Based on climate model studies and the history of the Earth, the Hansen and Sato conclude that
additional global warming of about 1ºC (1.8 ºF) or more, above global temperature in 2000, is likely to be dangerous.
Implications include (i) the expectation of
additional global warming of about 0.6 °C without further change of atmospheric composition; (ii) the confirmation of the climate system's lag in responding to forcings, implying the need for anticipatory actions to avoid any specified level of climate change; and (iii) the likelihood of acceleration of ice sheet disintegration and sea level rise.
It is also inferred that the planet is now out of radiation balance by 0.5 to 1 W / m2 and that
additional global warming of about 0.5 °C is already «in the pipeline».
«Based on climate model studies and the history of the Earth the authors conclude that
additional global warming of about 1 °C (1.8 °F) or more, above global temperature in 2000, is likely to be dangerous.»
Not exact matches
They estimate that, across about 60 %
of the
global vegetated area, greening has buffered
warming by about 14 %; for the remaining areas, which mostly include boreal zones, LAI trends have amplified the raise in air temperatures, leading to an
additional warming of about 10 %.
If the British feasibility tests are successful, the balloon - and - hose contraption could be used to inject
additional particles into the stratosphere, thereby reflecting more
of the sun's energy back into space, and hopefully curbing some
of the effects
of global warming.
These findings, along with those from Alaska, point to
global warming as the culprit, but
additional work over a longer period
of time is needed before scientists can be certain
of that.
However, even if
global warming would be limited to the internationally acknowledged threshold
of 2 degrees Celsius
of global warming, this would bear the risk
of additional day - to - day variability between 8 and 24 percent above the pre-industrial level, according to the analysis.
As it does, it could release tons
of additional methane gas, which has 20 times the greenhouse effect
of carbon dioxide, possibly increasing the rate
of global warming.
Schlesinger and Ramankutty reach broadly similar conclusions, but they also point out that even though greenhouse gases now dominate
global warming, if part
of the
warming during this century is indeed due to solar changes, the
additional greenhouse effect may be weaker than was previously thought (Nature, vol 360, p 330).
The study, published in Nature Climate Change, suggests that nearly 4 million square kilometres
of frozen soil — an area larger than India — could be lost for every
additional degree
of global warming experienced.
To have any hope
of slowing the pace and holding down the upper level temperatures that
global warming will bring over this century, the human population
of the world will need to make large reductions
of the
additional billions
of tons
of greenhouse gases they are projected to be pumping into the atmosphere, each year.
Future
global warming can be predicted much more accurately than is generally realized... we predict
additional warming in the next 50 years
of 3/4 + / - 1/4 °C, a
warming rate
of 0.15 + / - 0.05 °C per decade.
-LSB-...] The CAA as amended in 1990 does mention «carbon dioxide» and»
global warming potential,» but only once, in the context
of non-regulatory provisions, and each time followed by a caveat admonishing EPA not to infer authority for «pollution control requirements» or «
additional regulation.»
Paleoclimate data reveal instances
of rapid
global warming, as much as 5 — 6 °C, as a sudden
additional warming spike during a longer period
of gradual
warming [see Text S1].
It will also include complicated models
of interconnected ecosystem feedbacks.The panel's last report noted that preliminary knowledge
of such feedbacks suggested that an
additional 100 billion to 500 billion tons
of greenhouse gas emissions would have to be prevented in the next century to avoid dangerous
global warming.
A clear explanation
of radiative forcing, CO2 infrared opacity and how
additional atmospheric CO2 will contribute to significant
warming would be important to many
of trying to explain the physics
of global warming.
To have any hope
of slowing the pace and holding down the upper level temperatures that
global warming will bring over this century, the human population
of the world will need to make large reductions
of the
additional billions
of tons
of greenhouse gases they are projected to be pumping into the atmosphere, each year.
For
global warming scenarios,
additional forcing comes into play: surface
warming and enhanced high - latitude precipitation, which will also reduce density
of northern surface waters (an effect which alone has shut down deep water formation in some model experiments, e.g. Manabe and Stouffer 1993, 1994).
With even further
warming more hydrates are released,
additional global soil feedback (extreme soil respiration rates, compost bomb instability) and weathering becomes a driver, now Ocean very stratified, maybe things like permanent El Nino, weather systems probably move very slow — everything gets stuck due to lack
of perturbed ocean, no or very little frozen water at the poles.
In the next 50 years, even the lower limit
of impending climate change — an
additional global mean
warming of 1 degree Celsius above the last decade — is far beyond the range
of climate variability experienced during the past thousand years and poses
global problems in planning for and adapting to it.
Global average surface temperatures are not expected to change significantly although temperatures at higher latitudes may be expected to decrease to a modest extent because
of a reduction in the efficiency
of meridional heat transport (offsetting the
additional warming anticipated for this environment caused by the build - up
of greenhouse gases).
Though an
additional key, which people that are dead and determined to label this as shear man made
global warming need to remember we are coming out
of a mini ice age (1400 - 1800ish).
A counterpoint to this argument is exemplified by Gerald Marsh in his «
Global Warming Primer» (www.nationalcenter.org/NPA420.pdf) where he claims...»
additional carbon dioxide does have an influence at the edges
of the 14.99 micron band.
One way or another, expect a lot more stories like Mr. Yiryel's in Africa, where demographers expect an
additional one billion people by midcentury and science has revealed patterns
of withering drought, with or without
global warming.
One also has an
additional problem that
global warming is likely to be good for a not insignificant number
of people.
According to the SEI study,
global warming could increase the long - term water shortfall by a quarter, adding an
additional 282 million to 439 million acre feet
of water to the 1.815 billion acre feet shortfall already expected.
The Nature commentary by Penner et al. on which this argument is based actually says that on top
of the
global warming caused by carbon dioxide, other short - lived pollutants (such as methane and black carbon) cause an
additional warming approximately 65 % as much as CO2, and other short - lived pollutants (such as aerosols) also cause some cooling.
Some climate scientists have looked at the potential impact
of such an event and concluded that it likely would delay
additional global warming — but only until the sun returned to more - normal swings in sun - spot activity.
Its definition as a pollutant relies entirely on its alleged causation
of significant
global warming and on the
additional assumption that a
warmer climate is damaging.
Four degrees
of warming could raise
global sea levels by 1 or possibly even 2 meters by 2100 (and would lock in at least a few
additional meters over future centuries).
Psychologists studying climate communication make two
additional (and related) points about why the
warming - snow link is going to be exceedingly difficult for much
of the public to accept: 1) people's confirmation biases lead them to pay skewed attention to weather events, in such a way as to confirm their preexisting beliefs about climate change (see p. 4
of this report); 2) people have mental models
of «
global warming» that tend to rule out wintry impacts.
According to the company's SEC filings, food price increases during 2013 have made them more wary
of the effects
of global warming on their food, and the company expects there to be «
additional pricing pressures on some
of those ingredients, including avocados, beef, dairy and chicken during 2014.»
New research has found evidence
of a positive feedback mechanism brought on by climate change in which
global warming itself may intensify a rise in greenhouse gases, resulting in
additional warming.
But to avoid the worst impacts
of climate change and keep the world on a path that could limit
global warming to 2 degrees C, IEA projects that an
additional 18 percent, or $ 5 trillion, in cumulative investment would be needed through 2035.
Dr Dieter Gerten, research expert on water scarcity, and lead author
of one
of the three studies contained in the PIK paper, said mean
global warming of 2ºC − the target set by the international community − is projected to expose an
additional 8 %
of humankind to new or increased water scarcity.
You seem to be leaving out the ocean temperature data, as
additional evidence for
global warming independent
of the urban heating effect: http://www.john-daly.com/mobydick/oceans.htm
Option C won't make it go away either because simulations are so massaged by confirmation bias that many reasonable people, understanding this, may tentitively choose option A. On the other hand, the problem
of catastrophic
global warming may well go away with
additional data.
The study, conducted by climate change experts from the universities
of Leeds and Exeter and the Met Office, all in the UK, and the universities
of Stockholm and Oslo, suggests that nearly four million square kilometres
of frozen soil — an area larger than India — could be lost for every
additional degree
of global warming the planet experiences.
«The climate alarmists maintain that man's emissions
of CO2 caused such a rapid increase world - wide, and further increases in CO2 will create
additional catastrophic
global warming.
Although there is considerable scientific evidence that limiting
warming to 1.5 degrees C is necessary to prevent very dangerous
warming, a fact implicit in the recent Paris Agreement in which nations agreed to work to keep
warming as close as possible from exceeding 1.5 degrees C
additional warming, if the international community seeks to limit
warming to 2 degrees C it must assure that
global emissions do not exceed the number
of tons
of CO2 emissions that will raise atmospheric concentrations to levels that will cause
warming of 2 degrees C.
As I have also noted in recent public comments,
additional mechanisms have been identified by which changes in atmospheric circulation patterns that may be a result
of global warming could be affecting droughts in the American West.
The scientists say their findings provide a hint, but only a hint, that
additional global warming could further intensify the cycle, the El Niño - Southern Oscillation, or ENSO, and thus bring more bouts
of destructive weather.
Methane hydrates that are on the edge
of stabilization can be disturbed by
global warming in two additional ways, temperature and pressure: Warming of the Earth's crust as heat penetrates sediments on the se
warming in two
additional ways, temperature and pressure:
Warming of the Earth's crust as heat penetrates sediments on the se
Warming of the Earth's crust as heat penetrates sediments on the seafloor.
Anyone needing
additional confirmation need only read the national headlines for a couple
of months and observe its ongoing response to Anthropogenic Climate Change (nee Anthropogenic
Global Warming).
Paleoclimate data reveal instances
of rapid
global warming, as much as 5 — 6 °C, as a sudden
additional warming spike during a longer period
of gradual
warming [see Text S1].
«Arctic Ice in «Death Spiral» with
additional heating due to
global warming, the extent
of sea ice cover has gotten smaller and smaller over the summers since the 1980s.
«Also in 2006,» Michaels told the Vermont court, «when a $ 100,000 contract between New Hope and electric utility Intermountain Rural Electric Association to synthesize and research new findings on
global warming became public knowledge, a public campaign was initiated to change the composition
of the Intermountain board
of directors so that there would be no
additional funding.
For example, with each degree
of warming, renewable water resources are projected to decline by at least 20 percent for an
additional 7 percent
of the
global population.
To avoid the worst effects
of global warming, there is broad scientific agreement that we must limit
additional warming to no more than 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels.