Less easy to
actually vote Labour when most did not trust the party on the economy and it was led by someone who few believed to be prime ministerial.
«Muslim business owners and professionals who, if they were white Anglo - Saxon Protestants (WASPs) would be expected to vote Conservative but who
actually vote Labour despite their wealth and socially conservative attitudes.»
I'd personally feel extremely unhappy if he didn't, in the same way that I always felt uncomfortable in the Blair years, huge majorities but only 2/5 of the electorate had
actually voted Labour, less than in 1983 the nadir of Labour's misfortunes..
Not exact matches
Embarrassingly,
Labour's
vote tally was
actually lower than the total number of local members claimed by the party.
All of this means that Cameron finds himself in a fairly tricky position, having to rely on mobilising Remain
votes from large numbers of people who
voted against him last May while hoping that the leader of the
Labour Party will
actually stand up and make a direct and unequivocal plea for voters to keep Britain in the EU.
Forcing
Labour and the SNP to
actually physically go ahead and
vote together while the issue was still undecided would be entirely in keeping with the party's approach.
It is an example of a European party with hard left policies winning
votes, and comparisons with UK
Labour underline just how radical Podemos
actually is.
Labour is likely to
vote against the amendment, meaning the chances of the government
actually being defeated is negligible.
So you could argue that the current system is
actually biased against
Labour, and therefore PR will
actually disadvantage
Labour even more unless rates of voter registration are improved and compulsory
voting introduced.
As a rule, they had a bad night: BNP leader Nick Griffin
actually managed to decrease his party's share of the
vote in Barking, while Esther Rantzen proved little more than a sideshow in the Luton South
Labour - Tory struggle.
We found some tentative evidence to suggest
Labour voters had been less likely to
actually vote than predicted but, even if this was the case, the effect would have been very modest.
If, say, the
Labour Party won a majority
vote in June, would they try to withdraw or backtrack on Article 50 (how they would do attempt it, or even if it's
actually possible is another question).
Only 25 % of the
voting public supported the Tories, which has been conflated as a massive victory over
Labour, in reality it means that the majority of people see through Tory duplicity but do not yet understand what is
actually happening around them, that is where we need to focus on.
I
actually voted for Balls in the previous leadership election in 2010, largely on the basis of his original stance on
Labour's fiscal and economic record in Government.
For all these reasons, I think AV is
actually a very good
voting system and I would put the referendum result down to several things — an ineffective Yes campaign (if you typed AV into Google, they didn't even come up on the first page of results), lies and smears spread by the No campaign, the association with Nick Clegg, the split in
Labour over AV and finally, and not insignificantly, the fact that the Electoral Commission sent leaflets to every household containing an overly complex explanation that made AV look more complex than the insides of a nuclear reactor.
The threshold is 10 per cent of
Labour MPs and MEPs, a higher level than those who
actually voted for Corbyn in 2015.
Much of his success will depend on how many young people who say they will
vote Labour actually turn up and do so.
Quite apart from the fact that proportional representation is * fair *, and therefore a far better starting point for a Parliament that is responsive to the will of the people, the difference between Caroline and most
Labour or Conservative MPs is that she is trying to ensure that a referendum on
voting reform
actually offers a meaningful choice.
01:55 - So this is where we leave it for the morning - an impressive hold for
Labour, who
actually managed to increase their share of the
vote.
Ronnie Campbell has been around for three decades and presumably has a personal
vote he can call on - the idea of the Tories
actually winning such a heartland
Labour seat seems absurd.
While it is undoubtedly true that the Irak War lost
Labour many
votes, it should be remembered that we
actually won the 2005 election (when the war's principal British advocate was still party leader).
I don't put much store in opinion polls, but if true it would only indicate roughly what you would expect to happen at this point in the parliament - 32 % isn't that much lower than
Labour got in the 2005 General Election and all it would suggest is that the Liberal Democrats are having a reversal - tactical
voting could see them holding onto many of their current seats, indeed it is even possible that if they got 17 % of the
vote that if it focused in an area that they could
actually end up with more seats, where the switches in support are occuring is crucial - if they are focused then if the Conservative Party were to get 39 % then it might still result in them getting fewer seats than
Labour or in extremis winning a 150 seat majority or so?
I have no doubt that the Conservative Party will make major gains in
votes and seats in the next 10 years that will build to their return to power ultimately, but they are a long way off
actually winning a majority and it has to be said that a Hung Parliament now looks more improbable than at any time since 2001, demographic factors are working against the Conservative Party as well -
Labour seats mostly are held with far lower turnouts which is partly why
Labour can get fewer
votes than the Conservatives and end up with an overall majority and far more seats than the Conservative Party.
This invaluable research showed
voting intentions in the seats that
actually matter at a level implying a 84 seat majority for
Labour.
The useless official campaign run by Johnson was a key cause of the failure to pull out more
Labour votes, although as election guru John Curtice has told us
Labour actually did quite well here.
People do
actually want to
vote Labour here.
If you look at the cross-tabulation with how people
actually voted though, considerably more people told Populus they had
voted Tory to stop
Labour winning than
voted Labour to stop the Conservatives winning (however some people were obviously confused by the question — 32 said they
voted tactically against
Labour, but
voted Labour).
Plus we hear from both sides of
Labour's EU debate with MPs Alan Johnson and Graham Stringer; and Alan Renwick from the UCL's Constitution Unit explains what a
vote for Brexit would
actually mean
Despite the fact that even David Miliband estimated that there were no more than ten
Labour backbenchers who
actually believed in the war, enough ignored their constituents» wishes and any residual principals and
voted «yes», simultaneously saving Blair's skin and condemning the Iraqis to years of carnage and chaos.
In Westminster the coalition's secret talks, backbench mutterings and
Labour suspicions are set to continue all the way up to the
vote which may, or may not,
actually happen.
It was
actually 62 % of
labour voters
voted to remain, and the
labour vote, in 2015 was made up of many people who'd
voted Libdem, or greens in 2010,
labour having lost several of its supporters who'd
voted for us in 2010 when Gordon was leader, and many who'd
voted labour since the 60's, not
voting for us for the first time, but the fact was, with our Scittish and inner London, Manchester, Liverpool
vote,
voting for us so heavily, ball areas called our heartlands, and Scotland aside, areas we increased our
votes in, at the last election, without catching those swing seats, meant that many of our traditional areas Sunderland & Wales saw our core
vote, massively
vote leave,
At the last election she
actually increased
Labour's share of the
vote by six per cent.
But
actually this was a good result for all sorts of parties: Ukip, the Greens and
Labour also saw increases in their
vote share — at the expense of the Liberal Democrats, whose
vote collapsed by 23.1 %.
The proportion of
Labour voters who say they will
actually vote is down 2 points to 49 %.
What I am pondering is how many
Labour members were
voting Corbyn in order to send a message about
Labour staying true to its roots and principles rather than
actually wanting him as leader, might they recoil at the thought of him
actually winning?
My two preferred explanations are that people who did not
vote claim they did (and tend to claim they
voted Labour) and that
Labour supporters who
voted tactically for the Liberal Democrats in their own particular constituency claim they
voted for the party that they
actually supported, rather than the party they
voted for.
Whether it could be successful enough to
actually retain or win seats and have a long term future is an entirely different matter — FPTP does not forgive smaller parties without concentrated support, the anti-Conservative
vote is already split and the most pro-remain areas tend to be held by
Labour.
(Indeed, it is often overlooked that
Labour actually increased its share of the
vote in Scotland in 2010) warning about the potential threat to state pensions if Scotland
votes for independence.
Comparatively few
Labour MPs
actually voted for the Lib Dem motion but an awful lot of people sat on their hands as a way of showing their determination to finish this issue.»
While it is certainly true that far more people
vote for third, fourth and other parties nowadays than in the mid-20th century, some of the numbers suggest that the amount of «nottle» MPs (not Tories and not
Labour) may stay the same or
actually decline at the next election.
For all the complexity of our current politics, the truth is
actually quite simple: the only way to be sure of getting a
Labour government is to
vote Labour.
Aides say the
vote is a symbolic endorsing of the policy but accept it does not necessarily make the party more or less committed to it - reflecting the limited influence which the
Labour conference
actually has on policy decisions.
Historically
Labour have
actually tended to do worse, not better, in the regional
vote, so the pattern here is somewhat unusual — looking at the data it seems to be because people who would
vote Green or SSP in the regional
vote are more likely to
vote SNP in the constituency
vote.
It's Nice Ed's coming back he was at stoke after all, Ed dropped the triangulation line that Blair liked, funny as he
actually appealed to both Daivd Owen, Maurice Glasman and Tony benn in 2010 ′ but the triangulation of middle / working class
votes has gone that it's not even Left / Right anymore, and the dozen or so policies that unite ex
Labour voters who
vote Libdem, and the ones who
vote Ukip can be summed up in, ignore Soctland and Northern Ireland politics concentrate on the economy, Defence, freedom of speech and women's rights,
That would fairly make
labour the most eurosceptic, and thus you would be
actually endorsing other rpo EU withdrawal parties to split the tory
vote.
Robert regarding your view that
labour cold win with 35 %, yes, but we won in 1974 ′ with 37 % and I believe Callaghan
actually got a few more
votes in 79 ′ than 74 although the percentage was the me, the point was that the 74 manifesto was so far from what the public felt, that the following election lots of liberals or stay at home voters came out and the Tories would get 13 + million for the next f our.
But nearly all types of voter overwhelmingly picked Jeremy Corbyn in the online survey for Election Data, which asked 1,019
Labour backers how they had
actually voted.
If we had known that, say, the majority of second preference
votes had been for
Labour where first preference
votes had been for the Green Party, the Lib Dems or the Nationalists, this would have made a coalition involving
Labour far more likely, making the coalition a much better reflection of what people
actually wanted.
In many southern areas, the
Labour vote actually fell, with the party losing seats in London.
The reason for the difference is most likely tactical considerations — people answer
Labour to a normal
voting intention question because that's the party they really support, but know that they happen to live in a seat where
Labour could never win, so
actually vote Liberal Democrat.