«Even Climate
Alarmist Models Reveal An 80 % CO2 Cut Abysmally Ineffective: By 2050, Warming Reduced By 0.05 °C; Sea Rise Reduced by 0.1» Main Climate Models: Why Do They Have Such A Terrible Prediction Record?
This will mean relying on discredited, worthless
alarmist models that routinely spew out predictions unrelated to reality.
It shows that most of the forecast warming from major
alarmist models comes from the positive feedback theory, and not from greenhouse gas theory.
That's easy to do with the year 1300, but lately there's been some evidence to suggest that, because the actual climate has spent the entire 21st century refusing to follow
the alarmist models and broil the planet, NOAA and NASA have had to resort to cooling the recent past - ie, not the pre-thermometer millennium - old past but the weather - station recorded - temperature living - memory past.
If you believe the alarmist junk and
alarmist model output, yes.
Only somebody as blind and deluded as you wouldn't be able to see that Nature has not paid ball with any of
the alarmist model predictions.
There is however ongoing and significant research which contradicts
this alarmist model based position.
Not exact matches
Despite the «science is settled» and «consensus» claims of the global - warming
alarmists, the fear of catastrophic consequences from rising temperatures has been driven not so much by good science as by computer
models and adroit publicity fed to a compliant media.
RE: Just a little piecprsteve on the credibility of the authors of the study: Study co-author Dr. Roy Spencer, a principal research scientist at the University of Alabama in Huntsville and U.S. Science Team Leader for the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer flying on NASA's Aqua satellite, reports that real - world data from NASA's Terra satellite contradict multiple assumptions fed into
alarmist computer
models.
There are other examples of
models being too conservative, rather than
alarmist as some portray them.
Dr. Richard Lindzen — Professor of Meteorology at M.I.T., member, the National Research Council Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate, says global warming
alarmists «are trumpeting catastrophes that couldn't happen even if the
models were right.»
In difference to the «
alarmist» 11 degrees C interpretation they are suggesting that the
model is flawed.
I was at first puzzled by Mr. Lindzen's rhetoric that «
alarmists» are «trumpeting catastrophes that couldn't happen even if the
models were right.»
In reality, no climate
models predict any probability of warming over 10 C. Of all the
alarmist lies, this one takes the first prize hands down.
The almost complete and abject failure of the climate
alarmists and their
models to actually correctly predict anything at all relating to the global climate after some 25 years of research if we take Hansen's infamous Congressional meeting in 1988 as the starting point for climate
alarmist research, has been well documented in numerous places including here..
John S. Theon, formerly chief of all weather and climate research for NASA, and James Hansen's former boss, has just released a statement of his personal skepticism concerning the predictions of climate
alarmist James Hansen and of climate
models.
We have here 5 STRIKES on the climate
models, which are the source of most of the
alarmist statements we hear about climate change.
This is particularly significant because many climate - change
alarmists conjecture that the reason global temperatures of the 21st century are lower than their faulty climate
models originally predicted is that the Earth's oceans are absorbing all the excess heat.
If I could create a bot that would present the
alarmist side as arrogant, biased and angry, I'd use David Appell as a
model.
Alarmist: «Completely unexpected event x is entirely consistent with our
models and — if anything — strengthens our belief in AGW
Consensus
Alarmist Climate Theory and
Models based on
Alarmist Theory is the only thing that shows anything likely to go out of bounds.
Dr. XXX only has
Alarmist Theory and
Model Output that does not match real data.
What is known for a certainty at this point is that the existing
models are wrong — because they failed to accurately predict the data which have now been observed — and they are
alarmist — because when globalist bureaucrats use faulty
models as their justification for confiscating trillions of dollars from those who have earned them, and giving them to those who did not.
(2) Are there forces that counteract the greenhouse effect that aren't being considered in the climate
alarmists» computer
models (which might explain how their computer
models have proven so inaccurate)?
In addition to finding that far less heat is being trapped than
alarmist computer
models have predicted, the NASA satellite data show the atmosphere begins shedding heat into space long before United Nations computer
models predicted.
NASA satellite data from the years 2000 through 2011 show the Earth's atmosphere is allowing far more heat to be released into space than
alarmist computer
models have predicted, reports a new study in the peer - reviewed science journal Remote Sensing.
National Geographic, like other choristers in the anthropogenic global warming (AGW)
alarmist choir, is hyping the latest «climate research,» in this case, the new computer
modeling program of a team at the University College of London's (UCL) Institute for Sustainable Resources.
According to climate
alarmists, the frequency and severity of this natural hazard should already be increasing in response to
model - based predictions of CO2 - induced global warming.
The bad news is that as more is understood about global warming, and as we compare what has happened to what was predicted by the average
models (from the actual science, not from popular sensationalized media), the earlier scientific predictions have turned out to be too conservative, not as you say «too
alarmist».
By 2015 and especially 2020, it will be obvious to anyone with a brain that the
Alarmists have got it wrong, as the climate continues not to play along with their simplistic, biased computer
models.
Given the preponderance of
alarmist climate
models that predicted significant warming, this fact alone should be reason enough for regulators and scientists to reassess their conclusions.
I do not expect any extant
model to survive the next 20 years» worth of data collection, but I think that the data collected to date do not clearly rule out very much — though
alarmist predictions made in 1988 - 1990 look less credible year by year.
I think we can safely assume that if there was even one
model that showed anything like a reasonable agreement with observations the
alarmist propaganda machine would have made sure that it was on the front page of every newspaper in the land and at the top of every news bulletin.
Are all of the
alarmist warmistas in a world - at - risk tizzy over projections of catastrophe by computer
models, or are they engaged in making predictions of impending doom, based on
models and all manner of other misinterpreted evidence and made up nonsense?
When
Alarmists say that ENSO's short term effects must balance to zero over the long run they are doing a priori science using the assumptions of the «radiation - only»
model.
As has been mentioned earlier, I think an accurate historical perspective (evidence) of the past 50,000 years (to include our early Holocene) would go a long way in building interest from
alarmists and skeptics in addressing the problem from a factual perspective (what has happened) rather than a mindless
modeling game (what answer do we want to make happen).
The Swedish professor tells the BAZ that he became a skeptic of
alarmist climate science early on because «the [UN] IPCC always depicted the facts on the subject falsely» and «grossly exaggerated the risks of sea level rise» and that the IPCC «excessively relied on shaky computer
models instead of field research.»
In fact, most uncertainties in the
alarmist pseudo-science are internal contradictions and consequences of its shoddy practices: cherry picking data, making conclusions based on statistically insignificant observations, declaring trends based on variations that are within error margins, relying on computer
models that contradict principles of the information theory, forging forecasts for unreasonably long time periods, etc..
GCM
models are all the
alarmist can point to, as the planet laughs at their hubris.
In 2009 he sent the infamous email — exposed during Climategate — lamenting the fact that global temperatures weren't playing in accordance with the
alarmists» computer
models:
The
models, of course, are built by the
alarmists and, of course, yield the results they desire.
It is frustrating that the
alarmists can get away with their flawed
models and get all the public attention, while the real scientific work stays within this sphere, outside the public reach which it deserves.
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A second major issue is the use of semi-empirical
models, which Willem de Lange and Robert Carter found to be the most
alarmist of all the techniques they reviewed in their study of global sea - level change.
, it will take Enron style accounting for
alarmists to account for it, but common sense will ultimately prevail, and C02 will be shown, even by Hansen and his
modelled muddle, to have little effect, about 1 degree C per doubling, not 1.5 to 6C.
I am somewhat embarrassed by the fact that one of the worst, most
alarmist computer
models is paid for by Canadian tax payers.
I'm interested in both the hyper -
alarmist views and the extreme hard science debunkings (slayers, Tallbloke, gravity
model, etc).
Most scientists now believe the
alarmists are giving FAR too much weight to the greenhouse effect and too little or NO weight to any other of many known factors in their computer
models.
Alarmists accept far more science, it's skeptics by and large who seek to shutdown funding for climate science and deny things like the surface records and the use of climate
models.
Climate realists are increasingly telling the
alarmists to stop computer -
modeling Earth as if it were a greenhouse!