Sentences with phrase «al. temperature projections»

Not exact matches

As I said in # 626, Hansen et al. plan to apply their method to temperature projections in a future paper, so we'll be able to compare to their results at some point.

«Future projections based on theory and high - resolution dynamical models consistently suggest that greenhouse warming will cause the globally averaged intensity of tropical cyclones to shift towards stronger storms,» Knutson et al. (2010); Grinsted et al. (2013) projected «a twofold to sevenfold increase in the frequency of Katrina magnitude events for a 1 °C rise in global temperature.»

However, almost all climate change projections predict increases in temperature and decreases in Colorado River runoff [Vano et al., 2014].

The temperature reconstruction of Shakun et al. (green — shifted manually by 0.25 degrees), of Marcott et al. (blue), combined with the instrumental period data from HadCRUT4 (red) and the model average of IPCC projections for the A1B scenario up to 2100 (orange).

«Projections of Antarctic SMB changes over the 21st century thus indicate a negative contribution to sea level because of the projected widespread increase in snowfall associated with warming air temperatures (Krinner et al., 2007; Uotila et al., 2007; Bracegirdle et al., 2008).

«From 1910 - 1949 (pre-agricultural development, pre-DEV) to 1970 - 2009 (full agricultural development, full - DEV), the central United States experienced large - scale increases in rainfall of up to 35 % and decreases in surface air temperature of up to 1 °C during the boreal summer months of July and August... which conflicts with expectations from climate change projections for the end of the 21st century (i.e., warming and decreasing rainfall)(Melillo et al., 2014).»

Ts + dSST.txt, updated May 2012; projections from James Hansen et al., «Global Surface Temperature Change,» Reviews of Geophysics, vol.

Since then, despite a massive improvement in models and in our understanding of the mechanisms of climate change, the uncertainty in our projections of temperature change has stubbornly refused to narrow (Houghton et al. 2001).

This point was also made by Schmidt et al. (2014), which additionally showed that incorporating the most recent estimates of aerosol, solar, and greenhouse gas forcings, as well as the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and temperature measurement biases, the discrepancy between average GCM global surface warming projections and observations is significantly reduced.

«extensive use [of GCMs] for the prediction and interpretation of the spatial patterns of temperature change at the Earth's surface, and the use of such projections in reports for policymakers (e.g. Parry et al. 2007), leads us to the view that it is appropriate to assess their usefulness in this regard.»

it is found that global temperature trends since 1998 are consistent with internal variability overlying the forced trends seen in climate model projections (Easterling and Wehner, 2009; Mitchell et al., 2012b); see also Figure 1.1, where differences between the observed and multimodel response of comparable duration occurred earlier.

England, et al., reported that some CMIP5 projections approximated the air temperature «hiatus» since 2000.

Analogize the multiple temperature projections in Rowlands, et al., Figure 1, that represent the ignorance widths of the parameter sets, onto the single hindcast line of SPM.5.

This method weights projections by comparing their global mean surface temperature projections to those of a probabilistic simple climate model, in this case (as in Rasmussen et al., 2016) the MAGICC6 model (Meinshausen et al., 2011).

Rosenzweig et al. (2005) found that climate change based on downscaled general circulation model (GCM) projections would exacerbate the New York City UHI by increasing baseline temperatures and reducing local wind speeds.