They say the most likely explanation for the lengthening dry season in recent decades is human - caused greenhouse warming, which inhibits rainfall in two ways: It makes it harder for warm,
dry air near the surface to rise and freely mix with cool, moist air above; and it blocks incursions by cold weather fronts from outside the tropics which could trigger rainfall.
Clouds and often precipitation occur on the poleward sides of both warm and stationary fronts and whenever tropical air reaching the latitude of the polar front is forced upward over the
colder air near the surface.
«Those minimum nighttime temperatures reflect only the temperature of a shallow layer
of air near the surface and not temperatures in the deep layer of the atmosphere.»
The most likely season for these hurricanes would be Titan's northern summer solstice, when the sea surface gets warmer and the flow of
the air near the surface becomes more turbulent.
This process may because by a warm surface;
the air near the surface being forced to rise over higher ground or instability within a weather front.
Their conclusion highlights the influence of upper air dynamics, a globally coherent system, and its importance to the moisture content of
air near the surface, a regional phenomenon with strong local patterns.
Some differences between the satellite record and the surface thermometers are understood and to be expected — being directly related to the difference between the climate of
the air near the surface and that of the lower troposphere.
Arguments of the type summarized in Emanuel, Neelin, and Bretherton, 1994 suggest that attempts to alter the free tropospheric temperature profile will modify temperatures by a rather indirect path — heating perturbations will modify the circulation in a way that then modifies the temperature and humidity of
the air near the surface, which finally puts you on a different moist adiabat.