It is perfectly conceivable, for example, to have
annual precipitation increase 10 to 20 % at the same time that mean annual surface water runoff decreases by 10 to 20 % (or even more).
They found that the mean and standard deviation of flood damage are projected to increase by more than 140 % if the mean and standard deviation of
annual precipitation increase by 13.5 %.
Following a centuries - long dry period with high fire frequency (c. AD 1400 - 1790),
annual precipitation increased, fire frequency decreased, and the season of fire shifted from predominantly midsummer to late spring....
Precipitation occurs about once every seven days in the western part of the region and once every three days in the southeastern part.77 The 10 rainiest days can contribute as much as 40 % of total precipitation in a given year.77 Generally,
annual precipitation increased during the past century (by up to 20 % in some locations), with much of the increase driven by intensification of the heaviest rainfalls.77, 78,79 This tendency towards more intense precipitation events is projected to continue in the future.80
Choi and Fisher (2003) estimated the expected change in flood damages for selected USA regions under two climate - change scenarios in which mean
annual precipitation increased by 13.5 % and 21.5 %, respectively, with the standard deviation of annual precipitation either remaining unchanged or increasing proportionally.
Annual precipitation increases of about 15 % to 30 % are projected for the region by late this century if global emissions continue to increase (A2).
Not exact matches
The Northeast and the Pacific Northwest may see only a slight
increase in
annual precipitation, maybe one or two percent, but storms are likely to become more intense.
Although
precipitation in Nebraska at the northern end of the aquifer will likely
increase, scientists predict the southern parts of the region will get even less than the 16 inches of
annual precipitation they now receive.
«Our study has found evidence to the contrary, suggesting that in fact, the future long - term trend based on paleoclimate reconstructions is likely towards diminishing
precipitation, with no relief in the form of
increased Mediterranean storms, the primary source of
annual precipitation to the region, in the foreseeable future.»
«According to climate predictions,
annual precipitation is likely to decrease in the Southwest but
increase in the eastern United States during the 21st century, therefore, the observed diverse trends of surface water body areas since 1984 could continue to occur in the future,» said Xiao.
has decreased in winter, but no significant change in
annual mean
precipitation potentially because of very slight
increases in spring and fall
precipitation;
precipitation is projected to
increase across Montana, primarily in spring; slight decrease in summer
precipitation; variability of
precipitation year - to - year projected to
increase
ACPI assumes a 1 percent
annual increase in the rate of greenhouse gas concentrations through the year 2100, for little change in
precipitation and an average temperature
increase of 1.5 to 2 degrees centigrade at least through the middle of 21st century.
There were no significant trends in mean
annual total
precipitation or total
precipitation affected area but we did observe a significant
increase in mean
annual rain - free days, where the mean number of dry days
increased by 1.31 days per decade and the global area affected by anomalously dry years significantly
increased by 1.6 % per decade.
The majority of models suggest a slight
increase in total average
annual precipitation across the state, largely occurring in spring, particularly in the northwest.
The review by O'Gorman et al (3) reports that a 1C
increase in global mean temperature will result in a 2 % — 7 %
increase in the
precipitation rate; the lower values are results of GCM output, and the upper values are results from regressing estimated
annual rainfalls on
annual mean temperatures.
Statewide
precipitation has decreased in winter (0.14 inches / decade -LSB--0.36 cm / decade]-RRB- since 1950, but no significant change has occurred in
annual mean
precipitation, probably because of very slight
increases in spring and fall
precipitation.
I am interpreting that to mean that there is a trend towards
increasing annual 1 - day extreme
precipitation — but I am not sure how to quantify that change.
A 1 degree average
annual increase in summer temperatures, or a 25 % decrease in
precipitation?
Predictions of the
annual cycle of
precipitation suggest an
increase in
precipitation later in the crop year (April - June) of ~ 10 % but a substantial decrease (up to 75 % at the tail) in
precipitation later in the dry season (July - September).
Since the time of the SAR,
annual land
precipitation has continued to
increase in the middle and high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere (very likely to be 0.5 to 1 % / decade), except over Eastern Asia.
«Global
Increasing Trends in
Annual Maximum Daily
Precipitation.»
Since 1895, the total
annual precipitation has
increased by about 6 inches, or 13 percent.
Glacier runoff does not
increase or decrease the long term runoff for a basin, total runoff over a period of several years is determined largely by
annual precipitation.
Last year, the paper by Wentz et al. showed that over several parts of the world, mean
annual precipitation has been on the rise with
increasing temperature.
The
annual increase is again associated with the fact that the extreme events for the later years were significantly higher than compared to
precipitation events in the 1980s.
Precipitation increases during summer months, although annual precipitation is
Precipitation increases during summer months, although
annual precipitation is
precipitation is still small.
Abstract The Key Role of Heavy
Precipitation Events in Climate Model Disagreements of Future Annual Precipitation Changes in California Climate model simulations disagree on whether future precipitation will increase or decrease over California, which has impeded efforts to anticipate and adapt to human - induced climate c
Precipitation Events in Climate Model Disagreements of Future
Annual Precipitation Changes in California Climate model simulations disagree on whether future precipitation will increase or decrease over California, which has impeded efforts to anticipate and adapt to human - induced climate c
Precipitation Changes in California Climate model simulations disagree on whether future
precipitation will increase or decrease over California, which has impeded efforts to anticipate and adapt to human - induced climate c
precipitation will
increase or decrease over California, which has impeded efforts to anticipate and adapt to human - induced climate change........
A difference in mean winter
precipitation of only 130 mm (5 inches), from 330 mm (13 inches) in drought scenario to 460 mm (18 inches) in a pluvial scenario, resulted in a doubling of the
annual increase in runoff from treatments (Figure 7).
Results from 26 scenarios with varying levels of winter
precipitation showing
increases in mean
annual runoff associated with mechanical thinning of ponderosa pine forests in the first analysis area of the 4FRI project.
Agricultural growing seasons warm at a pace slightly behind the
annual temperature trends in most regions, while
precipitation increases slightly ahead of the
annual rate.
Depending on winter
precipitation and the forest treatment schedule, mean
annual increases in runoff from thinning of ponderosa forests across the Salt - Verde watersheds ranged from 4.76 to 15.0 million m3 (3,860 — 12,200 acre - feet) over a 35 - year treatment period, 6.18 to 23.4 million m3 (5,010 to 19,000 acre - feet) over 25 years, and 9.23 to 42.8 million m3 (7,480 to 34,700 acre - feet) over 15 years (Table 2).
It has been noted that an
increase (or decrease) in heavy
precipitation events may not necessarily translate into
annual peak (or low) river levels.
The results obtained by Donat and his team suggest that both
annual precipitation and extreme
precipitation increased by 1 — 2 % per decade in dry regions, with wet areas showing similar
increases in the extent of extreme
precipitation and smaller
increases for
annual totals.
The number of stations reflecting a locally significant
increase in the proportion of total
annual precipitation occurring in the upper five percentiles of daily
precipitation totals outweighs the number of stations with significantly decreasing trends by more than 3 to 1 (Figure 2.36 c).
AOGCM experiments suggest that global - average
annual mean
precipitation will
increase on average by 1 to 3 % / °C under the enhanced greenhouse effect (Figure 9.18).
Along with the hot summer,
annual precipitation for 2003 was as much as 12 inches (300 millimeters) below normal, leaving most of Europe in a drought.21 Damages to the agricultural sector were estimated at more than U.S. $ 16 billion (more than $ 13 billion).3, 21 Many areas saw an
increase in wildfires, while low water levels in major rivers led to problems ranging from irrigating crops to cooling power plants.4, 21,22
While the HadCM3 - projected mean
annual precipitation during 2070 to 2099 at El Reno, Oklahoma, decreased by 13.6 %, 7.2 %, and 6.2 % for A2, B2, and GGa1, respectively, the predicted erosion (except for the no - till conservation practice scenario)
increased by 18 - 30 % for A2, remained similar for B2, and
increased by 67 - 82 % for GGa1.
About 40 percent of the world's subtropics and tropics could experience an
increase in consecutive dry days (the
annual number of consecutive days in which
precipitation is less than one millimeter per day).
Local ET
increase from 50 % of mean
annual precipitation to 75 % of mean
annual precipitation (Zhang et al. 2001)
Average
annual statewide
precipitation increased by 8 % from 1873 to 2008.
A number of the comments here focus on the amount of
annual precipitation as of an
increase in mean
precipitation means more water will be available to meet human needs.
Several studies focused on the Colorado River basin showed that
annual runoff reductions in a warmer western U.S. climate occur through a combination of evapotranspiration
increases and
precipitation decreases, with the overall reduction in river flow exacerbated by human demands on the water supply.
Basic theory, climate model simulations and empirical evidence all confirm that warmer climates, owing to
increased water vapour, lead to more intense
precipitation events even when the total
annual precipitation is reduced slightly, and with prospects for even stronger events when the overall
precipitation amounts
increase.
Future mean
annual precipitation is projected to
increase 4 to 11 percent by the 2050s and 5 to 13 percent by the 2080s, relative to the 1980s base period.
The long - term mean
annual precipitation decreased from 816 mm year − 1 at the moist to 544 mm year − 1 at the driest site, and the mean
annual temperature
increased along this gradient from 8.5 to 9.1 °C (Table 1).
Mean
annual precipitation has
increased by a total of 8 inches from 1900 to 2013.
«Indeed it is estimated that
annual mean temperature has
increased by over 2 °C during the last 70 years and
precipitation has decreased in most regions, except the western part of the country, indicating that Mongolia is among the most vulnerable nations in the world to global warming.»
Results show the percentage of the 1600 years of experiments during which solar maximum conditions produced
increased (green) or decreased (brown)
precipitation at different latitudes on the
annual average.