Not exact matches
If you
agree with me about the method of analysis, you should also
agree that the
observations fall
within the range of model estimates (eg Pat Michaels et al analysis, on which I am a co-author).
let's take this to an extreme... suppose that internal variability is zero... then the «
within group» s.d. is zero... suppose that models
agree pretty well
with each other and
observations fall
within the tight band of model projections... then by steve's method you create the average of models and call it a model...
with an s.d. of zero... show that the model falls outside the observational s.d.... proclaim that the model fails... claim that this is a test of modelling... hence extrapolate that all models fail... even though
observations fall slap bang in the model range... this result is nonsensical... per tco it isn't how models are used... where's structural uncertainty?
The net result is that the models
agree within reasonable bounds
with the
observations.
The Court of Appeal
agreed with the Province, and made the following
observations before concluding TD was required to file its return
within 18 months after October 31, 2012: