The mapping exercise, using geographical information systems,
also modelled scenarios to describe optimal service locations, based on population spread and average travel times to services.
Not exact matches
It
modeled the implications for the company of a requirement for emissions to decline to levels consistent with a so - called «2 °C world» after 2030 and
also looked at a number of alternative
scenarios based on divergent ranges in global growth and trade, geopolitics, technological innovation and responses to climate change.
In all
scenarios, the
model also simulates that over time, China's famously high savings rate will decline, as has been observed in many developing economies.
Researchers
also used this optimization
modeling approach under multimodal competition to evaluate multiple
scenarios involving entry of high speed rail into new markets, taking into account the possibility of demand stimulation as a result of the new services.
The
modeling also highlights that, under this
scenario, developing nations will produce a big portion of global annual emissions in the future.
«Regional changes are mostly due to natural variability but on top of that we see this pronounced overall weakening in summer storm activity,» says co-author Dim Coumou, «This is
also something projected by climate
models under future emission
scenarios.
Also, the new mortality estimates, while dramatically higher than the approximately 150,000 annual deaths attributed to climate change stress in WHO's last assessment in 2004, are not directly comparable to earlier studies, which relied on different
models and different underlying
scenarios.
«The burned simulations are based on three different climate and wildfire
scenarios, and we
also used three different erosion
models,» said Sankey.
Greenblatt and co-author Samveg Saxena at the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory developed a
model that is essentially a «best - case
scenario,» where the cars are not just driverless but
also run on electricity.
With four colleagues, Dobson co-authored a new paper, published last week in the journal PLoS One, based on a detailed computer
model examining how a worst - case road - development
scenario might affect the Serengeti's most iconic migratory grazer, the wildebeest (
also known as the gnu).
Fulé
also researches causes of mega fires, and creates
models of future fire regimes and different
scenarios for managing fires.
We have
also given the
model different positions to adapt it to the morphology of the
scenarios.»
The scientists
also modeled two other
scenarios for the Iberian lynx, both based on a future prospect for releasing individuals from breeding programs into wild areas.
They
also used data on precipitation in Colombia from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to
model changes under different temperature and precipitation
scenarios.
We
also compare our results with the predictions of state - of - the - art population synthesis
models based on the gravitational instability (GI) formation
scenario by Forgan & Rice (2013), with and without scattering.
While the magnitude of the hit to farmer income in these
scenarios surprised Meehan, the
modeling also revealed some unexpected good news.
Models can
also act out different
scenarios to help in making the eLearning course more understandable and interesting.
The tablet device
also conforms to the iMedEd Initiative that aims to replace the usual lecturer - passive listener
model and instead, have in its place a
scenario where the students will have all that they need to succeed at their fingertips.
It has
also be intriguing to see a videogame DLC
model being introduced in the form of new downloadable
scenarios alongside more traditional physical packs that add more monsters and tiles.
For global warming
scenarios, additional forcing comes into play: surface warming and enhanced high - latitude precipitation, which will
also reduce density of northern surface waters (an effect which alone has shut down deep water formation in some
model experiments, e.g. Manabe and Stouffer 1993, 1994).
Alongside hypothetical
scenarios, a set of
scenarios should
also include all available and scientifically justifiable
models (e.g. Ranger and Niehörster, 2012).
RE # 24, I've
also brought up the need to consider social science «forcings,» but the CC
models do sort of account for them by including a range of emission
scenarios:
Though the study's authors concede the study is limited by the «availability of data and the necessity to make assumptions to
model likely
scenarios,» they carried out sensitivity analysis to assess the resuts, and
also found that in all
scenarios tested there was a net benefit (i.e. increased longevity) for Bicing users.
The analysis
also follows the advice in the IPCC Good - Practice - Guidance - Paper on using climate
model results: the local climate change
scenarios should be based on (i) historical change, (ii) process change (e.g. changes in the driving circulation), (iii) global climate change projected by GCMs, and (iv) downscaled projected change.
Also referred to as synthetic
scenarios (IPCC, 1994), they are commonly applied to study the sensitivity of an exposure unit to a wide range of variations in climate, often according to a qualitative interpretation of projections of future regional climate from climate
model simulations (guided sensitivity analysis, see IPCC - TGCIA, 1999).
«We
also need to investigate the altitude and seasonal dependence of the changes, and to analyse different climate
models and warming
scenarios to quantify the uncertainties.»
Unfortunately, the figure
also confirms that the spatial resolution of theoutput from the GCMs used in the Mediterranean study is too coarse for constructing detailed regional
scenarios.To develop more detailed regional
scenarios, modelers can combine the GCM results with output from statistical
models.3 This is done by constructing a statistical
model to explain the observed temperature or precipitation at a meteorological station in terms of a range of regionally - averaged climate variables.
Regulators are
also doing more thinking, with the FSB taskforce currently reviewing how emissions
scenarios may be used to stress test the business
models of companies.
If the uncertainties in the
models are large enough to make the A and B
scenarios still unfalsified then the C
scenario is
also unfalsified.
2: Our Changing Climate, Key Message 5).2 Regional climate
models (RCMs) using the same emissions
scenario also project increased spring precipitation (9 % in 2041 - 2062 relative to 1979 - 2000) and decreased summer precipitation (by an average of about 8 % in 2041 - 2062 relative to 1979 - 2000) particularly in the southern portions of the Midwest.12 Increases in the frequency and intensity of extreme precipitation are projected across the entire region in both GCM and RCM simulations (Figure 18.6), and these increases are generally larger than the projected changes in average precipitation.12, 2
Also, were you to speak without your scientific cap on, how much trust do you have in this type of
model to predict mean surface temperature for the next five or ten decades (given an emission
scenario following Hoffman).
The strategy could
also result in an extra 500,000 jobs per year compared to a
scenario in which we do not make an effort to curb emissions, according to the
modeling.
But we
also do not give
scenarios for a 10, or even 5 degrees warming in 2050, because
also this is not supported by our understanding of the climate system response, and thus
also not by the climate
model integrations.
The
models and forecasts of the IPCC «is incorrect because only are based on mathematical
models and presented results at
scenarios that do not include, for example, solar activity,» said the specialist
also in image processing and signs and prevention of natural disasters.
Nature
also published a supporting companion article by the late Dr. Stephen Schneider, who used a global climate
model to create a futuristic
scenario that if CO2 doubled it «could» raise the clouds and «perhaps» cause a harmful drying effect.
It
also advised firms to
model a range of
scenarios, detailing how variations in the pace of decarbonization could affect business operations and asset valuations.
The costs of such
scenarios are
also significant, but according to most
models, the savings in energy costs typically more than exceed the investment costs.
While these ideas have obvious applications to climate change and national security, I think Danzig's ideas
also have broad applicability to climate change: how we view climate
model predictions, the inadequacy of our
scenarios, and the failure to factor in the possibility of genuine surprises, or Dragon Kings.
The issue (# 4) of user - defined thresholds is
also very important, and addressing issues related to such thresholds (with historical and paleo data and
models to create
scenarios whereby critical thresholds might be exceeded) can actually be more straightforward than most of what is currently being provided by climate scientists.
Previous
modeling studies have
also consistently predicted increased global vegetation carbon under future
scenarios of climate and CO2, but with considerable variation in absolute values (2 — 4).
As can be seen from the graph, the IPCC
models projected warming of around 0.2 °C per decade for the first two decades of this century (a projection, which IPCC
also clearly stated in a separate paragraph of its AR4WR1 SPM report for a range of SRES emission
scenarios).
When using climate
model results for
scenario construction, the baseline
also serves as the reference period from which the
modelled future change in climate is calculated.
All those data on expected retirements and capacity additions are tough to swallow in one gulp, but EIA
also modeled capacity additions in five
scenarios against expected retirements, showing a slate of possible options dramatic shift coming in the U.S. fuel mix in one chart:
Such biases would
also affect simulations for present and future climate
scenarios, highlighting the importance to carefully consider the representation of high - latitude climate and sea ice processes in coupled climate
models.
Since climate
models do a bad job of identifying these
scenarios, we need to look at the historical and paleo record of extreme events, and
also use the
scenario falsification approach in line with possibility theory.
We
also develop a 2020 reform
scenario which
models the potential impact of power market reforms and a national emission trading scheme (ETS) on the gross profitability of each operating coal plant in China.
Recent multi
model estimates based on different CMIP3 climate
scenarios and different dynamic global vegetation
models predict a moderate risk of tropical forest reduction in South America and even lower risk for African and Asian tropical forests (see
also Section 12.5.5.6)(Gumpenberger et al., 2010; Huntingford et al., 2013).»
OnLocation Inc. of Vienna, VA assisted with modifications to the NEMS
model required to implement our policy
scenarios and
also ran the
model.
Model - average mean local precipitation responses
also roughly scale with the global mean temperature response across the emissions
scenarios, though not as well as for temperature.
For some gases, the values tabulated in the IPCC Second Assessment Report (IPCC, 1996; hereafter SAR), for that IS92a
scenario using the previous generation of chemistry and climate
models, are
also given.