Last week was not a crash, though a free - fall appears increasingly possible, as the reality of emerging recession (and all that it implies for fresh credit risks, sovereign defaults, fiscal imbalances, banking strains and other problems) will likely smash
against the consensus view of economic expansion in next few months.
Thus, we can state with high (~ 95 %) confidence that the true rate of peer - reviewed articles that go
against the consensus view is almost certainly less than 0.3 % (though it may be greater than 0.1 %)
Not exact matches
Margins, as discussed, are the critical consideration:
Against the highly optimistic (in our
view)
consensus forecast for 2014 U.S. Net Income and EBIT Margins to reach unprecedented levels of 10.8 % and 15.7 % respectively... we conservatively assume 2014 S&P Net Income Margin will no more than maintain the 2012 - 2013 two year average (i.e., 9.3 %).
«Clearly, this has not happened and the
consensus remains strongly
against our
views.»
In these highly structured moments where the
consensus view of reality rubs up
against the tiny planet of terror that Sam and Amelia call home, director Kent actually finds impromptu bursts of laughter — which only makes the movie feel that much more unhinged.
However,
views on what action we should take were mixed, with no
consensus either for or
against our preferred option.
However,
views on what action to take were mixed, with no
consensus either for or
against Ofqual's suggestions.
James Montier, in his usual style puts himself
against the common
view saying that the then biggest
consensus portfolio bets to him seemed to be small cap and low quality however large cap, high quality looks like the better bet to him.
I'm used to it, but I would expect that when it's done on scientifically literate sceptics who might still have open minds, it's liable to turn them
against your
consensus point of
view.
Against this
view is the
consensus among energy experts and scientists that innovation, both incremental and radical, is necessary for a whole suite of technologies in order to achieve global carbon mitigation goals.
From a partisan political point of
view, I don't actually care much about the false claims of» 97 % scientific
consensus», since (as Dan has pointed out in the past) they don't actually work persuading people, and for a significant fraction of the population actually serve to turn people
against it.
Again I (IMO)
view arguments
against the
consensus, made without evidence, to just be efforts to influence public policy - trying to persuade the public to ignore evidence, to ignore reality.
One effective (and under utilized) argument
against this line of attack is to point out that no professional organization that has adopted a position statement on climate change has dissented from the
consensus view of climate scientist.
I am voting
against the petition for rehearing because the
views of the American people on the death penalty for child rape were, to tell the truth, irrelevant to the majority's decision in this case.The majority opinion, after an unpersuasive attempt to show that a
consensus against the penalty existed, in the end came down to this:» [T] he Constitution contemplates that in the end our own judgment will be brought to bear on the question of the acceptability of the death penalty under the Eighth Amendment.»