Sentences with phrase «analysis of marginal seats»

Their analysis of marginal seats presented here is based on a paper about to appear online in the journal British Politics.

Labour had been ahead in the polls for 47 of the last 48 months, with the Conservatives below 33 % since 2012, and analyses of marginal seats were encouraging.

Not exact matches

Analysis of my polling in the forty most marginal Conservative - held seats showed that Tory «defectors» and UKIP voters are not the same people.

In any analysis of the 2015 general election defeat it would follow logically that the best accounts could be given by those that fought and lost marginal seats.

I had undertaken an analysis of the potential impact of the issue on key marginal seats and sent the findings to the Chairman of the Tory Party.

I will also show some new analysis of my recent polling in marginal seats, which should help us understand the voters who supported us in 2010 but are currently reluctant to do so next time.

Voting intention Our poll shows in these marginals the Tories are ahead of Labour by 43 per cent to 36 per cent - that's a mirror image of Labour's victories in these seats and a YouGov analysis suggests it amounts to a 9 per cent swing to the Tories from Labour and a Conservative government with an overall majority of 60 - 70 seats.

The analysis concludes that the party has piled up votes in parts of the country where it would make little difference in a general election, while losing support in key marginal seats.