There is
also scientific uncertainty about the future consequences of global warming.
Not exact matches
This
uncertainty is partially due to the well - known inability of international relations scholars to make assured predictions, but
also to the fact that the dynamics of foreign policy shifts are still widely overlooked and generally misunderstood in the
scientific literature.
Holt
also wrote an editorial in Science on 17 November addressing the
uncertainty of federal support for
scientific research under the new administration and advocating for better integration of science into policymaking.
She
also explores the value of
scientific thinking in our everyday lives, including the importance of scale,
scientific modeling,
uncertainty, and risk assessment.
Yet the report
also argued against a rapid shift to non-fossil fuel energy sources, noting that «making significant changes in energy consumption... amid all the
scientific uncertainties would be premature in view of the severe impact such moves could have on the world's economies and societies.»
As acknowledged in an Australian Bureau of Agriculture and Resource Economics report on climate change scenarios,
also released on Monday, there are still considerable
scientific uncertainties surrounding the nature and extent of future climate change.
He
also gives the distinct impression that the majority of the
scientific community thinks this is a plausible scenario, and without any reference to the relevant
uncertainties and timescales.
Finally, and most importantly, the planetary boundaries are burdened not only with major
uncertainties and weak
scientific theory — they are
also politically problematic.
Also, as you know,
scientific assessments of
uncertainty or probability do not usually go from, or merely include, «highly uncertain», «improbable», or «definite.»
DOE and the
scientific community at large were
also alarmed at apparent
uncertainties within global climate models.
Please
also show us where
uncertainty is not a
scientific virtue, or your implication that
uncertainty was somehow fabricated to stop the IPCC.
Also, Inside Climate News recently described a new study published in Science about how fossil - fuel funded climate - science deniers disingenuously shift their arguments and use normal
scientific uncertainties to deflect attention from the overwhelming
scientific consensus on climate change and argue for no action to reduce greenhouse - gas emissions.
She
also says that scientists need «a code of conduct for communicating
uncertainty», and that «institutions should be incentivized to support debates at professional meetings», and Social science research is needed to analyze ways of incorporating
scientific understanding with all of its
uncertainties into complex decision making related to wicked problems.
But reasoning about
uncertainty and the logic of
scientific arguments is essential
also.
Starting in October 2002, in this final - stage editorial review and clearance process, it came to my attention that CEQ Chief of Staff Philip Cooney was extensively marking up reports in a manner that had the cumulative effect of adding an enhanced sense of
scientific uncertainty about global warming and minimizing its likely consequences, while
also deleting even minor references to the National Assessment.
It
also requires that fishery managers thoroughly explain how they have accounted for
scientific uncertainty.
In these contexts, people are likely to
also encounter arguments by those opposed to policy action who misleadingly emphasize
scientific uncertainty or who exaggerate the economic costs of action.
We
also explained that for over 30 years, proponents of action on climate change mostly focused on responding to the arguments made by opponents of climate change that government action on climate change was unjustifiable due to
scientific uncertainty and high costs of proposed climate policies.
In the IPCC summary there's a figure indicating land use (albedo) is responsible for a net forcing of -0.25 W / m2, with an
uncertainty range of 0 to -0.5 W / m2 (the figure
also indicates that
scientific understanding of albedo is very low).
On October 14, 1998, Michael Mann, Raymond Bradley, and Malcolm Hughes,
also known as Mann et al (1999), penned a paper entitled Northern Hemisphere Temperatures During the Past Millennium: Inferences,
Uncertainties, and Limitations and submitted the study to the
scientific journal Geophysical Research Letters (GRL).
It's
also cold comfort when the gales of
scientific uncertainty howl unanswered outside.
Any serious discussion of the changing climate must begin by acknowledging not only the
scientific certainties but
also the
uncertainties, especially in projecting the future.
Application of
scientific rather than risk - based norms in communicating climate change
uncertainty has
also made it easier for policy - makers and other actors to downplay relevant future climate risks (Stern et al 2016, Ebi et al 2016).
Both because we felt that NOAA got a lot of unfair criticism, and
also because their new results did produce some real
scientific uncertainties; not only is their new temperature record warmer than their old one, it's
also a bit warmer than the UK's Hadley Center record, which is probably the most commonly used ocean temperature record,» Hausfather says.
Whether probabilities can be applied to describe future social choice, in particular
uncertainties in future greenhouse gas emissions, has
also been the subject of considerable
scientific debate (e.g., Allen et al., 2001; Grubler and Nakićenović, 2001; Lempert and Schlesinger, 2001; Pittock et al., 2001; Reilly et al., 2001; Schneider, 2001, 2002).
The reasons for that are many: the timid language of
scientific probabilities, which the climatologist James Hansen once called «
scientific reticence» in a paper chastising scientists for editing their own observations so conscientiously that they failed to communicate how dire the threat really was; the fact that the country is dominated by a group of technocrats who believe any problem can be solved and an opposing culture that doesn't even see warming as a problem worth addressing; the way that climate denialism has made scientists even more cautious in offering speculative warnings; the simple speed of change and,
also, its slowness, such that we are only seeing effects now of warming from decades past; our
uncertainty about
uncertainty, which the climate writer Naomi Oreskes in particular has suggested stops us from preparing as though anything worse than a median outcome were even possible; the way we assume climate change will hit hardest elsewhere, not everywhere; the smallness (two degrees) and largeness (1.8 trillion tons) and abstractness (400 parts per million) of the numbers; the discomfort of considering a problem that is very difficult, if not impossible, to solve; the altogether incomprehensible scale of that problem, which amounts to the prospect of our own annihilation; simple fear.
The precautionary principle, which calls for extra prudence in areas of
scientific uncertainty,
also applies.
It is probably unwise to lapse into apocalyptic think, especially in view of the
scientific uncertainty and long - time scales, but ostrich - like denial is
also imprudent since a lot is at stake, from the wealth of nations to the future of the planet.
He
also brings up the whole gamut of meritless «
scientific» arguments (solar activity, Milankovitch cycles, cosmic rays, nameless «natural cycles,» platitudes about «
uncertainty / complexity») as well as the usual conspiracy theories about AGW theory being a commie plot to bring down the west, etc., all of which made it hard for me to take his poverty argument seriously for a long time.