But Democrats start the open seat race with a narrow
advantage in a presidential year when former New York Sen. Hillary Clinton is likely to top the ballot.
Not exact matches
Latimer, however, has an eight - to - one cash - on - hand
advantage, and it seems unlikely that a seat that has been repeatedly targeted by Republicans over three decades would finally flip
in a
presidential year.
Dadey said he wants a strong Republican candidate with the ability to hold the seat
in a
presidential election
year, which favors Democrats and their small enrollment
advantage in the district.
But Democrats outnumber Republicans by 63,000
in the district, an enrollment
advantage that could be difficult to assail
in a
presidential election
year that will boost turnout dramatically.
He says that traditionally, more Democrats that Republicans come out to vote
in presidential election
years in New York, though he concedes the GOP has some distinct
advantages.
Even if all goes as planned for Jacobs, the huge enrollment
advantage means the district isn't unwinnable for Democrats
in a
presidential year.
Democrats believe that with the right candidate and the turnout
advantages of a
presidential year, Coffman can be beat
in 2016.
Over the past
year I've written about the Emoluments Clause; the No Religious Tests clause; limits on
presidential power as defined
in the steel seizure case; the meaning of the oath of office; how the Appropriations Clause constrains lawsuit settlements involving the federal government; how and whether gerrymandering by race and for partisan
advantage affects constitutional rights; judicial independence; the decline and fall of the Contracts Clause; the application of Obergefell to issues of public employees and birth certificates; Article V procedure for calling a new constitutional convention; and too many First, Second, Fourth, and Fifth Amendment controversies to list.