Mr Cumming:
The actual fuel burnt.
It is the closest thing they have got, whereas carbon intensity is
actual fuel burnt.
The fact has to come from the actual carbon,
the actual fuel burnt --
Not exact matches
98 % of
actual climate scientists (a distinction Dr. Willie Soon does not earn) agree that global warming is real and primarily drive by humans
burning fossil
fuels like coal and oil.
http://illconsidered.blogspot.com/2006/02/this-is-just-natural-cycle.html http://illconsidered.blogspot.com/2006/04/its-sun-stupid.html There is no chance the CO2 rise is from anything other than fossil
fuel burning, we know this from the isotope signatures of the
actual CO2 molecules.
Exported fossil
fuels don't count against reaching NSW carbon reduction targets, but the climate harm from
burning exported gas could potentially wipe out any
actual climate benefit of reaching our targets.
The National Academy of Sciences found that 97 % of
actual climate researchers understand that global warming is happening and is primarily caused by humans
burning fossil
fuels.
Chief is the guy that thought the majority of climate warming is due to the
actual heat produced by the
burning of fossil
fuels.
There are some uncertainties about the
actual amount of fossil
fuels produced,
burned, and stored, but it is not very large.
It accounts for the
actual cost of
burning fossil
fuels, creating a more competitive market for clean energy sources.
RealClimate is wonderful, and an excellent source of reliable information.As I've said before, methane is an extremely dangerous component to global warming.Comment # 20 is correct.There is a sharp melting point to frozen methane.A huge increase in the release of methane could happen within the next 50 years.At what point in the Earth's temperature rise and the rise of co2 would a huge methane melt occur?No one has answered that definitive issue.If I ask you all at what point would huge amounts of extra methane start melting, i.e at what temperature rise of the ocean near the Artic methane ice deposits would the methane melt, or at what point in the rise of co2 concentrations in the atmosphere would the methane melt, I believe that no one could currently tell me the
actual answer as to where the sharp melting point exists.Of course, once that tipping point has been reached, and billions of tons of methane outgass from what had been locked stores of methane, locked away for an eternity, it is exactly the same as the
burning of stored fossil
fuels which have been stored for an eternity as well.And even though methane does not have as long a life as co2, while it is around in the air it can cause other tipping points, i.e. permafrost melting, to arrive much sooner.I will reiterate what I've said before on this and other sites.Methane is a hugely underreported, underestimated risk.How about RealClimate attempts to model exactly what would happen to other tipping points, such as the melting permafrost, if indeed a huge increase in the melting of the methal hydrate ice WERE to occur within the next 50 years.My amateur guess is that the huge, albeit temporary, increase in methane over even three or four decades might push other relevent tipping points to arrive much, much, sooner than they normally would, thereby vastly incresing negative feedback mechanisms.We KNOW that quick, huge, changes occured in the Earth's climate in the past.See other relevent posts in the past from Realclimate.Climate often does not change slowly, but undergoes huge, quick, changes periodically, due to negative feedbacks accumulating, and tipping the climate to a quick change.Why should the danger from huge potential methane releases be vievwed with any less trepidation?
CptWayne, given that accumulated human emissions are approximately double the
actual rise in atmospheric CO2, as you yourself state, why should it be hard to understand that pretty much all of the atmospheric rise is attributable to human emissions from fossil
fuel burning?