As for birds and amphibians, the paper's main coral results are based on changes projected by the mid-range A1B emission scenario from 1975 to 2050, and potential variation due to
alternative emissions pathways (i.e., A2 and B1) and longer timeframes (i.e., 1975 — 2090) is explored in Figure 4, Figures S7, S8, S9 and Tables S19, S20, S21.
Not exact matches
Van Vuuren, D. et al. (2018)
Alternative pathways to the 1.5 C target reduce the need for negative
emission technologies, Nature Climate Change, doi: 10.1038 / s41558 -018-0119-8
In the accompanying text, they document the assumptions (particularly about carbon capture, land - use
emissions and sink enhancement) that lead to the
alternative emissions and concentration
pathways shown.
The rate and magnitude of future human - induced climate change and its associated impacts are determined by human choices defining
alternative socio - economic futures and mitigation actions that influence
emission pathways.
Most studies compare global
emissions pathways resulting from the INDCs to one or more
alternative scenarios without the INDCs.
Recent spatial analyses of reservoir CH4 dynamics highlight the disproportionate importance of inlets and other depositional zones toward overall flux (DelSontro et al. 2011, Maeck et al. 2013) as well as from seasonally flooded and downstream zones (see the
Emissions From
Alternative Flux
Pathways section).
If we take into account five
alternative emissions floors, namely (i) no floor, (ii) low hard floor, (iii) high hard floor, (iv) low decaying floor and (v) high decaying floor, which could apply to each of the 12750 possible
pathways described above, we have 63750 possible
emission pathways.
Although this synthesis focuses on GHG
emissions from reservoir water surfaces, we also describe and discuss several important
alternative pathways that can contribute significantly to reservoir GHG budgets (figure 1, supplemental table S1).
Alternative pathways of early deployment of negative
emission technologies need to be considered to ensure that climate targets are reached safely and sustainably.
This is further complicated by some political rejection of science - based future climate projections and unwillingness to consider
alternative economic development
pathways to lowering the
emission of carbon dioxide and other GHGs from the Human — Earth systems.
Alternative pathways involving lifestyle change, rapid electrification and reduction of non-CO2 gases could reduce the need for such negative
emission technologies.
Figure SPM.7:
Emissions pathways of mitigation scenarios for
alternative categories of stabilization levels (Category I to VI as defined in the box in each panel).