Topics that I work on or plan to work in the future include studies of: + missing aerosol species and sources, such as the primary oceanic aerosols and their importance on the remote marine atmosphere, the in - cloud and aerosol water aqueous formation of organic aerosols that can lead to brown carbon formation, the primary terrestrial biological particles, and the organic nitrogen + missing aerosol parameterizations, such as the effect of aerosol mixing on cloud condensation nuclei and aerosol absorption, the semi-volatility of primary organic aerosols, the importance of in - canopy processes on natural terrestrial aerosol and aerosol precursor sources, and the mineral dust iron solubility and bioavailability + the change of aerosol burden and its spatiotemporal distribution, especially with regard to its role and importance on gas - phase chemistry via photolysis rates changes and heterogeneous reactions in the atmosphere, as well as their effect on key gas - phase species like ozone + the physical and optical properties of aerosols, which affect aerosol transport, lifetime, and light scattering and absorption, with the latter being very sensitive to the vertical distribution of absorbing aerosols + aerosol - cloud interactions, which include cloud activation, the aerosol indirect effect and the impact of clouds on aerosol removal + changes on climate and feedbacks related with all these topics In order to understand the climate system as a whole, improve the aerosol representation in the GISS ModelE2 and contribute to future IPCC climate change assessments and CMIP activities, I am also interested in understanding the importance of natural and anthropogenic
aerosol changes in the atmosphere on the terrestrial biosphere, the ocean and climate.
Moreover, aerosols adjust rapidly to a changing climate, so it is logical to include natural
aerosol changes in the category of fast feedbacks.
As for man - made aerosols, 2 facts aid the interpretation of the limits of
aerosol change in the 1910 to 1945 period.
Not exact matches
The effect also illustrates one proposal for so - called geoengineering — the deliberate, large - scale manipulation of the planetary environment — that would use various means to create such sulfuric acid
aerosols in the stratosphere to reflect sunlight and thereby hopefully forestall catastrophic climate
change.
Combined with a decrease
in atmospheric water vapor and a weaker sun due to the most recent solar cycle, the
aerosol finding may explain why climate
change has not been accelerating as fast as it did
in the 1990s.
One
aerosol, black carbon, is of increasing concern for Arctic nations worried about the pace of climate
change in the far north, which is warming twice as fast as the global average.
Climate
change is likely to influence rainfall patterns
in the Sierra Nevada as well as the amount of dust that makes its way into the atmosphere, so the hope is that a better understanding of how
aerosols affect precipitation will help water managers
in the future.
«Volcanic
aerosols in the stratosphere absorb infrared radiation, thereby heating up the stratosphere, and
changing the wind conditions subsequently,» said Dr. Matthew Toohey, atmospheric scientist at GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel.
And by carefully measuring and modeling the resulting
changes in atmospheric composition, scientists could improve their estimate of how sensitive Earth's climate is to CO2, said lead author Joyce Penner, a professor of atmospheric science at the University of Michigan whose work focuses on improving global climate models and their ability to model the interplay between clouds and
aerosol particles.
«
In reality, it's not just the
aerosols that
change.»
They identified 10 environmental limits we might not want to transgress
in the Anthropocene:
aerosol pollution; biodiversity loss; chemical pollution; climate
change; freshwater use;
changes in land use (forests to fields, for example); nitrogen and phosphorus cycles; ocean acidity; and the ozone hole.
The difference
in lightning activity can't be explained by
changes in the weather, according to the study's authors, who conclude that
aerosol particles emitted
in ship exhaust are
changing how storm clouds form over the ocean.
Experiments Prather and her team conducted
in California's Sierra Nevada produced the first conclusive evidence that dust
aerosols can
change the amount of precipitation produced by clouds.
Black carbon
aerosols — particles of carbon that rise into the atmosphere when biomass, agricultural waste, and fossil fuels are burned
in an incomplete way — are important for understanding climate
change, as they absorb sunlight, leading to higher atmospheric temperatures, and can also coat Arctic snow with a darker layer, reducing its reflectivity and leading to increased melting.
When Rajan Chakrabarty, Ph.D., an assistant research professor at the Desert Research Institute, began looking into the regional inventories of human - produced sources of carbon
aerosol pollution
in South Asia, considered to be a climate
change hot spot, he knew something was missing.
In particular, they propose that cloud changes associated with aerosol particles in the atmosphere could be causing the weekend effect, though other pollution processes can not be ruled out at this tim
In particular, they propose that cloud
changes associated with
aerosol particles
in the atmosphere could be causing the weekend effect, though other pollution processes can not be ruled out at this tim
in the atmosphere could be causing the weekend effect, though other pollution processes can not be ruled out at this time.
Earth System Threshold Measure Boundary Current Level Preindustrial Climate
Change CO2 Concentration 350 ppm 387 ppm 280 ppm Biodiversity Loss Extinction Rate 10 pm > 100 pm * 0.1 - one pm Nitrogen Cycle N2 Tonnage 35 mmt ** 121 mmt 0 Phosphorous Cycle Level
in Ocean 11 mmt 8.5 - 9.5 mmt — 1 mmt Ozone Layer O3 Concentration 276 DU # 283 DU 290 DU Ocean Acidification Aragonite ^ ^ Levels 2.75 2.90 3.44 Freshwater Usage Consumption 4,000 km3 ^ 2,600 km3 415 km3 Land Use
Change Cropland Conversion 15 km3 11.7 km3 Low
Aerosols Soot Concentration TBD TBD TBD Chemical Pollution TBD TBD TBD TBD * pm = per million ** mmt = millions of metric tons #DU = dobson unit ^ km3 = cubic kilometers ^ ^ Aragonite is a form of calcium carbonate.
Taking factors such as sea surface temperature, greenhouse gases and natural
aerosol particles into consideration, the researchers determined that
changes in the concentration of black carbon could be the primary driving force behind the observed alterations to the hydrological cycle
in the region.
A few of the main points of the third assessment report issued
in 2001 include: An increasing body of observations gives a collective picture of a warming world and other
changes in the climate system; emissions of greenhouse gases and
aerosols due to human activities continue to alter the atmosphere
in ways that are expected to affect the climate; confidence
in the ability of models to project future climate has increased; and there is new and stronger evidence that most of the warming observed over the last 50 years is attributable to human activities.
Similar scandals erupted over the effects of scores of industrial applications, ranging from sulfur dioxide and acid rain, to certain
aerosols and the hole
in the ozone layer, to leaded gas and cognitive impairment, to the granddaddy of them all, fossil fuels and global climate
change.
This unique orbit path will allow the CATS instrument to observe locations at different times of day and allow scientists to study day - to - night
changes in cloud and
aerosol effects from space.
Climate model projections neglecting these
changes would continue to overestimate the radiative forcing and global warming
in coming decades if these
aerosols remain present at current values or increase.
They also found that streams of electrons and protons known as the solar wind, affecting Earth's global electric field, lead to
changes in aerosol formation, which ultimately impact rainfall.
Non-polar glacial ice holds a wealth of information about past
changes in climate, the environment and especially atmospheric composition, such as variations
in temperature, atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases and emissions of natural
aerosols or human - made pollutants... The glaciers therefore hold the memory of former climates and help to predict future environmental
changes.
In the tug of war,
aerosols don't necessarily counter the impacts of climate
change on sea ice (or the planet as a whole for that matter).
Two important
aerosol species, sulfate and organic particles, have large natural biogenic sources that depend
in a highly complex fashion on environmental and ecological parameters and therefore are prone to influence by global
change.
«Once the ocean - atmosphere system was isolated, we could systematically probe how
changes in the seawater due to biological activity affect the composition and climate properties of the sea spray
aerosol,» said Prather, a professor
in the Department of Chemistry and Biochemistry who holds a joint appointment at Scripps Institution of Oceanography.
And most models looking at future climate
change scenarios did not account for
aerosols in the stratosphere.
Aerosols that high
in the sky «can
change the amount of solar radiation reaching the Earth's surface and affect rainfall through cloud formation,» she says.
Aerosols in the tropopause also complicate climate projections; they are not taken into account
in the latest assessment released
in 2013 by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change, says Yu Gu, a climate scientist at the University of California, Los Angeles.
Professor Sybren said: «It can be excluded, however, that this hiatus period was solely caused by
changes in atmospheric forcing, either due to volcanic eruptions, more
aerosols emissions
in Asia, or reduced greenhouse gas emissions.
Tar sands study co-author Shao - Meng Li, a senior research scientist at Environment and Climate
Change Canada, said that
in highly - polluted regions, some organic
aerosols can prevent clouds from forming.
Similarly (and perhaps relatedly), the magnitude of the
change in aerosol forcing from ~ 1975 to present relative to the
change in all forcings is much smaller than from pre-ind through present, which I think should make the TCR estimated over that period insensitive to the value of E.
Indeed the estimate of
aerosol forcing used
in the calculation of transient climate response (TCR)
in the paper does not come directly from climate models, but instead incorporates an adjustment to those models so that the forcing better matches the assessed estimates from the Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change (IPCC).
Dr. Yu's research has evolved to understand interfacial phenomena at the fundamental atomic and molecular level that are relevant to the observed
changes across multiple time and space scales
in the environment, with implications
in biological systems (e.g., biofilm and cell),
aerosol, catalysis, and materials.
There is some research, though, that suggests
changes in aerosol pollution have allowed more storms to reach higher intensities
in this region.
The temperature
change in any particular region will
in fact be a combination of radiation - related
changes (through greenhouse gases,
aerosols, ozone and the like) and dynamical effects.
The total forcing from the trace greenhouse gases mentioned
in Step 3, is currently about 2.5 W / m2, and the net forcing (including cooling impacts of
aerosols and natural
changes) is 1.6 ± 1.0 W / m2 since the pre-industrial.
Themes:
Aerosols, Arctic and Antarctic climate, Atmospheric Science, Climate modelling, Climate sensitivity, Extreme events, Global warming, Greenhouse gases, Mitigation of Climate
Change, Present - day observations, Oceans, Paleo - climate, Responses to common contrarian arguments, The Practice of Science, Solar forcing, Projections of future climate, Climate
in the media, Meeting Reports, Miscellaneous.
The particle soot absorption photometer collects
aerosol particles on a substrate and measures the
change in light transmission relative to a reference filter.
My main problem with that study is that the weather models don't use any forcings at all — no
changes in ozone, CO2, volcanos,
aerosols, solar etc. — and so while some of the effects of the forcings might be captured (since the weather models assimilate satellite data etc.), there is no reason to think that they get all of the signal — particularly for near surface effects (tropospheric ozone for instance).
A multidisciplinary team led by Pacific Northwest National Laboratory's Dr. Chuck Long found that, at least
in the continental United States,
changes in clouds and cloudiness have a greater influence on brightening than any decrease
in aerosol amounts alone.
While a relatively minor part of the overall
aerosol mass,
changes in the anthropogenic portion of
aerosols since 1750 have resulted
in a globally averaged net radiative forcing of roughly -1.2 W / m2,
in comparison to the overall average CO2 forcing of +1.66 W / m2.
I guess I am surprised that with better understanding of the importance of water vapor feedback, sulfate
aerosols, black carbon
aerosols, more rapid than expected declines
in sea ice and attendant decreases
in albedo, effects of the deposition of soot and dust on snow and ice decreasing albedo, and a recognition of the importance of GHGs that were probably not considered 30 years ago, that the sensitivity has
changed so little over time.
Scientists had attributed much of the dimming and brightening to
changes in the amounts of tiny particles, or
aerosols,
in the atmosphere.
Although records are sparse, pan evaporation is estimated to have decreased
in many places due to decreases
in surface radiation associated with increases
in clouds,
changes in cloud properties and / or increases
in air pollution (
aerosols), especially from 1970 to 1990.
Sally, who was nominated by Dr. Beat Schmid, Associate Director, Atmospheric Sciences and Global
Change Division, was honored for her exceptional contribution
in the field of atmospheric science, particularly
in her efforts to improve understanding of the radiative effect of clouds and
aerosols on the Earth's atmosphere and their representation
in climate models.
Mike Alexander, Alex Laskin, Yuri Desyaterik, and John Ortega, who work at DOE's Environmental Molecular Sciences Laboratory (EMSL) at PNNL and Xiao - ying Yu of PNNL's Atmospheric Science and Global
Change Division, collected an extensive set of measurements of
aerosol mass, size distribution, composition, and particle morphology using an array of
in - situ techniques and
aerosol sampling approaches.
Results: Predicting future climate
change hangs on understanding
aerosols, considered the fine details
in the atmosphere.
The forcing over the last 150 years is around 1.6 W / m2 (including cooling effects from
aerosols and land use
change) but the climate is not (yet)
in equilibirum, and so the full temperature response has not been acheived.