Trend to know: Games in this series tend to be close, and the underdog has had success
against the spread since 2009 (13 - 4).
At 11 - 3 ATS, Wentz has been the best home quarterback
against the spread since he came into the league last year.
Why the public loves Cleveland: The Cavs are 8 - 1 straight - up AND
against the spread since Kevin Love returned.
After opening up at -LRB--34), the Bears are as high as a 36.5 - point favorite despite the fact that road favorites of more than 35 points are only 24 - 35
against the spread since 1983.
Bob Warner of Lines-Maker.com reports that although Saturday home underdogs are only 26 - 32
against the spread since 1988, they are 10 -3-3 the last 16.
Not exact matches
Minnesota hasn't received more than 69 % of
spread bets
since hiring Zimmer, which is amazing considering they have played
against many teams that are typically avoided by public bettors including Miami, Oakland, Tampa Bay and Tennessee.
That's particularly interesting
since the Celtics received less than 30 % of
spread tickets just once during the regular season (November 25th
against the Spurs).
Since 2005, home teams have covered the
spread at a 51.8 % clip
against conference opponents but they've only covered at a 49.6 % clip
against non-conference opponents.
No NFL team has received more than 89 % of
spread bets
since December 7, 2008 when the Patriots -LRB--7) received 91 % of public support
against the Seattle Seahawks.
Overall, teams are 13 - 9
against the
spread after firing head coaches
since 2003.
As detailed in our 2011 - 12 NBA Betting
Against the Public article, there is great value betting on teams who are receiving less than 30 % of
spread wagers as they have a winning percentage of 50.9 %
since 2003.
The table below displays the
against the
spread (ATS) results of late season NFL games for home underdogs at two different point -
spread levels
since the start of the 2003 season.
If the Broncos don't cover the number at home
against the Jets in Week 14, they will join the 2015 Atlanta Falcons as the only two teams
since 2003 to lose nine straight games
against the
spread.
Immediately, I saw that simply betting
against any ranked team had produced a 1495 - 1465 ATS (
against the
spread) record
since the start of the 2005 season.
All stats below represent
Against the
Spread (ATS) records
since the start of the 2005 season.
Let's spin it forward: If the Broncos don't cover the number at home
against the Jets in Week 14, they will join the 2015 Atlanta Falcons as the only two teams
since 2003 to lose nine straight games
against the
spread.
The Broncos have now lost eight straight games
against the
spread, becoming the fifth team
since 2000 to achieve such a magnificent feat.
Philly bettors beware, however, the Eagles are 0 - 6
against the
spread in the past six games
against the Redskins, meaning they have not covered a
spread against Washington
since 2013.
With the Rams (+11.5) covering the
spread in their season finale
against the 49ers, home dogs of 8 + points are now 20 - 8
since 2003.
Since 2005, NFL home teams playing on Thursday night have won 68.2 %
Against the
Spread (ATS) for a profit of +14.95 units.
Since 2003 the «Hawks have gone 32 - 21 at home and 16 - 38 on the road, but how have they fared
against the
spread (ATS)?
Since 2004, road teams have gone 1120 - 1068
against the
spread (ATS) resulting in a 51.2 % win rate and 2.29 units earned.
No conference championship has featured a larger
spread since the 2013 ACC Championship when Florida State closed as 30 - point favorites
against Duke.
Since publishing the article, five more games have fallen into the 80/20 level, with the home underdog going 3 - 2 (60 %)
against the
spread.
Since taking over halfway through the 2010 - 11 season, Vogel has gone 250 - 181 straight up (58 %) and 247 - 239
against the
spread (50.8 %).
Since 2003, we have found that teams coming off an
Against the
Spread (ATS) loss have gone 71 - 56 ATS for +11.9 units and a 9.4 % ROI.
The table below shows playoff
Against The
Spread (ATS) records for both Kobe and LeBron
since the start of 2006 NBA playoffs.
Since 2003, they are 26 - 13
against the
spread when receiving less than 50 % of
spread bets.
At this point in the year, the best performing teams ATS (
Against The
Spread) can be viewed as «overachievers»
since they're continually performing well regardless of the line that sportsbooks are posting.
When one team garners more than 60 % of the bets, and is favored by at least 16 points, the underdog wins
against the
spread 56.5 % of the time,
since 2004.
Since 2009, the Wildcats have gone 248 - 52 straight up (SU) and 139 -139-9
against the
spread (ATS) while accomplishing a number of impressive feats.
Additionally, as underdogs the Celtics are 76 - 52
against the
spread (ATS) for +22.11 units and a 17.3 % return on investment (ROI)
since the Big Three came together prior to the 2007 season.
Using our Bet Labs software, we were able to find the best and worst coaches
against the
spread (ATS)
since the start of the 2005 season.
Since the start of the 2003 season, teams coming off a first - round bye have gone 34 - 18 straight up (SU) but only 20 -31-1
against the
spread (ATS).
Pittsburgh is currently receiving just 11 % of
spread bets — their lowest level of public support we have tracked
since 2003 — and are 7 - point home underdogs
against New England.
Since returning from prison, Michael Vick is 16 - 24
against the
spread as a starter.
Since hiring Pete Carroll back in 2010, the Seahawks have gone 49 - 13 straight up (SU) and 39 - 21
against the
spread (ATS) at home.
The public backed Tampa
against Chicago (65 % of
spread tickets) and their following game vs. Minnesota (76 %), but bettors haven't shown the Bucs much love
since, as they've closed with the majority of tickets in just one other game this season (56 % vs. Arizona in Week 6).
Since 2004, the underdog has gone 10 - 3
against the
spread (ATS) and 7 - 5 straight up (SU) in the Pro Bowl.
They're now 34 - 11
against the
spread following a loss
since 2005.
Since the start of last season, Cleveland has only received a majority of
spread bets once (November 30, 2015
against Baltimore).
Since 2005, underdogs have gone 337 - 741 straight up (SU) and 507-547-24
against the
spread (ATS) during the NBA Playoffs.
Houston is 9 - 6 straight - up and
against the
spread without James Harden
since he joined the team in 2012.
Since taking his talents to South Beach in 2010, the Heat have gone 49 - 33
against the
spread (ATS) during the playoffs including a 9 - 6 mark in Game 2's.
Atlanta will have no shortage of motivation, but keep in mind that defending Super Bowl champions are 11 -6-1
against the
spread on opening weekend
since 2000.
Our analysis found teams featuring defenses allowing fewer than 18 points per game had gone 55 - 41
against the
spread (57.3 percent)
since 2003.
They also discovered a more profitable trend: Favorites coming off a bye
since 2004 are 86 - 48 (64.2 percent)
against the
spread.
Since 2004, teams coming off bye weeks are 138 - 113 (55 percent)
against the
spread.
To answer that question, using the Bet Labs database, I pulled the first half and second half
against - the -
spread records for every team
since 2003.
Since 1990, for games with betting data, teams such as the Sixers with no playoff experience went 2 - 13 straight up and 5 - 10
against the
spread.