So additional rate hikes mean it's probably not the time to take on a lot of risk or to make big asset - allocation bets.
Of the 15 officials offering forecasts on interest rate increases over the balance of 2018, seven expect three or
more additional rate hikes while eight are calling for two or fewer.
With additional rate hikes anticipated, RBC now forecasts the Canadian dollar will average close to 80 U.S. cents over the forecast horizon.
Some forecasters are expecting
several additional rate hikes during 2018, and it could all add up to a shock for consumers, the real estate market and the broader economy.
The Fed is keeping a close eye on inflation, and will likely press forward
with additional rate hikes to ensure price growth doesn't overstep its 2 % target.
Add to this the disappointing ISM report, weakening automobile sales and slightly lower - than - hoped - for GDP growth in the second quarter, and it seems less and less likely we'll see more than one
additional rate hike in 2017.
Treasury yields rose on Friday set to consolidate a sharp weeklong climb as investors circle around the consensus that three
additional rate hikes were in the offing this year.
The median dot plot1 projection signals two
additional rate hikes in 2018.
The Federal Reserve has raised interest rates for the sixth time since the financial crisis and signaled that at least two
additional rate hikes are coming in 2018.
Federal Reserve officials agreed that
additional rate hikes are coming but disagreed about the frequency of such increases, according to minutes of the December meeting.
An additional rate hike next month would leave the Fed's benchmark rate at a still - low 1.25 percent to 1.5 percent.
As of May 31, 2017, the yield of the S&P Current 2 - Year Canada Sovereign Bond Index was just 0.7 %, compared with the U.S. two - year Treasury Bond yield of 1.28 %, as the U.S. Fed contemplated
an additional rate hike as soon as June 2017.
As earnings growth continues to accelerate into 2017, and the FOMC continues to «normalize» the environment with
additional rate hikes, it is time for investors to tilt portfolios appropriately.