Anderson argues that actual emissions growth rates are much higher than those used by most IAMs, and that even
ambitious emission peaks are much nearer 2020 — 2030 than the naïve estimates of 2010 — 2016 used by most models.
Not exact matches
Taking account of their historic responsibility, as well as the need to secure climate justice for the world's poorest and most vulnerable communities, developed countries must commit to legally binding and
ambitious emission reduction targets consistent with limiting global average surface warming to well below 1.5 degrees Celsius above preindustrial levels and long - term stabilization of atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations at well below below 350 p.p.m., and that to achieve this the agreement at COP15 U.N.F.C.C.C. should include a goal of
peaking global
emissions by 2015 with a sharp decline thereafter towards a global reduction of 85 percent by 2050,
It is based on an «extremely
ambitious» level of climate mitigation effort where
emissions peak immediately and reduce by a maximum rate of 6.1 per cent per year, a fair bit faster than the 5.5 per cent considered in the first study.
The entire world will need to
peak its ghg
emissions as soon as possible followed by
emissions reductions at extraordinarily
ambitious rates over the next 30 years.
Emissions could
peak ahead of 2025, said Green, but warned that could depend on how
ambitious the next Five Year Plan — due out in 2016 — was in terms of energy use.
The answer lies in arithmetic: The remaining global
emissions budget is so small that, despite a relatively
ambitious program of northern
emission reductions, southern
emissions must still
peak soon, and then drop almost as rapidly as global
emissions themselves.
If the world pursues the Paris Agreement's more
ambitious limit of 1.5 C, the timescales over which global
emissions need to
peak and start falling rapidly are much shorter.
A 2011 study by the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory suggests China's
emissions could
peak at 9.7 gigatonnes if the government implements
ambitious climate policy, the New York Times reports.