typically, when analyzing a property, investors assume an exit capitalization rate that is higher than the entry cap rate by 0.5 - 1 percentage points to account for the uncertainty of future cash flows expected to be received by the property under consideration over the holding period.

Not exact matches

While the real estate sector accounts for only a small percentage of the total number of listings on TSX and TSXV, it has been particularly active amidst the ongoing uncertainties of the global economy.
While REITs account for a small percentage of listings on the two exchanges, they've been particularly active amidst the uncertainties of the global economy.
Musk clarified that Tesla, which just reported one of its best quarters ever, hasn't yet decided whether it should raise capital or not to account for uncertainty, to «have a larger buffer» and to «de-risk the business.»
With its warnings of depleted bank reserves, weak governance, and political uncertainty, the IMF's account reads more like the analysis of a war - ravaged economic basket - case than the prospects for a developed economy in one of the richest economic zones in the world.
These risks and uncertainties include competition and other economic conditions including fragmentation of the media landscape and competition from other media alternatives; changes in advertising demand, circulation levels and audience shares; the Company's ability to develop and grow its online businesses; the Company's reliance on revenue from printing and distributing third - party publications; changes in newsprint prices; macroeconomic trends and conditions; the Company's ability to adapt to technological changes; the Company's ability to realize benefits or synergies from acquisitions or divestitures or to operate its businesses effectively following acquisitions or divestitures; the Company's success in implementing expense mitigation efforts; the Company's reliance on third - party vendors for various services; adverse results from litigation, governmental investigations or tax - related proceedings or audits; the Company's ability to attract and retain employees; the Company's ability to satisfy pension and other postretirement employee benefit obligations; changes in accounting standards; the effect of labor strikes, lockouts and labor negotiations; regulatory and judicial rulings; the Company's indebtedness and ability to comply with debt covenants applicable to its debt facilities; the Company's ability to satisfy future capital and liquidity requirements; the Company's ability to access the credit and capital markets at the times and in the amounts needed and on acceptable terms; and other events beyond the Company's control that may result in unexpected adverse operating results.
Then add something like six months onto that runway for each one of those rounds to account for uncertainties.
In their February 2017 paper entitled «Bayesian Model Averaging, Ordinary Least Squares and the Price of Gold», Dirk Baur and Brian Lucey analyze a large set of factors that potentially influence the price of gold via two methods: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS, scatter plot) and Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA, accounting for model uncertainty).
In our view, any decision on monetary policy normalization will have to take into account some of what is happening outside of America's borders, including the hazy economic outlook for China, the slowdown in other large emerging markets and the uncertainties that continue to plague the eurozone.
«Given the size and scope of the IoT and 5G opportunities, we see IDCC's IoT goal as conservative as the company likely accounts for the uncertainty around monetization strategies and the timing / rate of incremental demand for its IoT related services and products,» analyst Darrin Peller wrote in a note.
The two most immediate effects: First is the hit to sterling, as uncertainty reduces nonresidents» appetite for UK assets against the background of the UK's record current account deficit; second is the hit to growth, as firms hold back on investment, and households increase precautionary savings.
Home birth is uncommon in the United Kingdom and uncertainty exists about its safety.1 2 Almost all mortality figures available nationally1 provide merely a single global figure for planned and unplanned home births, though the constituent rates differ greatly.3 The only recent figures for planned home birth in England and Wales relating to 19794 and 19935 provide an inaccurately low estimate of risk because it was not possible to account for those mothers who originally booked to have a home delivery but ended up delivering in hospital.
The new approach contrasts with previous ways scientists analyzed and came to conclusions about sea level rise because it is «the only proper one that aims to fully account for uncertainty using statistical methods,» noted Parnell, principal investigator of the study conducted collaboratively with researchers at Tufts University, Rutgers University and Nanyang Technological University.
It can be difficult to integrate different types of data with a weighting that properly accounts for degrees of uncertainty.
However, because each of these measurements must be calibrated to account for natural variation in the environment over time, individual dates have large amounts of error and uncertainty, making them difficult to aggregate or interpret in groups.
«The trends we have established in this study highlight the need for regulatory bodies to look beyond the existing databases and take into account the uncertainty surrounding our current understanding of wildlife trade in their conservation efforts.
A comparison of natural - gas - burning versus diesel - burning buses gave the emissions edge to diesel, which accounted for 12 percent fewer emissions, within the range of uncertainty.
Those data, to be collected this year and next, could improve climate models, which account poorly for these atmospheric interactions and contain «horrific» uncertainties about the levels and behaviour of water vapour at stratospheric altitudes, Austin says.
ANOTHER VIEW Bruce Dale, a biofuels researcher at MichiganState University, says there is a huge amount of uncertainty whenbasing predictions on an inherently complex economic model.Additionally, he asserts that the United States should not beresponsible for «anything but its own environmental profile» and thatto take into account world land changes is unreasonable.
To limit inherent systematic uncertainties, Ghez's group accounted for overlapping light sources when one star passes in front of another or near the black hole itself, where infalling material emits radiation.
Brian Cox and Jeff Forshaw will satisfy both audiences with their broad - brush account of the physical world that still finds room for uncertainty, controversy — even a little light maths.
«(A) the technical capacity to monitor, measure, report, and verify forest carbon fluxes for all significant sources of greenhouse gas emissions from deforestation with an acceptable level of uncertainty, as determined taking into account relevant internationally accepted methodologies, such as those established by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change;
Click here for Part II, an accounting of Exxon's early climate research; Part III, a review of Exxon's climate modeling efforts; Part IV, a dive into Exxon's Natuna gas field project; Part V, a look at Exxon's push for synfuels; Part VI, an accounting of Exxon's emphasis on climate science uncertainty.
However, the high luminosity of the primary star, intense Ca II H and K emission (Smith and Dominy, 1979), and radial velocity variations somewhat larger than can be accounted for by the expected uncertainties suggested that Delta Eridani might be an RS CVn - type binary and therefore a photometric variable like most members of that class.
Only a few estimates account for uncertainty in forcings other than from aerosols (e.g., Gregory et al., 2002a; Knutti et al., 2002, 2003); some other studies perform some sensitivity testing to assess the effect of forcing uncertainty not accounted for, for example, in natural forcing (e.g., Forest et al., 2006; see Table 9.1 for an overview).
Ideally, one would want to do a study across all these constraints with models that were capable of running all the important experiments — the LGM, historical period, 1 % increasing CO2 (to get the TCR), and 2xCO2 (for the model ECS)-- and build a multiply constrained estimate taking into account internal variability, forcing uncertainties, and model scope.
By scaling spatio - temporal patterns of response up or down, this technique takes account of gross model errors in climate sensitivity and net aerosol forcing but does not fully account for modelling uncertainty in the patterns of temperature response to uncertain forcings.
For instance, uncertainty about the 1994 - 1998 Rwandan refugees» future in exile is compounded by the recent resolution of the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) to launch military attacks on refugees based in the DRC.35 No account has been taken concerning the fact that they are survivors of the 1996 - 2000 massive forced repatriation and that they have been more vulnerable to extremely stressful and traumatic events that took place since the invasion of Rwanda on October 01, 1990.36 Although they are indeed susceptible to posttraumatic stress disorder, depression, high level of fear and anxiety (psychosomatic) and / or malnutrition caused by the persecution and destruction of the war, no one who wants to empathise with them.
Any investor who has a need for a portfolio of a certain size within ten years or so needs to take the uncertainty of the return on stocks into account.
Next, there's the inherent political uncertainty surrounding defense spending which accounts for nearly 60 % of GD's sales.
Increased confidence in balanced mutual funds is a sign of investors» need for growth while taking into account the uncertainties of the market, says Kevin Headland, senior investment strategist for Manulife, who has done an annual survey on consumer confidence, using 2001 respondents at least 25 years of age or older.
Based on the above conclusions, they consider that the future integrity of the property is highly at risk, taking into account the possible prospect of offshore oil exploitation, the uncertainty about the impact of invasive species, the already existing threats for which progress on the corrective measures is unclear and the globally increasing effects of climate change to coral reef systems, including the Belize Barrier Reef system.
When differences in scaling between previous studies are accounted for, the various current and previous estimates of NH mean surface temperature are largely consistent within uncertainties, despite the differences in methodology and mix of proxy data back to approximately A.D. 1000... Conclusions are less definitive for the SH and globe, which we attribute to larger uncertainties arising from the sparser available proxy data in the SH.
A comprehensive risk assessment would determine flood hazard for individual structures by modeling watershed and floodplain characteristics at fine spatial scales; it would describe the varying levels of protection offered by all elements of a flood protection system and mitigation measures; and it would account explicitly for uncertainties, including those related to current and future flood hazard, structure value and vulnerability, and the current and future performance of flood protection measures.
«The approaches used in detection and attribution research described above can not fully account for all uncertainties, and thus ultimately expert judgement is required to give a calibrated assessment of whether a specific cause is responsible for a given climate change.
The assessment based on these results typically takes into account the number of studies, the extent to which there is consensus among studies on the significance of detection results, the extent to which there is consensus on the consistency between the observed change and the change expected from forcing, the degree of consistency with other types of evidence, the extent to which known uncertainties are accounted for in and between studies, and whether there might be other physically plausible explanations for the given climate change.
We find that the difference between the heat balance at the top of the atmosphere and upper - ocean heat content change is not statistically significant when accounting for observational uncertainties in ocean measurements3, given transitions in instrumentation and sampling.
So, I interpret this as scything that the IPCC's best estimate is that 100 % of the warming since 1950 is attributable to humans, and they then down weight this to «more than half» to account for various uncertainties.
* Indeed, possible errors in the amplitudes of the external forcing and a models response are accounted for by scaling the signal patterns to best match observations, and thus the robustness of the IPCC conclusion is not slaved to uncertainties in aerosol forcing or sensitivity being off.
These measurements become sparser as we go further back in time, hence trend estimates become more uncertain; of course we fully accounted for this uncertainty in our analysis.
Ideally, one would want to do a study across all these constraints with models that were capable of running all the important experiments — the LGM, historical period, 1 % increasing CO2 (to get the TCR), and 2xCO2 (for the model ECS)-- and build a multiply constrained estimate taking into account internal variability, forcing uncertainties, and model scope.
In fact, the nominal statistical significance levels of all statements are quite a bit stronger than we assess them couched in likelihood language, in order to account for remaining uncertainties.
Our Monte - Carlo analysis accounts for these sources of uncertainty to yield a robust (albeit smoothed) global record.
This helps to account for uncertainty with respect to initial conditions and determine the robustness of the results.
Finally, not only did K et al not use a reasonable amplification factor for land, but they also did not account for the inherent uncertainty in the estimate of amplification.
Scientists Dr Gerard Roe and Professor Marcia Baker, from the University of Washington in Seattle, have now produced a mathematical equation for climate modellers designed to take uncertainty into account.
Any meaningful validation of a model with data must account for this stated uncertainty.
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