The model had to be validated
against past observations.
These studies also find that the impacts are highly conditional on assumptions made in the assessment, for example, with respect to weightings of global climate models (GCMs)-- according to some criteria, such as performance
against past observations — or to the combination of GCMs used.
Not exact matches
And so, with Lot's wife as a warning
against dwelling on the
past, here are some
observations....
My second
observation is simply that, in light of the fact that the «gay community» is not separate from the «Christian community» and that there are many like Justin who identify as both Christian and gay, we have to move
past the culture war mentality that pits these two groups
against one another.
By validating model results
against geological
observations, the study indicates that changes in runoff, sea level and wave energy have profoundly affected the
past evolution of the Great Barrier Reef not only in regard to reefs evolution but also sediment fate from source - to - sink.
In the wake of the subprime mortgage crisis and subsequent collapse of financial stock valuations I made a few key
observations that went
against the trend of the
past few years.
There are important implications in this
observation not least the possibility of biased regression coefficients in attempts to reconstruct
past low - frequency temperature change based on long density series calibrated
against recent temperatures.
Previous hemispheric - scale, temperature reconstructions over the
past millennium, with one notable exception (Mann et al., 2009), have focused on reconstructing tem - peratures in the time domain only, an understandable consequence resulting from few 20 and sparsely distributed high - resolution proxies that can be calibrated directly
against instrumental
observations.
Regrettably we never see the test of the skill of the Hansen model
against the latter (it clearly has greater skill than either Hansen or the prediction based on the latest
observation) because in the
past this model hasn't been a good predictor of the future.