Second, the red line is
the actual global temperature data from the UK's Hadley Center for Climate Prediction and Research.
Not exact matches
In my experimentation with techniques to «showcase» the robustness of the
global - average
temperature results, I found that it is also important to show the
actual number of stations reporting
data for each year.
If you're talking about
global mean
temperature I would advise you to compare the projections of the IPCC to the
actual measurements of GISS as well as HadCRUT, RSS MSU, and UAH MSU measured
data.
We question the accuracy of the malaria maps used to make this comparison (based primarily on
temperature and demography) because in our own work we have observed poor correlation between earlier versions of these
global malaria maps and
actual malaria incidence
data at the regional level (see Olson et al. 2009).
And yet, when you do trends of
global data you are averaging air
temperatures over intervals where the heat content is not continuous, and thus the trend that is the average
temperature does not show the
actual trend of the heat content.
When he presented his misleading graph, when he said 97 % of climate scientists agree, (knowing full well the
actual situation that the number is bogus and misleading,) when he mentions adjustments to satellite
data but not to surface
temperatures with major past cooling and absurd derived precision to.005 * C, when he defends precision in surface
global averages but ignores major estimates of temps and krigging in Arctic, Africa, Asia and oceans or Antarctica, he forfeits credibility.
Not only have
temperatures stagnated over the past 18 to 20 years — interrupted by a strong, naturally occurring El Niño — but computer models suggesting catastrophic
global warming have continually overestimated
global temperatures when compared with
actual, real - world
data.
C. warmer than it was with respect to the start of the industrial revolution, I believe that it would be necessary to use
actual average
global land - ocean surface
temperature data (which would be imperfectly known that far back).
Unfortunately for Mann, the Lead Author on the relevant IPCC chapter, reality and the proxies diverge: In the second half of the 20th century, Keith Briffa's tree - ring
data heads south while the
actual global temperature ticks upward.
While the CO2 - vapours based AGW hypothesis crumbles in the face of
actual climate
data, other scientific explanations regarding
global temperature change are looking stronger and stronger.
The effects of this uneven sampling are being investigated and quantified in several ways, for example by estimating «true»
global - mean
temperatures from the complete fields generated by satellite observations, blends of satellite and in situ
data, or climate models, and then sampling these fields using the
actual (incomplete) observed
data coverage (see chapter 9).
Note we're using BEST land area, so
actual rates of warming are slightly elevated from
global levels including sea surface
temperatures, however BEST has enough resolution to allow us to work with 12.5 years of
temperature data and not have such abysmal CI as to need to reject the comparisons outright..
the
actual long term
Global temperature trend, as indicated by the satellite
data, is down (and accelerating)...
«New climate study shows official NOAA
temperature data falsely doubles
actual temperature increases since 1979, potentially invalidating much
Global Warming research, projects, and legislation»
Still no
actual data exists to show carbon dioxide being the major driver of
global temperatures.
Measurement sites form the core input of the
data set for calculating this «
global mean
temperature» (whatever that actually means), but the measurements from these sites is accurate at best to the nearest 1 degree, in
actual practice around the nearest 5 degrees since many are reading off mercury thermometers — and this condition increases in frequency the further back in time you go.
«When future generations look back on the
global - warming scare of the past 30 years, nothing will shock them more than the extent to which the official
temperature records — on which the entire panic ultimately rested — were systematically «adjusted» to show the Earth as having warmed much more than the
actual data justified.»
One paper which includes
actual ENSO
data in addition to the models shows that this accounts for the
temperature variations that some people like to call a «pause» in
global warming.
Booker writes future generations will «look back on the
global - warming scare of the past 30 years» and «nothing will shock them more than the extent to which the official
temperature records -LSB-...] were systematically «adjusted» to show the Earth as having warmed much more than the
actual data justified.»