Not exact matches
Haigh then plugged her data into an
atmospheric model to calculate how the
patterns affected energy filtering through the atmosphere.
The researchers warn, however, that the future evolution of the AMO remains uncertain, with many factors potentially
affecting how it interacts with
atmospheric circulation
patterns, such as Arctic sea ice loss, changes in solar radiation, volcanic eruptions and concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere.
The UM Rosenstiel School researchers used historical observations of cloud cover as a proxy for wind velocity in climate models to analyze the Walker circulation, the
atmospheric air flow and heat distribution in the tropic Pacific region that
affects patterns of tropical rainfall.
«Our future studies will look to compare the role of the AMO compared to Arctic sea ice anomalies, which have also been shown to
affect atmospheric circulation
patterns and promote colder, more extreme winters.»
Researchers from the University of California Irvine have shown that a phenomenon known as the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO)-- a natural
pattern of variation in North Atlantic sea surface temperatures that switches between a positive and negative phase every 60 - 70 years — can
affect an
atmospheric circulation
pattern, known as the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), that influences the temperature and precipitation over the Northern Hemisphere in winter.
Antarctic climate results from a complex mix of oceanic and
atmospheric circulation
patterns, so there could also be other components
affecting the amount of snow accumulation in the region, Bromwich said.
Each time a switch occurs, the changes to ocean and
atmospheric circulation
affect temperature and rainfall
patterns across the globe.
Much study has focused on the effects these rising carbon dioxide levels could have on weather
patterns and global temperatures, but could elevated
atmospheric CO2 levels negatively
affect the nutritional value of the food we grow?
Resulting changes in the
atmospheric temperature structure, including from surface dimming, in turn
affect regional circulation and precipitation
patterns.
But from an email conversation with Francis, Vavrus, and several other
atmospheric scientists this week, it became clear that there may be more questions than answers at this point, given the large amount of natural variability that
affects winter weather
patterns, and the very short observational record of how the atmosphere responded to extreme losses of sea ice (only five winters of records since 2007).
Includes detailed information on the characteristics of the atmosphere, factors
affecting wind, global
atmospheric circulation systems, global pressure
patterns and Hadley, Ferrel and Polar cells.
Mike's work, like that of previous award winners, is diverse, and includes pioneering and highly cited work in time series analysis (an elegant use of Thomson's multitaper spectral analysis approach to detect spatiotemporal oscillations in the climate record and methods for smoothing temporal data), decadal climate variability (the term «Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation» or «AMO» was coined by Mike in an interview with Science's Richard Kerr about a paper he had published with Tom Delworth of GFDL showing evidence in both climate model simulations and observational data for a 50 - 70 year oscillation in the climate system; significantly Mike also published work with Kerry Emanuel in 2006 showing that the AMO concept has been overstated as regards its role in 20th century tropical Atlantic SST changes, a finding recently reaffirmed by a study published in Nature), in showing how changes in radiative forcing from volcanoes can
affect ENSO, in examining the role of solar variations in explaining the
pattern of the Medieval Climate Anomaly and Little Ice Age, the relationship between the climate changes of past centuries and phenomena such as Atlantic tropical cyclones and global sea level, and even a bit of work in
atmospheric chemistry (an analysis of beryllium - 7 measurements).
And we know for sure that a lot more is going to
affect temperature and thus the blossoms than just CO2 —
atmospheric and oceanic circulation
patterns will clearly have a big effect from year to year.
Climate alarm depends on several gloomy assumptions — about how fast emissions will increase, how fast
atmospheric concentrations will rise, how much global temperatures will rise, how warming will
affect ice sheet dynamics and sea - level rise, how warming will
affect weather
patterns, how the latter will
affect agriculture and other economic activities, and how all climate change impacts will
affect public health and welfare.
I will now analyse how the system could work and show that composition changes not involving changes in mass only
affect atmospheric volume and circulation
patterns and not surface temperature.
Yet, we explained there is also reasonable basis for concern that a warming world may at least temporarily increase tornado damage including the fact that oceans are now warmer, and regional ocean circulation cycles such as La Nina / El Nino
patterns in the Pacific which
affect upper
atmospheric conditions appear to becoming more chaotic under the influence of climate change.
Furthermore, agreement is widespread that these changes may profoundly
affect atmospheric water vapor concentrations, clouds, precipitation
patterns, and runoff and stream flow
patterns.
«The authors write that «the El Niño - Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a naturally occurring fluctuation,» whereby «on a timescale of two to seven years, the eastern equatorial Pacific climate varies between anomalously cold (La Niña) and warm (El Niño) conditions,» and that «these swings in temperature are accompanied by changes in the structure of the subsurface ocean, variability in the strength of the equatorial easterly trade winds, shifts in the position of
atmospheric convection, and global teleconnection
patterns associated with these changes that lead to variations in rainfall and weather
patterns in many parts of the world,» which end up
affecting «ecosystems, agriculture, freshwater supplies, hurricanes and other severe weather events worldwide.»»
Recent global climate change is also likely to
affect large - scale
atmospheric circulation
patterns, with strong nonlinear feedbacks between thermodynamic and dynamic components of the climate system (10, 11).
Forests can
affect the global climate system by altering large - scale
patterns in
atmospheric waves and jet streams, a mechanism termed «teleconnection
patterns» (e.g., [12, 15 — 19]-RRB-.
«The authors write that North Pacific Decadal Variability (NPDV) «is a key component in predictability studies of both regional and global climate change,»... they emphasize that given the links between both the PDO and the NPGO with global climate, the accurate characterization and the degree of predictability of these two modes in coupled climate models is an important «open question in climate dynamics» that needs to be addressed... report that model - derived «temporal and spatial statistics of the North Pacific Ocean modes exhibit significant discrepancies from observations in their twentieth - century climate... conclude that «for implications on future climate change, the coupled climate models show no consensus on projected future changes in frequency of either the first or second leading
pattern of North Pacific SST anomalies,» and they say that «the lack of a consensus in changes in either mode also
affects confidence in projected changes in the overlying
atmospheric circulation.»»
As I have also noted in recent public comments, additional mechanisms have been identified by which changes in
atmospheric circulation
patterns that may be a result of global warming could be
affecting droughts in the American West.
Climate change is indeed expected to influence certain major ocean currents, in part by
affecting the winds and other
atmospheric patterns that help to drive the movement of the seas.
But in a given model you can often find ways of altering the model's climate sensitivity through the sub-grid convection and cloud schemes that
affect cloud feedback, but you have to tread carefully because the cloud simulation exerts a powerful control on the
atmospheric circulation, top - of - atmosphere (TOA) and surface radiative flux
patterns, the tropical precipitation distribution, etc..
This decade - scale shift in the
atmospheric - circulation
pattern over the North Atlantic, from the Azores to Greenland, strongly
affects wintertime downwind.
Despite a half century of climate change that has significantly
affected temperature and precipitation
patterns and has already had widespread ecological and hydrological impacts, and despite a near certainty that the United States will experience at least as much climate change in the coming decades, just as a result of the current
atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases, those organizations in the public and private sectors that are most at risk, that are making long - term investments and commitments, and that have the planning, forecasting and institutional capacity to adapt, have not yet done so.
But from an email conversation with Francis, Vavrus, and several other
atmospheric scientists this week, it became clear that there may be more questions than answers at this point, given the large amount of natural variability that
affects winter weather
patterns, and the very short observational record of how the atmosphere responded to extreme losses of sea ice (only five winters of records since 2007).
According to research published last week by Jennifer Francis of Rutgers University (Geophysical Research Letters, vol 39, L06801), the rapid warming in the Arctic is
affecting atmospheric circulation further south, making weather
patterns more persistent — more blocking, in other words — which makes some kinds of extreme weather, such as heatwaves, more likely.
These anomalies are then transported by major ocean currents to locations where the stored energy is released into the atmosphere, altering
atmospheric pressure and moisture
patterns that can ultimately
affect regional precipitation.
Identify the mechanisms by which AMOC variability, imprinted on SST and / or the cryosphere,
affects local and remote
atmospheric patterns and phenomena.