Not exact matches
It modeled the implications for the company of a requirement for emissions to decline to levels consistent with a so - called «2 °C world» after 2030 and also looked at a number of
alternative scenarios based on divergent ranges in global growth and trade, geopolitics, technological innovation and responses to
climate change.
This enabled the team to estimate how temperature - related mortality rates will change under
alternative scenarios of
climate change, defined by the four Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) established by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for climate modelling and research i
climate change, defined by the four Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) established by the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change for climate modelling and research i
Climate Change for
climate modelling and research i
climate modelling and research in 2014.
Smil has forced
climate advocates to reckon with the vast inertia sustaining the modern world's dependence on fossil fuels, and to question many of the rosy assumptions underlying
scenarios for a rapid shift to
alternatives.
Emerging evidence for variability in the coral calcification response to acidification, geographical variation in bleaching susceptibility and recovery, responses to past
climate change, and potential rates of adaptation to rapid warming supports an
alternative scenario in which reef degradation occurs with greater temporal and spatial heterogeneity than current projections suggest.
The results show 27
alternative historical
scenarios simulating a world without human - caused
climate change and global sea level rise.
For many players the game looses its unique
climate, but it is a great
alternative for banal games with banal
scenarios that can be found on many websites.
• characterize national emissions • explore
alternative emission reduction
scenarios • calculate country - level health, agriculture and global
climate benefits • compare results across
alternative scenarios • inform nationally appropriate action on SLCPs
The illustrious green movement who killed nuclear power in 1970s and brought about global warming by scrubbing shade - producing particulates from smokestacks and tailpipes are now bent on using a ginned up catastrophic
climate change
scenario to keep the price of oil elevated in order to keep the profit incentive alive for stupid expensive
alternatives like windmills and ethanol from corn.
Here we present a new index of the year when the projected mean
climate of a given location moves to a state continuously outside the bounds of historical variability under
alternative greenhouse gas emissions
scenarios.
However, the projected development beyond 2020 is only compatible with the IEA
alternative policy
scenario in which coal production is constrained by
climate policy measures while the IEA reference
scenario assumes further increasing coal consumption (and production) until at least 2030.
Aside from a 2 - degree
scenario, for example, it might show an
alternative future based on business as usual, and yet another based on the
climate pledges of individual countries under the Paris agreements.
In this report, as an
alternative to the
scenarios of gradual climatic warming that are so common, we outline an abrupt
climate change
scenario patterned after the 100 - year event that occurred about 8,200 years ago.
As described in section 1, evaluating
climate change impacts on society and the consequences of
alternative policy approaches are key goals of the
scenario framework.
Consider an
alternative universe where the scientists provided a range of
scenarios to consider and included natural
climate variability in the mix, and recommended that suite of policy options be developed to help reduce societal vulnerability to future
climate change, both of the natural and anthropogenic variety.
It is regrettable that the work of Fischer's team has not developed
alternatives to official IPCC
climate projections, nor critiques of SRES
scenarios, and it is also regrettable that several of their analyses are restricted to just one or two
scenarios, usually the «worst - case» ones such as A2.
Alternative economic and metamodels are available, and they give very different
scenarios for human population, economic output, atmospheric chemistry and
climate dynamics.
These
alternative scenarios include emissions under «business as usual» (typically defined as no new
climate policy from 2010 onwards), emissions under currently adopted and implemented policies, and emissions assuming that countries» 2020 pledges are met.
His industry experience includes leadership roles in strategy development and
scenario planning, alliance management, and energy trading, with a background in
alternative energy,
climate policy, global refining & marketing, and logistics.
13.5.1 Key Uncertainties in
Climate Scenarios 13.5.1.1 Specifying alternative emissions futures 13.5.1.2 Uncertainties in converting emissions to concentrations 13.5.1.3 Uncertainties in converting concentrations to radiative forcing 13.5.1.4 Uncertainties in modelling the climate response to a given forcing 13.5.1.5 Uncertainties in converting model response into inputs for impact studies 13.5.2 Approaches for Representing Uncertainties 13.5.2.1 Scaling climate model response patterns 13.5.2.2 Defining climate change signals 13.5.2.3 Risk assessment approaches 13.5.2.4 Annotation of climate sc
Climate Scenarios 13.5.1.1 Specifying alternative emissions futures 13.5.1.2 Uncertainties in converting emissions to concentrations 13.5.1.3 Uncertainties in converting concentrations to radiative forcing 13.5.1.4 Uncertainties in modelling the climate response to a given forcing 13.5.1.5 Uncertainties in converting model response into inputs for impact studies 13.5.2 Approaches for Representing Uncertainties 13.5.2.1 Scaling climate model response patterns 13.5.2.2 Defining climate change signals 13.5.2.3 Risk assessment approaches 13.5.2.4 Annotation of climate
Scenarios 13.5.1.1 Specifying
alternative emissions futures 13.5.1.2 Uncertainties in converting emissions to concentrations 13.5.1.3 Uncertainties in converting concentrations to radiative forcing 13.5.1.4 Uncertainties in modelling the
climate response to a given forcing 13.5.1.5 Uncertainties in converting model response into inputs for impact studies 13.5.2 Approaches for Representing Uncertainties 13.5.2.1 Scaling climate model response patterns 13.5.2.2 Defining climate change signals 13.5.2.3 Risk assessment approaches 13.5.2.4 Annotation of climate sc
climate response to a given forcing 13.5.1.5 Uncertainties in converting model response into inputs for impact studies 13.5.2 Approaches for Representing Uncertainties 13.5.2.1 Scaling
climate model response patterns 13.5.2.2 Defining climate change signals 13.5.2.3 Risk assessment approaches 13.5.2.4 Annotation of climate sc
climate model response patterns 13.5.2.2 Defining
climate change signals 13.5.2.3 Risk assessment approaches 13.5.2.4 Annotation of climate sc
climate change signals 13.5.2.3 Risk assessment approaches 13.5.2.4 Annotation of
climate sc
climate scenariosscenarios
Independently of
climate models, the statistical forecast technique used by Sanchez - Sesma provides the basis for creating
alternative scenarios of the 21st century
climate.
-- Hansen et al (PNAS 2000), Global warming in the twenty - first century: An
alternative scenario — Molina et al. (PNAS 2009), Reducing abrupt
climate change risk using the Montreal Protocol and other regulatory actions to complement cuts in CO2 emissions.
But the study finds one - quarter to one - third less severe
climate change when greenhouse gas emissions follow the
alternative scenario.
However, the study finds much less severe
climate change — one - quarter to one - third that of the «business - as - usual»
scenario — when greenhouse gas emissions follow the
alternative scenario.
They do not try to better measure global temperature or to present
alternative scenarios of the future global
climate fluctuations.
These
climate — health relationships were linked to
alternative projections of
climate change, related to unmitigated future emissions of greenhouse gases, and two
alternative scenarios for greenhouse gas emissions.
Here we use
climate projections under
alternative mitigation
scenarios to show how changes in environmental variables that limit plant growth could impact ecosystems and people.
The impact of this
alternative scenario was illustrated in the
Climate Audit post last year, showing that a revised transition schedule resulted in a substantial change to received temperature history, eliminating the puzzling postwar decline in temperature.
A new article lays the groundwork for
alternative climate mitigation
scenarios that place less reliance on unproven negative emissions technologies in the future.
The planning framework internalizes risks and opportunities associated with
alternative hydro -
climate scenarios to identify a long - term system configuration robust to uncertainty.
An
alternative approach uses simple
climate model projections of global warming under stabilisation to scale AOGCM patterns of
climate change assuming unmitigated emissions, and then uses the resulting
scenarios to assess regional impacts (e.g., Bakkenes et al., 2006).
«These results are robust across the economic drivers of
climate change — as reflected in
alternative socio - economic
scenarios (three IPCC SRES
alternatives)-- and the sensitivity of the
climate to increased greenhouse - gas concentrations.»
Finally, we're planning to partner with environmental economists to determine the damage costs of emissions from all the sectors due to both
climate and air quality impacts, results that we can use to develop
alternative mitigation
scenarios.
A halt or even reversal of their growth would have other benefits, for human health, agricultural productivity, and environmental quality, which, together with the slowing of
climate change, justify the actions needed to achieve the
alternative scenario.