«The PBOC will have to choose between allowing significant currency appreciation and continuing to
accumulate foreign assets,» Mark Williams, the firm's chief Asia economist, wrote in a research note Monday.
The key drivers of the Savings Glut, however, have weakened or reversed: China's growth is rebalancing toward domestic consumption, and its stock of
foreign exchange (FX) reserves has declined; other Asian emerging markets have already
accumulated sufficient FX reserves and no longer need to
accumulate assets; and the plunge in oil prices is forcing a number of oil exporters to reduce savings to delay or smooth the adjustment in expenditures.