In the future, a higher saturation level in the shortwave infrared window should be considered; this could be accomplished with a dual - gain sensor and likely not
affect SST determinations.
there are 40,000 large dams ie above 30m high, though location is the issue — Yangtse and Yellow rivers will obviously
affect the SST / salinity of the Pacific currents heading north towards the arctic.
Even things like the shape of the bottom can
affect SST.
Some mental giant said he wouldn't consider that because Bob was unreliable because he believes ENSO
affects SST.
Another complicating factor is the change in methods of measuring ocean temperature, which may have
affected the SST values.
Perhaps I'm biased because I'm a physicist not a statistician, but to me it is clear that physical evidence, like our physical understanding of how CO2
affects SST and how SST affects hurricanes, gives you warning of the loaded dice long before you can prove it from the damage statistics.
One other factor over the period post-1945 to 1963 which limited and
affected SST observations in the Pacific Ocean were the various nuclear test series, for numerous military, political, physical and biohazard reasons, and the consequential local hydrophysical, hydrobiological, and atmospheric perturbations such testing occasioned.
Not exact matches
It is simply the
SST off of Europe, which although it may be
affected by the THC, does not define the THC.
In turn, we find these datasets to correspond well to independent observations of
SST, suggesting that some particular regions of the globe are not as
affected as others by calibration artifacts.
So does this sort of phenomenon
affect the paleo - reconstruction of global
SSTs?
Mike's work, like that of previous award winners, is diverse, and includes pioneering and highly cited work in time series analysis (an elegant use of Thomson's multitaper spectral analysis approach to detect spatiotemporal oscillations in the climate record and methods for smoothing temporal data), decadal climate variability (the term «Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation» or «AMO» was coined by Mike in an interview with Science's Richard Kerr about a paper he had published with Tom Delworth of GFDL showing evidence in both climate model simulations and observational data for a 50 - 70 year oscillation in the climate system; significantly Mike also published work with Kerry Emanuel in 2006 showing that the AMO concept has been overstated as regards its role in 20th century tropical Atlantic
SST changes, a finding recently reaffirmed by a study published in Nature), in showing how changes in radiative forcing from volcanoes can
affect ENSO, in examining the role of solar variations in explaining the pattern of the Medieval Climate Anomaly and Little Ice Age, the relationship between the climate changes of past centuries and phenomena such as Atlantic tropical cyclones and global sea level, and even a bit of work in atmospheric chemistry (an analysis of beryllium - 7 measurements).
If rising
SSTs in the Indian Ocean
affect the differential between the WIO and EIO then the weather patterns are accordingly
affected.
Changes here have a long term effect,
affecting the strength of the north - ward horizontal flow of the Atlantic's upper warm layer, thereby altering the oceanic poleward heat transport and the distribution of sea surface temperature (
SST — AMO), the presumed source of the (climate) natural variability.
Therefore, the potential intensity depends mostly on variations of
SST (which controls hs *) for climate variations that do not
affect the mean temperature of the troposphere.
Oceanic circulation also plays a role — not that the Gulf Stream would ever shut down, but the warm core rings shed into the North Atlantic could become bigger and warmer,
affecting regional
SSTs, and hence precipitation and soil moisture.
-- «But global warming very definitely DOES
affect the temperature of the tropical free troposphere, so it is not possible to conclude, as alas many have, that increasing
SST per se means increasing tropical cyclone intensity (though it usually does signify more TC - related rain).»
Satellite measurements of infrared radiances and
SSTs indicate that almost 52 percent of the tropical oceans between 20 N and 20 S are
affected during all seasons....
The evolution of El Niño - Southern Oscillation (ENSO) variability can be characterized by various ocean - atmosphere feedbacks, for example, the influence of ENSO related sea surface temperature (
SST) variability on the low - level wind and surface heat fluxes in the equatorial tropical Pacific, which in turn
affects the evolution of the
SST.
That is fairly classic stuff but the graph seems to show
SST affecting LOD rather than LOD trigger El Nino events.
However, during La Niña Modoki the anomaly of the sea surface temperature (
SST) in the eastern Pacific isn't
affected by cooling but by warming just like western equatorial Pacific, while a cold anomaly
affects the central equatorial Pacific (Niño 3.4).
that's the point, pogac is not just natural variability,
sst in the enso regions are
affected by radiative forcing too.
For example, the northern East Asian summer monsoon (NEASM) is, for the years of highest
SST anomalies in the tropical eastern Pacific (TEP),
affected by the Pacific - East Asian (PEA) teleconnection pattern, which consists of a wave creating an anomalously strong western North Pacific (WNP) anticyclonic circulation and anomalously strong cyclonic circulation in the NEASM region, creating more monsoon rainfall.
So the warmer
SST's in the 20 - 50's era would have impacted coastal
affected stations preferentially over sheltered ones with temperature more directly correlated to
SST's.
Importantly, the changes in cereal yield projected for the 2020s and 2080s are driven by GHG - induced climate change and likely do not fully capture interannual precipitation variability which can result in large yield reductions during dry periods, as the IPCC (Christensen et al., 2007) states: ``... there is less confidence in the ability of the AOGCMs (atmosphere - ocean general circulation models) to generate interannual variability in the
SSTs (sea surface temperatures) of the type known to
affect African rainfall, as evidenced by the fact that very few AOGCMs produce droughts comparable in magnitude to the Sahel droughts of the 1970s and 1980s.»
Since the authors did not pose a hypothesis about «how» the rising
SSTs would
affect global tropical storm days, they can not reject the idea out of hand as they did.
«The authors write that North Pacific Decadal Variability (NPDV) «is a key component in predictability studies of both regional and global climate change,»... they emphasize that given the links between both the PDO and the NPGO with global climate, the accurate characterization and the degree of predictability of these two modes in coupled climate models is an important «open question in climate dynamics» that needs to be addressed... report that model - derived «temporal and spatial statistics of the North Pacific Ocean modes exhibit significant discrepancies from observations in their twentieth - century climate... conclude that «for implications on future climate change, the coupled climate models show no consensus on projected future changes in frequency of either the first or second leading pattern of North Pacific
SST anomalies,» and they say that «the lack of a consensus in changes in either mode also
affects confidence in projected changes in the overlying atmospheric circulation.»»
However, it is intimately tied to the WAM circulation, which in turn is
affected by sea surface temperatures (
SSTs), particularly antisymmetric patterns between the Hemispheres.
Identify the mechanisms by which AMOC variability, imprinted on
SST and / or the cryosphere,
affects local and remote atmospheric patterns and phenomena.
It is surprising for me that all this fierce fighting here is not really on the trend of the Hurricanes, not even on a potential influence of global warming but just on the question if this influence acts by
SSTs or by
affecting the vertical wind shear.
I do think that there is a broad consensus that there likely is an effect from increased
SST, but that so far it is not sufficiently significant to be visible in the impact record, while lots of other things are, including the well known natural decadal cycles
affecting hurricanes, flood defenses and increasing population and property values.
Roger also points out on his site that it is not just
SST that are
affected by climate change, I read this to mean that land use changes, local changes in climate forcings and so forth may counteract the expected increase from
SST locally.
I am harping on this point becuase i see it a central to an informed discussion of the relative ability of internal Atlantic
SST variations and global warming to
affect hurricane intensity: an internally generated increase in Atlantic
SST is likely to be associated with a more unstable atmosphere than the same increase due to global warming.
Since these EWs provide the equatorial Atlantic with cloud formations the size of Europe, varying the EW mass will
affect Atlantic
SST.
See «the Nile climate engine» where man made alterations to the e Mediterranean
SST affects easterly wave cloud mass thus increased equitotial Atlantic insolation.
But the observational estimate uncertainty includes measurement and related errors that are not present in the model estimate uncertainty (although these appear to be relatively unimportant in this case), while only the model estimates sample decadal / multidecadal climate system internal variability, which very possibly
affects the TLC reflection —
SST relationship.
SSTs however have been influenced by other forcings, such as greenhouse gases, over the last few decades, and these transient changes will obviously
affect the solar cycle influence.
Total solar irradiance changes, though of small magnitude, do appear to
affect sea surface temperatures (
SSTs), most obviously at latitudes where cloud cover is small and irradiance is abundant, such as the Northern Hemisphere subtropics during summer.
The top panel shows the experiments which used climatological (unchanging)
SSTs; here the influence comes primarily from the solar UV variations
affecting the stratosphere.
The first individual reaction in the
SST paradigm is a kind of social cognitive reaction conflict
affected by the physical significance of the stimulus; that is, external activities.
The first individual reaction in the
SST paradigm is a type of social cognitive reaction conflict
affected by the physical significance of the stimulus.