His post discusses Andrew Neil's interview with Ed Davey, Dana's response, and also discusses the Cook et
al. consensus paper.
On Wednesday, I'll be presenting results from my PhD research into the psychology of consensus, and I may happen to mention the Cook et
al. consensus paper along the way.
Not exact matches
You might think that after all of the harsh criticism that the 2013 Cook et
al. paper (C13) has received from climate contrarians that we would be pleased to embrace the results of a critique that claims we were far too conservative in assessing the
consensus.
So Cook et
al. arbitrarily excluded all 7930
papers that expressed no opinion either way, and — hey presto — 97.1 %
consensus.
I then obtained and read all 64 abstracts, and found that only 43 of them explicitly endorsed the
consensus as Cook et
al. had defined it in the introduction to their
paper: that more than half of the global warming since 1950 was anthropogenic.
If Cook et
al. are now saying that many
papers do not make a definite statement because it is obvious that most of global warming is human - made, I am inclined to agree with this assumption, not least because of other research referenced on this page showing a similar degree of
consensus.
The Skeptical Science team published several high - impact
papers this year, starting with the Cook et
al. (2013)
consensus paper, co-authored by nine Skeptical Science volunteers.
From van der Sluijs et
al. paper «Beyond
consensus: reflections from a democratic perspective on the interaction between climate politics and science:»
Furthermore, Aanthanur displays unawareness that the Cook et
al. 2013
paper provides a double validation of the 97 %
consensus (authors gave a self - rating of their own
papers — and the self - ratings verified the 97 %).
By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley Three - quarters (rounded up to 97.1 %) of all commenters expressing an opinion on my recent post about Dana Nuccitelli's attempt at ex-post-facto justification of the false assertion in the lamentable Cook et
al. paper of a non-existent 97.1 % «scientific
consensus» that turned out on peer - reviewed inspection to be 0.3 %, enjoyed the...
This has been discussed in IPCC and NRC which represent the «
consensus view» much more broadly than Mann et
al. or any other individual
paper (whether Mann's conclusions are «correct» or not was not my focus).
The
paper, Cook et
al. (2013)» Quantifying the
consensus on anthropogenic global warming in the scientific literature» searched...
Surveying
papers published 1991 - 2011, Cook et
al. (2013) found only 3 % rejected the
consensus.