In the case that the GCM results are invalidated
against observations at the climatic scale, there is no meaning to proceeding with further analyses.
This result has been quantitatively validated
against observations at Fogo Volcano, Cabo Verde.
Not exact matches
If Arsenal win this FA Cup match
against Lincoln today, the win will not ease any pain the Gooners were allegedly have went through when Arsenal lost to Bayern Munich last Tuesday night
at the Ems because there wasn't any pain the Gooners have suffered in the first place when Arsenal lost the match by a 1 - 5 away win for Bayern Munich which in my own
observation was a rigged result for Bayern Munich by the match referee, his linesman and the other referee official who was behind the goal post, a match referee who earlier has denied Arsenal a penalty of their own but later connived
against them to award a penalty to Bayern Munich and in the process sent off Koscielny to deliberately weaken Arsenal team strength to frustrate them in the game.
If Arsenal win this FA Cup match
against Lincoln today, the win will not ease any pain the Gooners were allegedly had went through when Arsenal lost to Bayern Munich last Tuesday night
at the Ems because there wasn't any pain the Gooners have suffered in the first place when Arsenal lost the match by a 1 - 5 away win to Bayern Munich which in my own
observation was a rigged result for Bayern Munich by the match referee, his linesman and the other referee official who was behind the goal post, a match referee who earlier had denied Arsenal a penalty of their own but later connived
against them to award a penalty to Bayern Munich and in the process sent off Koscielny to deliberately weaken Arsenal team strength to frustrate them in the game.
@Nothing Changed — my
observation is more concerned with how he played in the league game
against Leicester City the first substitutions were elneny and holding who were replaced by ramsey and giroud (respectively): before being subbed elneny appears to have been
at sixes and sevens and though he was subbed after close to an hour it was clear to see he was out of his depths lost composure, panicked and he wanted out.
If we decide not to recommend a bill of rights we will equally want to explain our reasons for arriving
at that conclusion though we may still want to make some
observations about such a bill
against the possibility that the government nevertheless decides to introduce one.
Given that this was the decade that saw two whole parliamentary sessions without a single vote being cast
against their whip by a member of the governing party, this
observation was
at least more accurate then than modern - day attempts to paint politicians as a bunch of spineless sheep.
When bombarding uranium with neutrons, Hahn had made some surprising
observations that went
against everything known
at the time about the dense cores of atoms — their nuclei.
But, says Mezzacappa, «
At the end of the day, we're going to need some
observations against which we can check our models.»
By taking advantage of Spizer's large distance from the Earth, the researchers were able to observe the light curve of the event from the vantage point of the orbiting telescope and study its variations with time in order to check them
against similar
observations that were conducted
at the same time with the OGLE telescope on Earth.
Working with Tom Chase, a colleague
at the institute, the researchers were comparing climate simulations from the Community Land Model — part of a select group of global models used in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's 2007 climate change report —
against observations.
Perhaps being ignored because the film is too unobtrusive and relaxed in its
observations of primal human interaction to register
against weightier fare
at this time of year, Zachariah is
at its most immediate when focused on Robbie's precise acting choices.
In Excursion on the Thames (1953), one of several pictures in the exhibition deriving from Avery's only trip to Europe in 1952, the perfect balance is struck between loving
observation of the everyday and visionary form - making: the pleasure boat slowly moving down the Thames, observed from the steps of the Tate
at Millbank, is simultaneously two bands of vibrant colour glowing
against the almost - black of the middle ground.
Look
at observations, make up theories, test theories
against observations and experimentation, adjust theory, test, etc etc..
Improving the representation of feedbacks in climate models, and checking them
against observations, is probably the most important area of climate modelling research
at present.
As I indicated in an earlier blog, the natural variability
at decadal time scales hinders the validation of any projection
against observations, as these
observations reflect just one possible trend.
With 2010 over, we now have 16
observations starting in 1995, and (unsurprisingly to anyone who followed the argument thus far) the upward trend is now statistically significant
at the 5 per cent level [1] That is, if climate change since 1995 (the time of the first IPCC report, and well after Lindzen announced himself as a sceptic) had been purely random, the odds
against such an upward trend would be better than 20 to 1
against.
forecast lead - time
at which the continuous ranked probability skill score (CRPSS) for ENS probabilistic forecasts of 24 - hour total precipitation reaches 10 % for the extra-tropics (northern and southern hemispheres); verification
against station
observations
This was established on the systematic comparison between models» predictions with actual
observations obtained over almost one solar cycle (1998 — 2007)
at four European ionospheric locations (Athens, Chilton, Juliusruh, and Rome) and on the comparison of the models» performance
against two standard prediction strategies, the median - and the persistence - based predictions.
So using the criteria of «noticeable» climate change that would affect humanity and nature, that can be reasonably validated
against the benchmark of the 1920 - 40 period by such records as instrumental and crop, or
observations, and as being of a duration of
at least one decade, we have some 15 decadal episodes of «noticeable» climate change, (up and down) between1538 and 2012.
Likewise, an annual or decadal
observation from the modern instrumental record can not be compared
against values from their reconstruction, if their reconstruction is not capable of resolving events
at that time scale.
Here is the part of remarks I made
at James Annan's that may be relevant here: Santer et al ran a similar test of
observations against the ensemble mean, corrected from the abysmal Douglas et al (Santer's H2).
«Permaculture is a philosophy of working with, rather than
against nature; of protracted & thoughtful
observation rather than protracted & thoughtless labor; & of looking
at plants & animals in all their functions, rather than treating any area as a single - product system.»
It's idle speculation, it doesn't constitute a solid argument
against what the
observations are pointing
at.
«Permaculture is a philosophy of working with, rather than
against nature; of protracted and thoughtful
observation rather than protracted and thoughtless labor; and of looking
at plants and animals in all their functions, rather than treating any area as a single product system.»
It is useful to quote key
observations by Stadlen J [
at paras 126 - 129]: «In my view, notwithstanding the absence in the FTPP proceedings of some of the statutory and non-statutory safeguards which apply to criminal proceedings... [I] n deciding whether it would be fair to admit the hearsay evidence, the requirements both of Article 6 and of the common law obliged the FTPP to take into account the absence of all those [safeguards]... [I] n my judgment, no reasonable panel in the position of the FTPP could have reasonably concluded that there were factors outweighing the powerful factors pointing
against the admission of the hearsay evidence... The means by which the claimant can challenge the hearsay evidence are... not in my judgment capable of outweighing those factors... The reality would appear to be that the factor which the FTPP considered decisive in favour of admitting the hearsay evidence was the serious nature of the allegations
against the claimant coupled with the public interest in investigating such allegations and the FTPP's duty to protect the public interest in protecting patients, maintaining public confidence in the profession and declaring and upholding proper standards of behaviour... However, that factor on its own does not in my view diminish the weight which must be attached to the procedural safeguards to which a person accused of such allegations is entitled both
at common law and under Article 6... The more serious the allegation, the greater the importance of ensuring that the accused doctor is afforded fair and proper procedural safeguards.
Another way of looking
at these data is by plotting each
observation against the previous
observation, as depicted in the state - space plots on the right side of Figure 1, where the diagonal line depicts the autoregressive relation (based on the \ (\ phi \) parameter) underlying the scores.
See also Special Rapporteur on the Promotion and Protection of Human Rights and Fundamental Freedoms while Countering Terrorism, Australia: Study on Human Rights Compliance while Countering Terrorism, UN Doc A / HRC / 4 / 26 / Add.3 (2006)
at http://daccessdds.un.org/doc/UNDOC/GEN/G06/155/49/PDF/G0615549.pdf?OpenElement; UN Committee
against Torture, Concluding
Observations: Australia (2008), para 3.