A recent meta - analysis published in the journal Nature Climate Change, by Challinor et al. (2014) examines 1,722 crop model simulations, run using global climate model output under several emissions scenarios, to evaluate the potential effects of climate change and
adaptation on crop yield.
Not exact matches
«Higher temperatures and changes in precipitation result in pressure
on yields from important
crops in much of the world,» says IFPRI agricultural economist Gerald Nelson, an author of the report, «Climate Change, Agriculture, and Food Security: Impacts and Costs of
Adaptation to 2050».
Not only have such
adaptations contributed to the vast diversification of insects in the course of evolution, they also support the success of agricultural pests specialized
on certain
crop plants that jeopardize
crop yields every year.
This analytical report provides an overview of what climate change will mean to subsistence and smallholder farmers in Lesotho, and how the capacity for climate change
adaptation in agriculture can be strengthened, focusing
on selected areas of
crops, livestock and forest - based livelihood systems, to stabilize and improve
yields.
Participants agreed to elaborate
on the text by including language stating: «Projected impacts vary across
crops and regions and
adaptation scenarios, with about 10 % of projections for the period 2030 - 2049 showing
yield gains of more than 10 %, and about 10 % of projections showing
yield losses of more than 25 %, compared to the late 20th century.»
This Science Brief covers two papers in the journals Nature Climate Change and Science,
on how
crop yield may be affected by climate change and
adaptation.
If temperatures are not kept down then Africa faces a range of devastating threats such as
crop yield reductions in places of as much 50 % in some countries by 2020; Increased pressure
on water supplies for 70 — 250 million people by 2020 and 350 — 600 million by 2050; The cost of
adaptation to sea level rises of at least 5 — 10 % of gross domestic product.