Not exact matches
And by carefully measuring and modeling the resulting changes
in atmospheric composition, scientists could improve their estimate of how sensitive Earth's
climate is to CO2, said lead author Joyce Penner, a professor of atmospheric science at the University of Michigan whose work focuses
on improving global
climate models and their ability to model the interplay between clouds and
aerosol particles.
This finding has implications for the role of sea spray
aerosols in climate, especially
on how they interact with solar radiation,» says Paul Zieger, assistant professor at ACES and co-author of the study.
«We've shown that under clean and humid conditions, like those that exist over the ocean and some land
in the tropics, tiny
aerosols have a big impact
on weather and
climate and can intensify storms a great deal,» said Fan, an expert
on the effects of pollution
on storms and weather.
The request also calls for canceling five NASA earth science missions, including an operating Earth - facing camera
on the Deep Space
Climate Observatory satellite and the planned Plankton,
Aerosol, Cloud, ocean Ecosystem satellite, set for launch
in 2022, which would assess the ocean's health and its interactions with the atmosphere.
Unfortunately, current simulation models, which combine global
climate models with
aerosol transport models, consistently underestimate the amount of these
aerosols in the Arctic compared to actual measurements during the spring and winter seasons, making it difficult to accurately assess the impact of these substances
on the
climate.
But researchers from the University of Geneva (UNIGE), Switzerland, members of the PlanetSolar Deepwater expedition, have now succeeded
in linking the composition of marine biological
aerosols — and therefore their influence
on the
climate — to that of bodies of water under them within the Atlantic Ocean, thereby paving the way to an indirect study of these
aerosols through water analysis.
«There is a link between the chemistry that goes
on in this type of air motion and the subsequent effects
on the trace gases and
aerosols in the atmosphere that ultimately impact
climate.»
However, he says, «
Aerosol effects
on climate are one of the main uncertainties
in climate models.
ARO scientists monitor a range of atmospheric phenomena, from the influence of gases and
aerosols on Earth's
climate to the impact of pollutants
in the atmosphere.
In the tug of war,
aerosols don't necessarily counter the impacts of
climate change
on sea ice (or the planet as a whole for that matter).
Moving the chemical complexity of the ocean to the laboratory represented a major advance that will enable many new studies to be performed,» said Kimberly Prather, Distinguished Chair
in Atmospheric Chemistry at the University of California, San Diego and director of the Center for
Aerosol Impacts
on Climate and the Environment, who led the team of more than 30 scientists involved
in this project.
Aerosols in the tropopause also complicate
climate projections; they are not taken into account in the latest assessment released in 2013 by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, says Yu Gu, a climate scientist at the University of California, Los A
climate projections; they are not taken into account
in the latest assessment released
in 2013 by the Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change, says Yu Gu, a climate scientist at the University of California, Los A
Climate Change, says Yu Gu, a
climate scientist at the University of California, Los A
climate scientist at the University of California, Los Angeles.
Aerosols from the production of heavy oil is a growing
climate and pollution concern because new tar sands developments are
on the drawing board
in Venezuela, Utah and elsewhere, the study says.
In a separate study published Wednesday, researchers at the RIKEN Advanced Institute for Computational Science in Japan, said aerosols in the Arctic have a «profound» impact on the global climate syste
In a separate study published Wednesday, researchers at the RIKEN Advanced Institute for Computational Science
in Japan, said aerosols in the Arctic have a «profound» impact on the global climate syste
in Japan, said
aerosols in the Arctic have a «profound» impact on the global climate syste
in the Arctic have a «profound» impact
on the global
climate system.
Indeed the estimate of
aerosol forcing used
in the calculation of transient
climate response (TCR) in the paper does not come directly from climate models, but instead incorporates an adjustment to those models so that the forcing better matches the assessed estimates from the Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
climate response (TCR)
in the paper does not come directly from
climate models, but instead incorporates an adjustment to those models so that the forcing better matches the assessed estimates from the Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
climate models, but instead incorporates an adjustment to those models so that the forcing better matches the assessed estimates from the Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) of the Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change
Climate Change (IPCC).
In my never - ending quest to understanding
climate science the one area I was almost clueless
on was
aerosols;)
Let me amplify
on # 37: here's the other RealClimate link (that James» blog point to) I should have put
in my comment about
climate sensitivity and how uncertainty
in aerosols relates to future
climate projection: http://www.realclimate.org/index.php?p=115.
Therefore studies based
on observed warming have underestimated
climate sensitivity as they did not account for the greater response to
aerosol forcing, and multiple lines of evidence are now consistent
in showing that
climate sensitivity is
in fact very unlikely to be at the low end of the range
in recent estimates.
Now if this was the 1980s they might have had a point, but the fact that
aerosols are an important
climate forcing, have a net cooling effect
on climate and,
in part, arise from the same industrial activities that produce greenhouse gases, has been part of mainstream science for 30 years.
Sally, who was nominated by Dr. Beat Schmid, Associate Director, Atmospheric Sciences and Global Change Division, was honored for her exceptional contribution
in the field of atmospheric science, particularly
in her efforts to improve understanding of the radiative effect of clouds and
aerosols on the Earth's atmosphere and their representation
in climate models.
Results: Predicting future
climate change hangs
on understanding
aerosols, considered the fine details
in the atmosphere.
Because small - scale
climate features, such as clouds and atmospheric
aerosol particles, have a large impact
on global
climate, it's important to improve the methods used to represent those
climate features
in the models.
Fascinatingly, the book from the mid-70s said that there was one
climate scientist — Wally Broecker - who predicted that the greenhouse warming was
on the verge of overtaking the
aerosol cooling effects and that by the year 2000 the planet would be warmer than it had been
in 1000 years.
He is particularly interested
in the role of
aerosols and clouds
in the atmosphere, and has worked
on the processes that describe these components of the atmosphere, the computational details that are needed to describe them
in computer models, and
on their impact
on climate.
PNNL is using an integrative research approach that draws
on our depth and breadth of capabilities
in atmospheric chemistry,
climate physics, modeling, and measurement to address critical scientific questions related to the role of
aerosols in the
climate system.
Vision PNNL will take a leadership role
in the incorporation of
aerosols into
climate models, through integrative research
on atmospheric
aerosol interactions and through development of innovative instrumentation and measurement techniques.
CLOUD is designed to understand how new
aerosol particles form and grow
in the atmosphere, and their effect
on clouds and
climate.
The Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change (IPCC) considers that the increase in aerosols and clouds since pre-industrial times represents one of the largest sources of uncertainty in climate c
Climate Change (IPCC) considers that the increase
in aerosols and clouds since pre-industrial times represents one of the largest sources of uncertainty
in climate c
climate change5.
Wang has extensive experiences
on modeling
aerosols, clouds and
aerosol - cloud interactions
in global
climate models.
Most of the non-model estimates of
climate sensitivity are based
on the analyses using other forcings such as solar and
aerosols, and the assumption that sensitivity to CO2 will be the same, despite the differences
in way these forcings couple to the
climate system.
The top priorities should be reducing uncertainties
in climate sensitivity, getting a better understanding of the effect of
climate change
on atmospheric circulation (critical for understanding of regional
climate change, changes
in extremes) and reducing uncertainties
in radiative forcing — particularly those associated with
aerosols.
Proposed campaigns should focus
on research that addresses the ARM mission of improving the understanding and representation of clouds and
aerosols in climate and earth system models, as well as their interactions and coupling with Earth's surface.
Sulfate
aerosols have a cooling effect
on the
climate, which has led some researchers to suggest that continued reductions will lead to greater global temperature increases
in coming decades.
The upper tail is particularly long
in studies using diagnostics based
on large - scale mean data because separation of the greenhouse gas response from that to
aerosols or
climate variability is more difficult with such diagnostics (Andronova and Schlesinger, 2001; Gregory et al., 2002a; Knutti et al., 2002, 2003).
From its base
in Namibia, the Observations of Clouds above
Aerosols and their Interactions (ORACLES) study will use airborne instruments this fall to probe the impact
on climate and rainfall of the interaction between clouds over the southeastern Atlantic Ocean and smoke from vegetation burning
in southern Africa.
He is leading projects investigating the impacts of snow and ice impurities
on climate and water resources, and the
aerosol sub-grid progress and parameterizations
in climate models.
In a new review paper in Nature this week, Andreae, Jones and Cox expand on the idea that uncertainty in climate sensitivity is directly related to uncertainty in present day aerosol forcing (see also this New Scientist commentary
In a new review paper
in Nature this week, Andreae, Jones and Cox expand on the idea that uncertainty in climate sensitivity is directly related to uncertainty in present day aerosol forcing (see also this New Scientist commentary
in Nature this week, Andreae, Jones and Cox expand
on the idea that uncertainty
in climate sensitivity is directly related to uncertainty in present day aerosol forcing (see also this New Scientist commentary
in climate sensitivity is directly related to uncertainty
in present day aerosol forcing (see also this New Scientist commentary
in present day
aerosol forcing (see also this New Scientist commentary).
It is my understanding that the uncertainties regarding
climate sensitivity to a nominal 2XCO2 forcing is primarily a function of the uncertainties
in (1) future atmospheric
aerosol concentrations; both sulfate - type (cooling) and black carbon - type (warming), (2) feedbacks associated with
aerosol effects
on the properties of clouds (e.g. will cloud droplets become more reflective?)
Therefore studies based
on observed warming have underestimated
climate sensitivity as they did not account for the greater response to
aerosol forcing, and multiple lines of evidence are now consistent
in showing that
climate sensitivity is
in fact very unlikely to be at the low end of the range
in recent estimates.
Similarly, the influence of
aerosols on precipitation processes is another example of a non-radiative
climate forcing (see pages 6, and 42 - 44, for example,
in the NRC report).
A follow - up question related to where we might lose contact between historical and future is the disproportionate role of
aerosols on the asymmetries
in climate forcing.
[T] here have now been several recent papers showing much the same — numerous factors including: the increase
in positive forcing (CO2 and the recent work
on black carbon), decrease
in estimated negative forcing (
aerosols), combined with the stubborn refusal of the planet to warm as had been predicted over the last decade, all makes a high
climate sensitivity increasingly untenable.
There is a nice article
in GRL by Kyle Armour and Gerard Roe
on the interplay of
aerosol masking and
climate sensitivity.
Better understanding of the effect of
aerosols on Earth's
climate in the past can help
climate scientist make better predictions of
climate change trends
in the future, the researchers said.
I have devoted 30 years to conducting research
on topics including
climate of the Arctic, the role of clouds and
aerosols in the
climate system, and the
climate dynamics of extreme weather events.
On the contrary,
in the face of new evidence (of an unexpected source of
aerosols) they are revising their understanding of the
climate.
However, detection and attribution analyses based
on climate simulations that include these forcings, (e.g., Stott et al., 2006b), continue to detect a significant anthropogenic influence
in 20th - century temperature observations even though the near - surface patterns of response to black carbon
aerosols and sulphate
aerosols could be so similar at large spatial scales (although opposite
in sign) that detection analyses may be unable to distinguish between them (Jones et al., 2005).
Judith, I think falling best estimates for
aerosol offsets
in the SOD (compared to AR4) and simultaneous continued use of earlier (larger)
aerosol offsets
in the
climate model simulations borders
on daft.
In contrast, ponds and
aerosol deposition have little effect
on Antarctic sea ice for all
climates considered.
On the question of hurricanes, the theoretical arguments that more energy and water vapor
in the atmosphere should lead to stronger storms are really sound (after all, storm intensity increases going from pole toward equator), but determining precisely how human influences (so including GHGs [greenhouse gases] and
aerosols, and land cover change) should be changing hurricanes
in a system where there are natural external (solar and volcanoes) and internal (e.g., ENSO, NAO [El Nino - Southern Oscillation, North Atlantic Oscillation]-RRB- influences is quite problematic — our
climate models are just not good enough yet to carry out the types of sensitivity tests that have been done using limited area hurricane models run for relatively short times.