But within that constraint, equity allocation is raised when the investor is behind the goal (the probability of ruin is higher), and, conversely,
allocation to equities falls when the investor is on target.
Not exact matches
If you start changing your asset mix every time you think stock prices are ready
to rise or
fall — pouring more money into
equities to capitalize on upswings, selling
to avoid downturns — you've abandoned the concept of asset
allocation and turned investing into a guessing game.
The Canada Pension Plan cut its Canadian
equity holdings
to 5.4 % from 8.4 %, and the Caisse de Depot's
allocation fell from 12.6 %
to 9.0 %.
Assuming a 50 %
allocation to stocks and a shock
to P / E10 = 6 (implying a 60.78 %
fall in the market or a 30.39 % in my portfolio since I am only 50 % invested) results in a SWR of 11.62 % for 80 %
equities and 8.45 % for Switch A implying a 8,088 SWR for 80 %
equities or 5,882 for Switch A (100,000 * (1 - 60.78 % * 50 %) * 11.62 %).
If an investor is protecting a 60 % position in
equities with a 40 %
allocation to bonds, what would happen if
equities and bonds happen
to fall in value simultaneously?
One more slight quibble or observation is that your real estate
allocation seems
to fall under the «
equities» rubric.
If you are
falling short then you may increase your
allocation to equity mutual funds (can consider ELSS for tax saving too).
When developing an asset
allocation plan, it is important
to not only diversify sectors that
equities fall into, but also the size and value of the companies.