The effect of these small orbital changes was
amplified by positive feedbacks, such as changes in greenhouse gas levels.
The important point here is that a small external forcing (orbital for ice - ages, or GHG plus aerosols & land use changes in the modern context) can be strongly
amplified by the positive feedback mechanism (the strongest and quickest is atmospheric water vapor - a strong GHG, and has already been observed to increase.
Not exact matches
If the audio output from the speaker is received again
by the microphone, the initial audio signal is strongly
amplified in a
positive feedback loop.
The glacial retreat induced
by this or any other process can be
amplified by similar inverse
positive feedbacks as for glacial advances.
«Also, if the atmosphere isn't accumulating heat at the rate forecast
by the models, then the theoretical
positive climate
feedbacks which were expected to
amplify the CO2 effect won't be as large,» McNider said.
This warming will be
amplified by feedbacks (assuming a net
positive feedback).
However, the greenhouse effect from water vapour is due to a (
positive)
feedback from the temperature and so any warming caused
by CO2 is
amplified by water vapour.
Water vapour is also the dominant
positive feedback in our climate system and
amplifies any warming caused
by changes in atmospheric CO2.
Assuming that scientists haven't left out anything vital, this suggests that the net effect of water - based
feedbacks is
positive and would
amplify GHG - induced warming
by more than a factor of two.Many assumptions have been made, but the historical evidence increases our confidence in model results.
Its warming effect, however, is simultaneously
amplified and dampened
by positive and negative
feedbacks such as increased water vapor (the most powerful greenhouse gas), reduced albedo, which is a measure of Earth's reflectivity, changes in cloud characteristics, and CO2 exchanges with the ocean and terrestrial ecosystems.
Research presented here and at other credible locations has shown CO2's effect to be logarithmic with possible offsetting
by negative
feedbacks rather than
amplified greatly
by positive feedback mechanisms.
The fact that the actual measured planetary warming is less than the lowest IPCC model prediction warming and is found only at high latitudes (which is not predicted
by the IPCC models) logically supports the assertion that the planet's response to a change in forcing is to resist the change (negative
feedback, planetary clouds in the tropics increase reflecting more sunlight in to space) rather than to
amplify the change (
positive feedback) due increased water vapour in the atmosphere.
Part of this sensitivity is attributed to a physically realistic
positive radiative
feedback, whereby a propensity toward higher cloud fractions in any given simulation is
amplified by longwave radiative cooling.
Both casual relationships are operative at all times: In the 19th and 20th centuries, the temperature - driving CO2 causal relationship
amplified the original temperature effect, as one of several factors leading to a net
positive feedback on temperature due to CO2 increase, and a climate sensitivity of about 3C for a doubling of CO2 — a number verified multiple times
by calculation from proxy data from multiple epochs in Earths prehistoric past.
In both scenarios the current global sink deteriorates after 2030, and
by 2070 (ΔT ~ 2.5 °C over pre-industrial) the terrestrial biosphere becomes an increasing carbon source (Figure 4.2; see also Scholze et al., 2006) with the concomitant risk of
positive feedback, developments that
amplify climate change.
This triggers a
positive feedback by lowering the albedo of the ocean's surface and leading to more of the Sun's light being absorbed,
amplifying the warming.
Nonlinear interactions between the climate and biogeochemical systems could
amplify (
positive feedbacks) or attenuate (negative
feedbacks) the disturbances produced
by human activities.