In our study, the biggest
aerosol effect on climate came from the effect of aerosol - cloud indirect effect.
However, he says, «
Aerosol effects on climate are one of the main uncertainties in climate models.
This review paper outlines the rationale for long - term monitoring of the global distribution of natural and anthropogenic aerosols and clouds with specificity, accuracy, and coverage necessary for a reliable quantification of the direct and indirect
aerosol effects on climate.
Not exact matches
«It is widely understood that
aerosols have a net cooling
effect on climate, counteracting the warming caused by greenhouse gases.
Overall, improving our understanding of one of the largest natural
aerosol sources is critical if we are to understand the
effects of human - made
aerosols on climate,» says Matt Salter.
«We've shown that under clean and humid conditions, like those that exist over the ocean and some land in the tropics, tiny
aerosols have a big impact
on weather and
climate and can intensify storms a great deal,» said Fan, an expert
on the
effects of pollution
on storms and weather.
The theory of dangerous
climate change is based not just
on carbon dioxide warming but
on positive and negative feedback
effects from water vapor and phenomena such as clouds and airborne
aerosols from coal burning.
The information could also feed into
climate models to help understand the
effects of clouds and
aerosols on Earth's energy balance.
Scientists believe that
aerosols exert an influence
on climate roughly equal to that of greenhouse gases, but the current estimate of
aerosols»
climate effect carries a large margin of error.
«There is a link between the chemistry that goes
on in this type of air motion and the subsequent
effects on the trace gases and
aerosols in the atmosphere that ultimately impact
climate.»
«Scientists have talked about Arctic melting and albedo decrease for nearly 50 years,» said Ramanathan, a distinguished professor of
climate and atmospheric sciences at Scripps who has previously conducted similar research
on the global dimming
effects of
aerosols.
What's more, according to Tim Bates of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), «there's a very wide range of sizes [for
aerosol particles], and the
effect that the particle is going to have
on climate is going to be very dependent
on its size, which makes it trickier.»
The latter type of sensors, Robock notes, could directly measure the size distribution of
aerosols, which could help researchers better model their
effects on climate.
I disagree with Leis's claim that
climate models do not good enough information
on aerosol effects.
This is one of the best examples of why
aerosol mixing state is so important for modeling the
effect of
aerosols on climate.
Now if this was the 1980s they might have had a point, but the fact that
aerosols are an important
climate forcing, have a net cooling
effect on climate and, in part, arise from the same industrial activities that produce greenhouse gases, has been part of mainstream science for 30 years.
The multi-scale
aerosol -
climate model, an extension of a multi-scale modeling framework, examined specific
aerosol - cloud interactions and their
effects on the Earth's energy budget, one of the toughest
climate forecasting problems.
Sally, who was nominated by Dr. Beat Schmid, Associate Director, Atmospheric Sciences and Global Change Division, was honored for her exceptional contribution in the field of atmospheric science, particularly in her efforts to improve understanding of the radiative
effect of clouds and
aerosols on the Earth's atmosphere and their representation in
climate models.
This mis - representation and can have significant ramifications for estimating the direct and indirect
effects of
aerosols on climate.
Fascinatingly, the book from the mid-70s said that there was one
climate scientist — Wally Broecker - who predicted that the greenhouse warming was
on the verge of overtaking the
aerosol cooling
effects and that by the year 2000 the planet would be warmer than it had been in 1000 years.
CLOUD is designed to understand how new
aerosol particles form and grow in the atmosphere, and their
effect on clouds and
climate.
The top priorities should be reducing uncertainties in
climate sensitivity, getting a better understanding of the
effect of
climate change
on atmospheric circulation (critical for understanding of regional
climate change, changes in extremes) and reducing uncertainties in radiative forcing — particularly those associated with
aerosols.
Sulfate
aerosols have a cooling
effect on the
climate, which has led some researchers to suggest that continued reductions will lead to greater global temperature increases in coming decades.
The indirect
aerosol effect on clouds is non-linear [1], [76] such that it has been suggested that even the modest
aerosol amounts added by pre-industrial humans to an otherwise pristine atmosphere may have caused a significant
climate forcing [59].
They also compared global estimates of
aerosol effects on the Earth's
climate using two of the parameterizations.
From the Physical Science Basis: «Shindell et al. (2009) estimated the impact of reactive species emissions
on both gaseous and
aerosol forcing species and found that ozone precursors, including methane, had an additional substantial
climate effect because they increased or decreased the rate of oxidation of SO2 to sulphate
aerosol.
Should this prove to be significant,
climate models will likely incorporate this directly (using embedded
aerosol codes), or will parameterise the
effects based
on calculated cloud variations from more detailed models.
Solar activity impacts
on climate are a fascinating topic, and encompass direct radiative processes, indirect
effects via atmospheric chemistry and (potentially)
aerosol formation
effects.
It is my understanding that the uncertainties regarding
climate sensitivity to a nominal 2XCO2 forcing is primarily a function of the uncertainties in (1) future atmospheric
aerosol concentrations; both sulfate - type (cooling) and black carbon - type (warming), (2) feedbacks associated with
aerosol effects on the properties of clouds (e.g. will cloud droplets become more reflective?)
Also, due to the multiplicity of anthropogenic and natural
effects on the
climate over this time (i.e.
aerosols, land - use change, greenhouse gases, ozone changes, solar, volcanic etc.) it is difficult to accurately define the forcings.
Therefore when you ask about the general
effects of cloud feedbacks
on climate, you have moved well beyond the scope of a discussion about
aerosol second indirect
effects.
Sulphate
aerosols have a cooling
effect on the
climate because they scatter light from the Sun, reflecting its energy back out into space.
Has anyone modeled and published the
effects of anthropogenic Chinese / Indian
aerosol emissions
on monsoonal / SE Asian
climate?
The continent's policies most likely have the biggest
effect on aerosol - related
climate change.
The spotlight is
on the
effect of
aerosol - particles released by industrial activity -
on the Earth's
climate.
Better understanding of the
effect of
aerosols on Earth's
climate in the past can help
climate scientist make better predictions of
climate change trends in the future, the researchers said.
«The
Effect of Atmospheric
Aerosols on Climate with Special Reference to Temperature near the Earth's Surface.»
In contrast, ponds and
aerosol deposition have little
effect on Antarctic sea ice for all
climates considered.
The study focuses
on one proposed type of SRM, known as a «stratospheric
aerosol injection», which involves sending up substances to the stratosphere that are known to have a cooling
effect on the
climate.
«When eruptions are powerful enough to reach the stratosphere (18 km or more above the surface at the equator), these sulphate
aerosols can stay aloft for a number of years and have a strong cooling
effect on the
climate.»
For the first time, researchers have developed a comprehensive approach to look at
aerosols — those fine particles found in pollution — and their
effect on clouds and
climate.
Basic physical science considerations, exploratory
climate modeling, and the impacts of volcanic
aerosols on climate all suggest that SWCE could partially compensate for some
effects — particularly net global warming — of increased atmospheric CO2.
The second IPCC report, published in 1995, invoked the «sulfate -
aerosol effect» and produced the memorable but essentially meaningless phrase that «the balance of evidence suggests a discernible human influence
on global
climate.»
(Note: the biggest issue is
climate sensitivity, with a secondary issue being the magnitude of modes of natural internal variability
on multi-decadal time scales, and tertiary issues associated model inadequacies in dealing with
aerosol - cloud processes and solar indirect
effects.)
Even worse, the models inadequately include the diverse myraid
effects of
aerosols and land use / land cover change
on the
climate system, so they are already hindered in their ability to accurately represent the real world spectrum of human
climate forcings.
I added several comments e.g. about the (minor) impact of human
aerosols on temperature, which implies that the
effect of GHGs is also less than incorporated in
climate models.
The
effect of anthropogenic black carbon (BC)
aerosol on snow is of enduring interest due to its role in
aerosol radiative forcing and further consequences for Arctic and global
climate change.
That is appropriate since it is the radiative forcing produced by
aerosols, ozone etc. in the recent
climate state, not in the 1850
climate state, that determines their
effect on recent temperatures.
Over the last century, tiny airborne particles called
aerosols, which cool the
climate by absorbing and reflecting sunlight, have largely cancelled out the
effects of GHG emissions
on tropical storm intensity, according to a new scientific review paper published in Science journal.
The authors find that the results from each of these analyses are consistent, showing that the
effects of changes in greenhouse gases,
aerosols and other anthropogenic forcings
on the
climate of the Arctic region can be detected.